ECUADOR (CONSULADOS (EXTERIOR))
Municipio code 88330. 111 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 9856.97323 / (1 + e^(-0.07026(t - 50.08465))) | 9856.97323 | 0.07026 | 50.08465 | 0.97830 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 3222.32033 / (1 + e^(-0.06783(t - 53.87769))) | 3222.32033 | 0.06783 | 53.87769 | 0.98549 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 6430.62128 / (1 + e^(-0.07308(t - 48.09052))) | 6430.62128 | 0.07308 | 48.09052 | 0.97408 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 112.49941 / (1 + e^(-0.06574(t - 50.12137))) | 112.49941 | 0.06574 | 50.12137 | 0.96954 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 63.94811 / (1 + e^(-0.07021(t - 53.76206))) | 63.94811 | 0.07021 | 53.76206 | 0.98560 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 24.95066 / (1 + e^(-0.09812(t - 49.15025))) | 24.95066 | 0.09812 | 49.15025 | 0.97283 |
| Validos | y(t) = 9768.06943 / (1 + e^(-0.07022(t - 50.06274))) | 9768.06943 | 0.07022 | 50.06274 | 0.97820 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 111.15527 / (1 + e^(-0.05807(t - 61.63746))) | 111.15527 | 0.05807 | 61.63746 | 0.98896 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.5% | 50 | 24 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 1.7% | 165 | 72 | 88 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 162 | 3 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 4.8% | 473 | 123 | 343 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 470 | 5 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 21.0% | 2,079 | 499 | 1,542 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 2,067 | 16 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 46.1% | 4,556 | 1,241 | 3,236 | 55 | 20 | 4 | 4,532 | 33 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 57.7% | 5,705 | 1,615 | 3,973 | 68 | 33 | 16 | 5,656 | 46 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 57.7% | 5,705 | 1,615 | 3,973 | 68 | 33 | 16 | 5,656 | 46 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 57.7% | 5,705 | 1,615 | 3,973 | 68 | 33 | 16 | 5,656 | 46 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 62.8% | 6,214 | 1,879 | 4,208 | 73 | 37 | 17 | 6,160 | 51 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 65.1% | 6,442 | 1,938 | 4,377 | 73 | 37 | 17 | 6,388 | 53 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 72.8% | 7,202 | 2,207 | 4,860 | 76 | 41 | 18 | 7,143 | 59 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 80.0% | 7,919 | 2,517 | 5,241 | 86 | 52 | 23 | 7,844 | 71 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 82.8% | 8,192 | 2,637 | 5,389 | 88 | 55 | 23 | 8,114 | 79 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 87.7% | 8,676 | 2,784 | 5,715 | 95 | 57 | 25 | 8,594 | 85 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 92.0% | 9,099 | 2,957 | 5,952 | 105 | 60 | 25 | 9,014 | 94 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 94.1% | 9,310 | 3,022 | 6,097 | 105 | 61 | 25 | 9,224 | 100 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 94.5% | 9,350 | 3,026 | 6,133 | 105 | 61 | 25 | 9,264 | 102 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 98.3% | 9,728 | 3,146 | 6,383 | 111 | 63 | 25 | 9,640 | 105 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 98.7% | 9,762 | 3,158 | 6,405 | 111 | 63 | 25 | 9,674 | 106 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 98.8% | 9,777 | 3,164 | 6,414 | 111 | 63 | 25 | 9,689 | 107 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 98.8% | 9,777 | 3,164 | 6,414 | 111 | 63 | 25 | 9,689 | 107 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 98.8% | 9,777 | 3,164 | 6,414 | 111 | 63 | 25 | 9,689 | 107 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 98.8% | 9,777 | 3,164 | 6,414 | 111 | 63 | 25 | 9,689 | 107 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 9,893 | 3,229 | 6,462 | 113 | 64 | 25 | 9,804 | 111 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 9,893 | 3,229 | 6,462 | 113 | 64 | 25 | 9,804 | 111 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 9,893 | 3,229 | 6,462 | 113 | 64 | 25 | 9,804 | 111 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 9,893 | 3,229 | 6,462 | 113 | 64 | 25 | 9,804 | 111 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 9,893 | 3,229 | 6,462 | 113 | 64 | 25 | 9,804 | 111 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 9,893 | 3,229 | 6,462 | 113 | 64 | 25 | 9,804 | 111 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 9,893 | 3,229 | 6,462 | 113 | 64 | 25 | 9,804 | 111 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 9,893 | 3,229 | 6,462 | 113 | 64 | 25 | 9,804 | 111 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 9,893 | 3,229 | 6,462 | 113 | 64 | 25 | 9,804 | 111 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 9,893 | 3,229 | 6,462 | 113 | 64 | 25 | 9,804 | 111 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 9,893 | 3,229 | 6,462 | 113 | 64 | 25 | 9,804 | 111 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 9,893 | 3,229 | 6,462 | 113 | 64 | 25 | 9,804 | 111 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 9,893 | 3,229 | 6,462 | 113 | 64 | 25 | 9,804 | 111 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 9,893 | 3,229 | 6,462 | 113 | 64 | 25 | 9,804 | 111 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 9,893 | 3,229 | 6,462 | 113 | 64 | 25 | 9,804 | 111 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 9,893 | 3,229 | 6,462 | 113 | 64 | 25 | 9,804 | 111 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 9,893 | 3,229 | 6,462 | 113 | 64 | 25 | 9,804 | 111 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 9,893 | 3,229 | 6,462 | 113 | 64 | 25 | 9,804 | 111 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 9,893 | 3,229 | 6,462 | 113 | 64 | 25 | 9,804 | 111 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 9,893 | 3,229 | 6,462 | 113 | 64 | 25 | 9,804 | 111 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 9,893 | 3,229 | 6,462 | 113 | 64 | 25 | 9,804 | 111 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 9,893 | 3,229 | 6,462 | 113 | 64 | 25 | 9,804 | 111 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 9,893 | 3,229 | 6,462 | 113 | 64 | 25 | 9,804 | 111 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 9,893 | 3,229 | 6,462 | 113 | 64 | 25 | 9,804 | 111 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 9,893 | 3,229 | 6,462 | 113 | 64 | 25 | 9,804 | 111 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 9,893 | 3,229 | 6,462 | 113 | 64 | 25 | 9,804 | 111 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 9,893 | 3,229 | 6,462 | 113 | 64 | 25 | 9,804 | 111 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 9,893 | 3,229 | 6,462 | 113 | 64 | 25 | 9,804 | 111 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 9,893 | 3,229 | 6,462 | 113 | 64 | 25 | 9,804 | 111 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 9,893 | 3,229 | 6,462 | 113 | 64 | 25 | 9,804 | 111 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 9,893 | 3,229 | 6,462 | 113 | 64 | 25 | 9,804 | 111 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 9,893 | 3,229 | 6,462 | 113 | 64 | 25 | 9,804 | 111 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 9,893 | 3,229 | 6,462 | 113 | 64 | 25 | 9,804 | 111 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 9,893 | 3,229 | 6,462 | 113 | 64 | 25 | 9,804 | 111 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 9,893 | 3,229 | 6,462 | 113 | 64 | 25 | 9,804 | 111 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 9,893 | 3,229 | 6,462 | 113 | 64 | 25 | 9,804 | 111 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 9,893 | 3,229 | 6,462 | 113 | 64 | 25 | 9,804 | 111 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 9,893 | 3,229 | 6,462 | 113 | 64 | 25 | 9,804 | 111 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 9,893 | 3,229 | 6,462 | 113 | 64 | 25 | 9,804 | 111 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 9,893 | 3,229 | 6,462 | 113 | 64 | 25 | 9,804 | 111 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 9,893 | 3,229 | 6,462 | 113 | 64 | 25 | 9,804 | 111 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex