ITALIA (CONSULADOS (EXTERIOR))
Municipio code 88495. 47 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 8719.51232 / (1 + e^(-0.24895(t - 34.09515))) | 8719.51232 | 0.24895 | 34.09515 | 0.99809 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 4413.78969 / (1 + e^(-0.23491(t - 33.87609))) | 4413.78969 | 0.23491 | 33.87609 | 0.99764 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 4107.41740 / (1 + e^(-0.26616(t - 34.34577))) | 4107.41740 | 0.26616 | 34.34577 | 0.99843 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 178.19168 / (1 + e^(-0.25055(t - 33.34300))) | 178.19168 | 0.25055 | 33.34300 | 0.99833 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 19.01548 / (1 + e^(-0.38258(t - 34.37763))) | 19.01548 | 0.38258 | 34.37763 | 0.99815 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 1.00000 / (1 + e^(-9.50709(t - 16.49871))) | 1.00000 | 9.50709 | 16.49871 | 1.00000 |
| Validos | y(t) = 8699.49202 / (1 + e^(-0.24884(t - 34.09619))) | 8699.49202 | 0.24884 | 34.09619 | 0.99809 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 47.06261 / (1 + e^(-0.25160(t - 34.77044))) | 47.06261 | 0.25160 | 34.77044 | 0.99663 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 3.6% | 314 | 138 | 165 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 312 | 3 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 10.0% | 867 | 519 | 323 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 865 | 5 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 22.3% | 1,939 | 1,098 | 796 | 41 | 3 | 1 | 1,935 | 8 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 49.4% | 4,299 | 2,218 | 1,975 | 97 | 8 | 1 | 4,290 | 22 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 72.6% | 6,322 | 3,154 | 3,012 | 138 | 17 | 1 | 6,304 | 32 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 8,709 | 4,408 | 4,103 | 178 | 19 | 1 | 8,689 | 47 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex