SAN CARLOS DE GUAROA (META)
Municipio code 52055. 31 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 6689.41434 / (1 + e^(-0.27393(t - 29.51649))) | 6689.41434 | 0.27393 | 29.51649 | 0.99957 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 2440.09615 / (1 + e^(-0.26238(t - 29.78846))) | 2440.09615 | 0.26238 | 29.78846 | 0.99941 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 4050.25643 / (1 + e^(-0.28102(t - 29.34691))) | 4050.25643 | 0.28102 | 29.34691 | 0.99957 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 85.99115 / (1 + e^(-0.27240(t - 28.45025))) | 85.99115 | 0.27240 | 28.45025 | 0.99928 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 106.03390 / (1 + e^(-0.33044(t - 30.48812))) | 106.03390 | 0.33044 | 30.48812 | 0.99937 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 7.00664 / (1 + e^(-0.35484(t - 31.24528))) | 7.00664 | 0.35484 | 31.24528 | 0.99797 |
| Validos | y(t) = 6576.35815 / (1 + e^(-0.27323(t - 29.49760))) | 6576.35815 | 0.27323 | 29.49760 | 0.99956 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 31.01980 / (1 + e^(-0.23146(t - 28.28057))) | 31.01980 | 0.23146 | 28.28057 | 0.99949 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.5% | 32 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 30 | 1 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 3.6% | 239 | 118 | 114 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 236 | 4 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 17.3% | 1,158 | 415 | 715 | 19 | 8 | 1 | 1,149 | 8 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 48.9% | 3,269 | 1,159 | 2,016 | 49 | 43 | 2 | 3,224 | 17 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 75.1% | 5,024 | 1,756 | 3,117 | 68 | 78 | 5 | 4,941 | 24 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 92.7% | 6,201 | 2,264 | 3,748 | 80 | 102 | 7 | 6,092 | 29 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 6,688 | 2,439 | 4,050 | 86 | 106 | 7 | 6,575 | 31 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex