BARRANCAS (LA GUAJIRA)
Municipio code 48004. 82 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 15628.86066 / (1 + e^(-0.14827(t - 43.16098))) | 15628.86066 | 0.14827 | 43.16098 | 0.99962 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 10842.27128 / (1 + e^(-0.14793(t - 42.74766))) | 10842.27128 | 0.14793 | 42.74766 | 0.99960 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 4619.64805 / (1 + e^(-0.14905(t - 44.05413))) | 4619.64805 | 0.14905 | 44.05413 | 0.99951 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 100.08423 / (1 + e^(-0.14478(t - 45.47603))) | 100.08423 | 0.14478 | 45.47603 | 0.99908 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 58.98663 / (1 + e^(-0.18123(t - 44.73623))) | 58.98663 | 0.18123 | 44.73623 | 0.99943 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 8.00551 / (1 + e^(-0.17020(t - 43.84708))) | 8.00551 | 0.17020 | 43.84708 | 0.99426 |
| Validos | y(t) = 15561.85382 / (1 + e^(-0.14817(t - 43.15412))) | 15561.85382 | 0.14817 | 43.15412 | 0.99962 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 82.04861 / (1 + e^(-0.13811(t - 42.10308))) | 82.04861 | 0.13811 | 42.10308 | 0.99957 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.1% | 22 | 16 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 1 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 2.4% | 382 | 300 | 80 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 381 | 4 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 4.1% | 635 | 490 | 141 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 634 | 6 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 11.5% | 1,791 | 1,365 | 409 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 1,786 | 13 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 22.3% | 3,479 | 2,568 | 883 | 18 | 9 | 1 | 3,469 | 21 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 32.6% | 5,100 | 3,664 | 1,396 | 24 | 14 | 2 | 5,084 | 30 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 54.6% | 8,528 | 6,014 | 2,436 | 47 | 27 | 4 | 8,497 | 47 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 71.3% | 11,134 | 7,864 | 3,160 | 62 | 42 | 6 | 11,086 | 60 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 82.0% | 12,809 | 9,023 | 3,653 | 77 | 49 | 7 | 12,753 | 68 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 89.8% | 14,030 | 9,799 | 4,084 | 86 | 54 | 7 | 13,969 | 74 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 97.0% | 15,154 | 10,542 | 4,450 | 96 | 58 | 8 | 15,088 | 80 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 98.7% | 15,416 | 10,719 | 4,532 | 99 | 58 | 8 | 15,350 | 81 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 98.7% | 15,416 | 10,719 | 4,532 | 99 | 58 | 8 | 15,350 | 81 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 15,626 | 10,839 | 4,620 | 100 | 59 | 8 | 15,559 | 82 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 15,626 | 10,839 | 4,620 | 100 | 59 | 8 | 15,559 | 82 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 15,626 | 10,839 | 4,620 | 100 | 59 | 8 | 15,559 | 82 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 15,626 | 10,839 | 4,620 | 100 | 59 | 8 | 15,559 | 82 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 15,626 | 10,839 | 4,620 | 100 | 59 | 8 | 15,559 | 82 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 15,626 | 10,839 | 4,620 | 100 | 59 | 8 | 15,559 | 82 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 15,626 | 10,839 | 4,620 | 100 | 59 | 8 | 15,559 | 82 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 15,626 | 10,839 | 4,620 | 100 | 59 | 8 | 15,559 | 82 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 15,626 | 10,839 | 4,620 | 100 | 59 | 8 | 15,559 | 82 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 15,626 | 10,839 | 4,620 | 100 | 59 | 8 | 15,559 | 82 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 15,626 | 10,839 | 4,620 | 100 | 59 | 8 | 15,559 | 82 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 15,626 | 10,839 | 4,620 | 100 | 59 | 8 | 15,559 | 82 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 15,626 | 10,839 | 4,620 | 100 | 59 | 8 | 15,559 | 82 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 15,626 | 10,839 | 4,620 | 100 | 59 | 8 | 15,559 | 82 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 15,626 | 10,839 | 4,620 | 100 | 59 | 8 | 15,559 | 82 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 15,626 | 10,839 | 4,620 | 100 | 59 | 8 | 15,559 | 82 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 15,626 | 10,839 | 4,620 | 100 | 59 | 8 | 15,559 | 82 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 15,626 | 10,839 | 4,620 | 100 | 59 | 8 | 15,559 | 82 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 15,626 | 10,839 | 4,620 | 100 | 59 | 8 | 15,559 | 82 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 15,626 | 10,839 | 4,620 | 100 | 59 | 8 | 15,559 | 82 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 15,626 | 10,839 | 4,620 | 100 | 59 | 8 | 15,559 | 82 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 15,626 | 10,839 | 4,620 | 100 | 59 | 8 | 15,559 | 82 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 15,626 | 10,839 | 4,620 | 100 | 59 | 8 | 15,559 | 82 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 15,626 | 10,839 | 4,620 | 100 | 59 | 8 | 15,559 | 82 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 15,626 | 10,839 | 4,620 | 100 | 59 | 8 | 15,559 | 82 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 15,626 | 10,839 | 4,620 | 100 | 59 | 8 | 15,559 | 82 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 15,626 | 10,839 | 4,620 | 100 | 59 | 8 | 15,559 | 82 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 15,626 | 10,839 | 4,620 | 100 | 59 | 8 | 15,559 | 82 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 15,626 | 10,839 | 4,620 | 100 | 59 | 8 | 15,559 | 82 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 15,626 | 10,839 | 4,620 | 100 | 59 | 8 | 15,559 | 82 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 15,626 | 10,839 | 4,620 | 100 | 59 | 8 | 15,559 | 82 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 15,626 | 10,839 | 4,620 | 100 | 59 | 8 | 15,559 | 82 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 15,626 | 10,839 | 4,620 | 100 | 59 | 8 | 15,559 | 82 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 15,626 | 10,839 | 4,620 | 100 | 59 | 8 | 15,559 | 82 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 15,626 | 10,839 | 4,620 | 100 | 59 | 8 | 15,559 | 82 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 15,626 | 10,839 | 4,620 | 100 | 59 | 8 | 15,559 | 82 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 15,626 | 10,839 | 4,620 | 100 | 59 | 8 | 15,559 | 82 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 15,626 | 10,839 | 4,620 | 100 | 59 | 8 | 15,559 | 82 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 15,626 | 10,839 | 4,620 | 100 | 59 | 8 | 15,559 | 82 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 15,626 | 10,839 | 4,620 | 100 | 59 | 8 | 15,559 | 82 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 15,626 | 10,839 | 4,620 | 100 | 59 | 8 | 15,559 | 82 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 15,626 | 10,839 | 4,620 | 100 | 59 | 8 | 15,559 | 82 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 15,626 | 10,839 | 4,620 | 100 | 59 | 8 | 15,559 | 82 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 15,626 | 10,839 | 4,620 | 100 | 59 | 8 | 15,559 | 82 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 15,626 | 10,839 | 4,620 | 100 | 59 | 8 | 15,559 | 82 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 15,626 | 10,839 | 4,620 | 100 | 59 | 8 | 15,559 | 82 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 15,626 | 10,839 | 4,620 | 100 | 59 | 8 | 15,559 | 82 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 15,626 | 10,839 | 4,620 | 100 | 59 | 8 | 15,559 | 82 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 15,626 | 10,839 | 4,620 | 100 | 59 | 8 | 15,559 | 82 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 15,626 | 10,839 | 4,620 | 100 | 59 | 8 | 15,559 | 82 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 15,626 | 10,839 | 4,620 | 100 | 59 | 8 | 15,559 | 82 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 15,626 | 10,839 | 4,620 | 100 | 59 | 8 | 15,559 | 82 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex