CARURU (VAUPES)
Municipio code 68004. 6 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 770.15981 / (1 + e^(-0.15840(t - 48.05963))) | 770.15981 | 0.15840 | 48.05963 | 0.99451 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 654.02870 / (1 + e^(-0.15727(t - 47.72255))) | 654.02870 | 0.15727 | 47.72255 | 0.99427 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 107.15967 / (1 + e^(-0.16218(t - 50.27665))) | 107.15967 | 0.16218 | 50.27665 | 0.99217 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 5.00124 / (1 + e^(-0.29542(t - 45.07994))) | 5.00124 | 0.29542 | 45.07994 | 0.98822 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 2.99738 / (1 + e^(-0.14190(t - 45.25407))) | 2.99738 | 0.14190 | 45.25407 | 0.97780 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 1.00000 / (1 + e^(-9.96296(t - 51.49881))) | 1.00000 | 9.96296 | 51.49881 | 1.00000 |
| Validos | y(t) = 766.15640 / (1 + e^(-0.15842(t - 48.06335))) | 766.15640 | 0.15842 | 48.06335 | 0.99450 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 6.00735 / (1 + e^(-0.14964(t - 45.57964))) | 6.00735 | 0.14964 | 45.57964 | 0.99374 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 12.0% | 92 | 90 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 92 | 1 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 20.0% | 154 | 144 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 153 | 2 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 42.5% | 327 | 279 | 43 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 325 | 3 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 42.5% | 327 | 279 | 43 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 325 | 3 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 78.0% | 600 | 520 | 72 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 597 | 5 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 78.0% | 600 | 520 | 72 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 597 | 5 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 769 | 653 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 765 | 6 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 769 | 653 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 765 | 6 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 769 | 653 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 765 | 6 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 769 | 653 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 765 | 6 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 769 | 653 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 765 | 6 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 769 | 653 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 765 | 6 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 769 | 653 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 765 | 6 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 769 | 653 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 765 | 6 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 769 | 653 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 765 | 6 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 769 | 653 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 765 | 6 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 769 | 653 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 765 | 6 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 769 | 653 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 765 | 6 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 769 | 653 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 765 | 6 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 769 | 653 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 765 | 6 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 769 | 653 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 765 | 6 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 769 | 653 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 765 | 6 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 769 | 653 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 765 | 6 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 769 | 653 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 765 | 6 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 769 | 653 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 765 | 6 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 769 | 653 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 765 | 6 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 769 | 653 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 765 | 6 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 769 | 653 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 765 | 6 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 769 | 653 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 765 | 6 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 769 | 653 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 765 | 6 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 769 | 653 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 765 | 6 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 769 | 653 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 765 | 6 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 769 | 653 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 765 | 6 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 769 | 653 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 765 | 6 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 769 | 653 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 765 | 6 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 769 | 653 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 765 | 6 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 769 | 653 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 765 | 6 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 769 | 653 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 765 | 6 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 769 | 653 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 765 | 6 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 769 | 653 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 765 | 6 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 769 | 653 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 765 | 6 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 769 | 653 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 765 | 6 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 769 | 653 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 765 | 6 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 769 | 653 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 765 | 6 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 769 | 653 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 765 | 6 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 769 | 653 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 765 | 6 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 769 | 653 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 765 | 6 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 769 | 653 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 765 | 6 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 769 | 653 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 765 | 6 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 769 | 653 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 765 | 6 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 769 | 653 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 765 | 6 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 769 | 653 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 765 | 6 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 769 | 653 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 765 | 6 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 769 | 653 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 765 | 6 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 769 | 653 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 765 | 6 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 769 | 653 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 765 | 6 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 769 | 653 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 765 | 6 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 769 | 653 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 765 | 6 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 769 | 653 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 765 | 6 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 769 | 653 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 765 | 6 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 769 | 653 | 107 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 765 | 6 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex