GUATEMALA (CONSULADOS (EXTERIOR))
Municipio code 88410. 10 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 1296.35775 / (1 + e^(-0.05186(t - 44.39567))) | 1296.35775 | 0.05186 | 44.39567 | 0.87683 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 208.89622 / (1 + e^(-0.03241(t - 58.61050))) | 208.89622 | 0.03241 | 58.61050 | 0.88840 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 1030.60373 / (1 + e^(-0.16678(t - 35.98301))) | 1030.60373 | 0.16678 | 35.98301 | 0.88978 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 27.41860 / (1 + e^(-0.02909(t - 69.57472))) | 27.41860 | 0.02909 | 69.57472 | 0.89682 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 2.00000 / (1 + e^(-140.03568(t - 119.00000))) | 2.00000 | 140.03568 | 119.00000 | 1.00000 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 1.00000 / (1 + e^(-9.48147(t - 31.50051))) | 1.00000 | 9.48147 | 31.50051 | 1.00000 |
| Validos | y(t) = 1292.60431 / (1 + e^(-0.05258(t - 44.19495))) | 1292.60431 | 0.05258 | 44.19495 | 0.87694 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 10.08543 / (1 + e^(-0.03168(t - 63.83653))) | 10.08543 | 0.03168 | 63.83653 | 0.89301 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 20.3% | 269 | 50 | 214 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 269 | 1 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 37.7% | 500 | 68 | 422 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 499 | 3 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 73.8% | 979 | 132 | 831 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 978 | 6 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 73.8% | 979 | 132 | 831 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 978 | 6 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 73.8% | 979 | 132 | 831 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 978 | 6 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 73.8% | 979 | 132 | 831 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 978 | 6 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 73.8% | 979 | 132 | 831 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 978 | 6 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 73.8% | 979 | 132 | 831 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 978 | 6 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 73.8% | 979 | 132 | 831 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 978 | 6 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 73.8% | 979 | 132 | 831 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 978 | 6 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 73.8% | 979 | 132 | 831 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 978 | 6 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 73.8% | 979 | 132 | 831 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 978 | 6 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 73.8% | 979 | 132 | 831 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 978 | 6 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 73.8% | 979 | 132 | 831 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 978 | 6 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 73.8% | 979 | 132 | 831 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 978 | 6 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 73.8% | 979 | 132 | 831 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 978 | 6 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 73.8% | 979 | 132 | 831 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 978 | 6 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 73.8% | 979 | 132 | 831 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 978 | 6 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 91.0% | 1,207 | 188 | 998 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 1,205 | 9 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 1,327 | 208 | 1,089 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 1,324 | 10 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 1,327 | 208 | 1,089 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 1,324 | 10 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 1,327 | 208 | 1,089 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 1,324 | 10 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 1,327 | 208 | 1,089 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 1,324 | 10 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 1,327 | 208 | 1,089 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 1,324 | 10 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 1,327 | 208 | 1,089 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 1,324 | 10 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 1,327 | 208 | 1,089 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 1,324 | 10 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 1,327 | 208 | 1,089 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 1,324 | 10 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 1,327 | 208 | 1,089 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 1,324 | 10 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 1,327 | 208 | 1,089 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 1,324 | 10 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 1,327 | 208 | 1,089 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 1,324 | 10 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 1,327 | 208 | 1,089 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 1,324 | 10 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 1,327 | 208 | 1,089 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 1,324 | 10 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 1,327 | 208 | 1,089 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 1,324 | 10 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 1,327 | 208 | 1,089 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 1,324 | 10 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 1,327 | 208 | 1,089 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 1,324 | 10 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 1,327 | 208 | 1,089 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 1,324 | 10 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 1,327 | 208 | 1,089 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 1,324 | 10 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 1,327 | 208 | 1,089 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 1,324 | 10 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 1,327 | 208 | 1,089 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 1,324 | 10 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 1,327 | 208 | 1,089 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 1,324 | 10 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 1,327 | 208 | 1,089 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 1,324 | 10 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 1,327 | 208 | 1,089 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 1,324 | 10 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 1,327 | 208 | 1,089 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 1,324 | 10 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 1,327 | 208 | 1,089 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 1,324 | 10 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 1,327 | 208 | 1,089 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 1,324 | 10 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 1,327 | 208 | 1,089 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 1,324 | 10 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 1,327 | 208 | 1,089 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 1,324 | 10 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 1,327 | 208 | 1,089 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 1,324 | 10 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 1,327 | 208 | 1,089 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 1,324 | 10 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 1,327 | 208 | 1,089 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 1,324 | 10 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 1,327 | 208 | 1,089 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 1,324 | 10 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 1,327 | 208 | 1,089 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 1,324 | 10 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 1,327 | 208 | 1,089 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 1,324 | 10 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 1,327 | 208 | 1,089 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 1,324 | 10 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 1,327 | 208 | 1,089 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 1,324 | 10 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 1,327 | 208 | 1,089 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 1,324 | 10 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 1,327 | 208 | 1,089 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 1,324 | 10 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 1,327 | 208 | 1,089 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 1,324 | 10 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 1,327 | 208 | 1,089 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 1,324 | 10 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 1,327 | 208 | 1,089 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 1,324 | 10 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 1,327 | 208 | 1,089 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 1,324 | 10 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 1,327 | 208 | 1,089 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 1,324 | 10 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex