BELGICA (CONSULADOS (EXTERIOR))
Municipio code 88190. 16 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 2709.29175 / (1 + e^(-0.59454(t - 39.31485))) | 2709.29175 | 0.59454 | 39.31485 | 0.99822 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 1516.43541 / (1 + e^(-0.55557(t - 39.24284))) | 1516.43541 | 0.55557 | 39.24284 | 0.99783 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 1117.79402 / (1 + e^(-0.64854(t - 39.37572))) | 1117.79402 | 0.64854 | 39.37572 | 0.99869 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 70.06044 / (1 + e^(-0.60019(t - 39.39793))) | 70.06044 | 0.60019 | 39.39793 | 0.99802 |
| Nulos | fit not available (flat series or no convergence) |
| No marcados | y(t) = 1.00000 / (1 + e^(-10.33482(t - 41.50502))) | 1.00000 | 10.33482 | 41.50502 | 1.00000 |
| Validos | y(t) = 2704.29388 / (1 + e^(-0.59337(t - 39.31154))) | 2704.29388 | 0.59337 | 39.31154 | 0.99822 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 16.02300 / (1 + e^(-0.35078(t - 38.02769))) | 16.02300 | 0.35078 | 38.02769 | 0.99554 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 2.3% | 62 | 45 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 62 | 1 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 2.3% | 62 | 45 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 62 | 1 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 11.9% | 322 | 199 | 114 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 322 | 4 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 42.9% | 1,160 | 658 | 472 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 1,159 | 8 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 2,707 | 1,515 | 1,117 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 2,702 | 16 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex