MEXICO (CONSULADOS (EXTERIOR))
Municipio code 88590. 80 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 12779.78898 / (1 + e^(-0.03998(t - 53.57222))) | 12779.78898 | 0.03998 | 53.57222 | 0.89211 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 4013.77945 / (1 + e^(-0.03441(t - 59.96942))) | 4013.77945 | 0.03441 | 59.96942 | 0.89929 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 8481.36642 / (1 + e^(-0.04586(t - 50.01936))) | 8481.36642 | 0.04586 | 50.01936 | 0.89028 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 257.40047 / (1 + e^(-0.03234(t - 61.02256))) | 257.40047 | 0.03234 | 61.02256 | 0.89695 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 7.09398 / (1 + e^(-0.02743(t - 74.68158))) | 7.09398 | 0.02743 | 74.68158 | 0.88959 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 1.00000 / (1 + e^(-9.48147(t - 31.50051))) | 1.00000 | 9.48147 | 31.50051 | 1.00000 |
| Validos | y(t) = 12771.73720 / (1 + e^(-0.03999(t - 53.56464))) | 12771.73720 | 0.03999 | 53.56464 | 0.89212 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 80.42922 / (1 + e^(-0.03145(t - 66.99007))) | 80.42922 | 0.03145 | 66.99007 | 0.91734 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 1.0% | 134 | 31 | 103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 134 | 1 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 5.7% | 743 | 174 | 556 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 743 | 4 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 16.3% | 2,116 | 493 | 1,575 | 47 | 0 | 1 | 2,115 | 10 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 55.5% | 7,198 | 1,982 | 5,077 | 134 | 4 | 1 | 7,193 | 37 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 69.6% | 9,025 | 2,632 | 6,220 | 168 | 4 | 1 | 9,020 | 47 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 70.0% | 9,075 | 2,660 | 6,242 | 168 | 4 | 1 | 9,070 | 48 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 70.0% | 9,075 | 2,660 | 6,242 | 168 | 4 | 1 | 9,070 | 48 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 70.0% | 9,075 | 2,660 | 6,242 | 168 | 4 | 1 | 9,070 | 48 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 70.0% | 9,075 | 2,660 | 6,242 | 168 | 4 | 1 | 9,070 | 48 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 70.0% | 9,075 | 2,660 | 6,242 | 168 | 4 | 1 | 9,070 | 48 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 70.0% | 9,075 | 2,660 | 6,242 | 168 | 4 | 1 | 9,070 | 48 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 70.0% | 9,075 | 2,660 | 6,242 | 168 | 4 | 1 | 9,070 | 48 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 70.0% | 9,075 | 2,660 | 6,242 | 168 | 4 | 1 | 9,070 | 48 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 70.0% | 9,075 | 2,660 | 6,242 | 168 | 4 | 1 | 9,070 | 48 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 70.0% | 9,075 | 2,660 | 6,242 | 168 | 4 | 1 | 9,070 | 48 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 70.3% | 9,113 | 2,677 | 6,263 | 168 | 4 | 1 | 9,108 | 49 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 72.4% | 9,386 | 2,761 | 6,444 | 176 | 4 | 1 | 9,381 | 51 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 73.3% | 9,507 | 2,784 | 6,541 | 177 | 4 | 1 | 9,502 | 52 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 75.6% | 9,806 | 2,859 | 6,763 | 179 | 4 | 1 | 9,801 | 55 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 79.1% | 10,252 | 3,027 | 7,034 | 185 | 5 | 1 | 10,246 | 60 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 86.1% | 11,159 | 3,405 | 7,539 | 209 | 5 | 1 | 11,153 | 67 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 90.8% | 11,767 | 3,597 | 7,942 | 222 | 5 | 1 | 11,761 | 72 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 90.8% | 11,767 | 3,597 | 7,942 | 222 | 5 | 1 | 11,761 | 72 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 95.2% | 12,338 | 3,823 | 8,265 | 243 | 6 | 1 | 12,331 | 76 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 98.7% | 12,792 | 3,961 | 8,571 | 252 | 7 | 1 | 12,784 | 78 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 98.7% | 12,792 | 3,961 | 8,571 | 252 | 7 | 1 | 12,784 | 78 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 12,966 | 4,032 | 8,668 | 258 | 7 | 1 | 12,958 | 80 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 12,966 | 4,032 | 8,668 | 258 | 7 | 1 | 12,958 | 80 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 12,966 | 4,032 | 8,668 | 258 | 7 | 1 | 12,958 | 80 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 12,966 | 4,032 | 8,668 | 258 | 7 | 1 | 12,958 | 80 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 12,966 | 4,032 | 8,668 | 258 | 7 | 1 | 12,958 | 80 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 12,966 | 4,032 | 8,668 | 258 | 7 | 1 | 12,958 | 80 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 12,966 | 4,032 | 8,668 | 258 | 7 | 1 | 12,958 | 80 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 12,966 | 4,032 | 8,668 | 258 | 7 | 1 | 12,958 | 80 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 12,966 | 4,032 | 8,668 | 258 | 7 | 1 | 12,958 | 80 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 12,966 | 4,032 | 8,668 | 258 | 7 | 1 | 12,958 | 80 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 12,966 | 4,032 | 8,668 | 258 | 7 | 1 | 12,958 | 80 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 12,966 | 4,032 | 8,668 | 258 | 7 | 1 | 12,958 | 80 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 12,966 | 4,032 | 8,668 | 258 | 7 | 1 | 12,958 | 80 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 12,966 | 4,032 | 8,668 | 258 | 7 | 1 | 12,958 | 80 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 12,966 | 4,032 | 8,668 | 258 | 7 | 1 | 12,958 | 80 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 12,966 | 4,032 | 8,668 | 258 | 7 | 1 | 12,958 | 80 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 12,966 | 4,032 | 8,668 | 258 | 7 | 1 | 12,958 | 80 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 12,966 | 4,032 | 8,668 | 258 | 7 | 1 | 12,958 | 80 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 12,966 | 4,032 | 8,668 | 258 | 7 | 1 | 12,958 | 80 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 12,966 | 4,032 | 8,668 | 258 | 7 | 1 | 12,958 | 80 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 12,966 | 4,032 | 8,668 | 258 | 7 | 1 | 12,958 | 80 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 12,966 | 4,032 | 8,668 | 258 | 7 | 1 | 12,958 | 80 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 12,966 | 4,032 | 8,668 | 258 | 7 | 1 | 12,958 | 80 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 12,966 | 4,032 | 8,668 | 258 | 7 | 1 | 12,958 | 80 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 12,966 | 4,032 | 8,668 | 258 | 7 | 1 | 12,958 | 80 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 12,966 | 4,032 | 8,668 | 258 | 7 | 1 | 12,958 | 80 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 12,966 | 4,032 | 8,668 | 258 | 7 | 1 | 12,958 | 80 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 12,966 | 4,032 | 8,668 | 258 | 7 | 1 | 12,958 | 80 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 12,966 | 4,032 | 8,668 | 258 | 7 | 1 | 12,958 | 80 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 12,966 | 4,032 | 8,668 | 258 | 7 | 1 | 12,958 | 80 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 12,966 | 4,032 | 8,668 | 258 | 7 | 1 | 12,958 | 80 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 12,966 | 4,032 | 8,668 | 258 | 7 | 1 | 12,958 | 80 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 12,966 | 4,032 | 8,668 | 258 | 7 | 1 | 12,958 | 80 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 12,966 | 4,032 | 8,668 | 258 | 7 | 1 | 12,958 | 80 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 12,966 | 4,032 | 8,668 | 258 | 7 | 1 | 12,958 | 80 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 12,966 | 4,032 | 8,668 | 258 | 7 | 1 | 12,958 | 80 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 12,966 | 4,032 | 8,668 | 258 | 7 | 1 | 12,958 | 80 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex