IRLANDA (CONSULADOS (EXTERIOR))
Municipio code 88470. 8 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 613.98596 / (1 + e^(-0.40739(t - 34.31945))) | 613.98596 | 0.40739 | 34.31945 | 0.99874 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 320.88897 / (1 + e^(-0.43337(t - 33.70684))) | 320.88897 | 0.43337 | 33.70684 | 0.99830 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 274.06399 / (1 + e^(-0.40301(t - 34.96362))) | 274.06399 | 0.40301 | 34.96362 | 0.99921 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 18.00461 / (1 + e^(-0.36513(t - 35.41296))) | 18.00461 | 0.36513 | 35.41296 | 0.99667 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 1.00000 / (1 + e^(-9.83285(t - 36.50070))) | 1.00000 | 9.83285 | 36.50070 | 1.00000 |
| No marcados | fit not available (flat series or no convergence) |
| Validos | y(t) = 612.98441 / (1 + e^(-0.40705(t - 34.31440))) | 612.98441 | 0.40705 | 34.31440 | 0.99872 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 8.00478 / (1 + e^(-0.36169(t - 33.91128))) | 8.00478 | 0.36169 | 33.91128 | 0.99791 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 5.2% | 32 | 20 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 1 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 5.2% | 32 | 20 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 1 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 50.0% | 307 | 182 | 117 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 307 | 4 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 83.2% | 511 | 275 | 222 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 510 | 7 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 614 | 321 | 274 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 613 | 8 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex