MIRAFLORES (GUAVIARE)
Municipio code 54012. 15 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 1376.58988 / (1 + e^(-0.23369(t - 38.09857))) | 1376.58988 | 0.23369 | 38.09857 | 0.99741 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 1009.98895 / (1 + e^(-0.21703(t - 38.32061))) | 1009.98895 | 0.21703 | 38.32061 | 0.99759 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 328.63030 / (1 + e^(-0.32028(t - 37.08453))) | 328.63030 | 0.32028 | 37.08453 | 0.99666 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 19.01249 / (1 + e^(-0.23302(t - 43.09750))) | 19.01249 | 0.23302 | 43.09750 | 0.99385 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 13.98315 / (1 + e^(-0.29334(t - 38.98401))) | 13.98315 | 0.29334 | 38.98401 | 0.99687 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 5.00489 / (1 + e^(-0.21637(t - 41.51382))) | 5.00489 | 0.21637 | 41.51382 | 0.99785 |
| Validos | y(t) = 1357.59547 / (1 + e^(-0.23346(t - 38.07519))) | 1357.59547 | 0.23346 | 38.07519 | 0.99740 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 14.99717 / (1 + e^(-0.22615(t - 38.41066))) | 14.99717 | 0.22615 | 38.41066 | 0.99775 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 7.4% | 102 | 96 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 102 | 1 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 26.3% | 362 | 274 | 85 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 359 | 4 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 63.1% | 869 | 616 | 236 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 859 | 9 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 73.5% | 1,012 | 726 | 261 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 998 | 11 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 89.0% | 1,225 | 878 | 318 | 13 | 12 | 4 | 1,209 | 13 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 1,377 | 1,010 | 329 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1,358 | 15 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex