SAN JUAN DEL CESAR (LA GUAJIRA)
Municipio code 48013. 114 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
| Total votes | y(t) = 22348.72735 / (1 + e^(-0.18710(t - 36.27332))) | 22348.72735 | 0.18710 | 36.27332 | 0.99928 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 9232.59065 / (1 + e^(-0.18516(t - 35.79355))) | 9232.59065 | 0.18516 | 35.79355 | 0.99931 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 12736.79875 / (1 + e^(-0.18905(t - 36.62245))) | 12736.79875 | 0.18905 | 36.62245 | 0.99923 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 219.10552 / (1 + e^(-0.18196(t - 35.48585))) | 219.10552 | 0.18196 | 35.48585 | 0.99911 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 141.04539 / (1 + e^(-0.19466(t - 37.36491))) | 141.04539 | 0.19466 | 37.36491 | 0.99866 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 19.03080 / (1 + e^(-0.17339(t - 33.81778))) | 19.03080 | 0.17339 | 33.81778 | 0.99416 |
| Validos | y(t) = 22188.64289 / (1 + e^(-0.18708(t - 36.26821))) | 22188.64289 | 0.18708 | 36.26821 | 0.99929 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 114.08140 / (1 + e^(-0.17214(t - 34.83324))) | 114.08140 | 0.17214 | 34.83324 | 0.99925 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.1% | 19 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 1 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.1% | 19 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 1 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.9% | 200 | 92 | 104 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 4 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 7.9% | 1,769 | 832 | 902 | 25 | 6 | 4 | 1,759 | 16 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 23.7% | 5,298 | 2,372 | 2,831 | 59 | 29 | 7 | 5,262 | 34 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 40.4% | 9,020 | 3,875 | 4,992 | 94 | 50 | 9 | 8,961 | 53 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 59.5% | 13,289 | 5,751 | 7,315 | 136 | 75 | 12 | 13,202 | 73 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 81.4% | 18,177 | 7,567 | 10,293 | 185 | 115 | 17 | 18,045 | 95 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 93.0% | 20,768 | 8,583 | 11,832 | 205 | 129 | 19 | 20,620 | 107 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 97.0% | 21,666 | 8,980 | 12,324 | 210 | 133 | 19 | 21,514 | 111 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 22,336 | 9,228 | 12,729 | 219 | 141 | 19 | 22,176 | 114 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex