ARUBA (CONSULADOS (EXTERIOR))
Municipio code 88160. 23 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
| Total votes | y(t) = 3754.13698 / (1 + e^(-0.35198(t - 36.21007))) | 3754.13698 | 0.35198 | 36.21007 | 0.99886 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 901.24193 / (1 + e^(-0.34750(t - 36.72118))) | 901.24193 | 0.34750 | 36.72118 | 0.99916 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 2822.88376 / (1 + e^(-0.35371(t - 36.04055))) | 2822.88376 | 0.35371 | 36.04055 | 0.99872 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 23.01751 / (1 + e^(-0.40302(t - 37.04509))) | 23.01751 | 0.40302 | 37.04509 | 0.99879 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 5.00431 / (1 + e^(-0.43246(t - 37.73594))) | 5.00431 | 0.43246 | 37.73594 | 0.99889 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 2.00000 / (1 + e^(-140.16551(t - 34.00000))) | 2.00000 | 140.16551 | 34.00000 | 1.00000 |
| Validos | y(t) = 3747.13455 / (1 + e^(-0.35185(t - 36.20947))) | 3747.13455 | 0.35185 | 36.20947 | 0.99885 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 23.00977 / (1 + e^(-0.35671(t - 36.48566))) | 23.00977 | 0.35671 | 36.48566 | 0.99892 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 4.6% | 172 | 36 | 136 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 172 | 1 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 4.6% | 172 | 36 | 136 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 172 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 4.6% | 172 | 36 | 136 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 172 | 1 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 4.6% | 172 | 36 | 136 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 172 | 1 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 32.8% | 1,230 | 261 | 961 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1,228 | 7 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 71.7% | 2,690 | 615 | 2,055 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 2,685 | 16 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 95.0% | 3,566 | 836 | 2,700 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,559 | 22 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 3,753 | 901 | 2,822 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3,746 | 23 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex