MAPIRIPAN (META)
Municipio code 52046. 22 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 3080.65449 / (1 + e^(-0.17739(t - 34.43842))) | 3080.65449 | 0.17739 | 34.43842 | 0.99871 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 1536.58445 / (1 + e^(-0.16205(t - 34.88104))) | 1536.58445 | 0.16205 | 34.88104 | 0.99815 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 1439.91842 / (1 + e^(-0.19986(t - 33.89359))) | 1439.91842 | 0.19986 | 33.89359 | 0.99840 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 41.04970 / (1 + e^(-0.16080(t - 33.44463))) | 41.04970 | 0.16080 | 33.44463 | 0.99631 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 50.05847 / (1 + e^(-0.21656(t - 37.41748))) | 50.05847 | 0.21656 | 37.41748 | 0.99746 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 13.01955 / (1 + e^(-0.15632(t - 35.26278))) | 13.01955 | 0.15632 | 35.26278 | 0.98667 |
| Validos | y(t) = 3017.54804 / (1 + e^(-0.17724(t - 34.38297))) | 3017.54804 | 0.17724 | 34.38297 | 0.99871 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 22.00290 / (1 + e^(-0.18321(t - 32.27318))) | 22.00290 | 0.18321 | 32.27318 | 0.99929 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 1.7% | 51 | 38 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 51 | 1 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 1.7% | 51 | 38 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 51 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 13.5% | 415 | 223 | 178 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 411 | 4 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 28.4% | 875 | 490 | 360 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 863 | 8 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 51.8% | 1,594 | 734 | 812 | 22 | 19 | 7 | 1,568 | 13 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 66.8% | 2,058 | 977 | 1,023 | 26 | 25 | 7 | 2,026 | 17 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 81.3% | 2,502 | 1,191 | 1,223 | 37 | 42 | 9 | 2,451 | 19 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 93.8% | 2,889 | 1,424 | 1,366 | 38 | 48 | 13 | 2,828 | 21 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 3,079 | 1,535 | 1,440 | 41 | 50 | 13 | 3,016 | 22 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex