TARAPACA (AMAZONAS)
Municipio code 60022. 5 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 623.19375 / (1 + e^(-0.11470(t - 38.22051))) | 623.19375 | 0.11470 | 38.22051 | 0.97144 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 457.77038 / (1 + e^(-0.12774(t - 40.95535))) | 457.77038 | 0.12774 | 40.95535 | 0.97379 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 132.18245 / (1 + e^(-0.11354(t - 32.76303))) | 132.18245 | 0.11354 | 32.76303 | 0.96309 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 23.87099 / (1 + e^(-1.70201(t - 22.83110))) | 23.87099 | 1.70201 | 22.83110 | 0.99307 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 7.93914 / (1 + e^(-0.70408(t - 23.34196))) | 7.93914 | 0.70408 | 23.34196 | 0.98528 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 1.00000 / (1 + e^(-9.98724(t - 46.50399))) | 1.00000 | 9.98724 | 46.50399 | 1.00000 |
| Validos | y(t) = 614.18891 / (1 + e^(-0.11518(t - 38.40257))) | 614.18891 | 0.11518 | 38.40257 | 0.97157 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 5.01860 / (1 + e^(-0.11972(t - 39.41996))) | 5.01860 | 0.11972 | 39.41996 | 0.97279 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 24.8% | 154 | 73 | 55 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 149 | 1 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 43.2% | 268 | 163 | 76 | 22 | 7 | 0 | 261 | 2 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 43.2% | 268 | 163 | 76 | 22 | 7 | 0 | 261 | 2 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 43.2% | 268 | 163 | 76 | 22 | 7 | 0 | 261 | 2 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 43.2% | 268 | 163 | 76 | 22 | 7 | 0 | 261 | 2 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 81.3% | 505 | 353 | 119 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 496 | 4 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 621 | 456 | 132 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 612 | 5 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex