SAN LUIS DE PALENQUE (CASANARE)
Municipio code 46830. 24 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 4751.61814 / (1 + e^(-0.15955(t - 41.80528))) | 4751.61814 | 0.15955 | 41.80528 | 0.99771 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 709.10472 / (1 + e^(-0.17580(t - 43.12623))) | 709.10472 | 0.17580 | 43.12623 | 0.99834 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 3949.48490 / (1 + e^(-0.15697(t - 41.53617))) | 3949.48490 | 0.15697 | 41.53617 | 0.99745 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 58.94035 / (1 + e^(-0.18732(t - 42.66544))) | 58.94035 | 0.18732 | 42.66544 | 0.99912 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 28.98750 / (1 + e^(-0.16786(t - 43.67427))) | 28.98750 | 0.16786 | 43.67427 | 0.99788 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 4.96907 / (1 + e^(-0.35856(t - 34.11327))) | 4.96907 | 0.35856 | 34.11327 | 0.98199 |
| Validos | y(t) = 4717.63375 / (1 + e^(-0.15952(t - 41.80059))) | 4717.63375 | 0.15952 | 41.80059 | 0.99769 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 24.01110 / (1 + e^(-0.13583(t - 39.42334))) | 24.01110 | 0.13583 | 39.42334 | 0.99837 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 1.1% | 52 | 6 | 45 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 52 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 5.4% | 256 | 19 | 235 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 256 | 3 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 5.6% | 268 | 22 | 244 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 268 | 4 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 20.1% | 955 | 96 | 841 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 946 | 8 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 47.4% | 2,253 | 283 | 1,936 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 2,240 | 13 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 57.6% | 2,740 | 375 | 2,312 | 33 | 16 | 4 | 2,720 | 15 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 72.5% | 3,446 | 501 | 2,875 | 46 | 20 | 4 | 3,422 | 18 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 86.8% | 4,127 | 614 | 3,432 | 52 | 24 | 5 | 4,098 | 21 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 94.4% | 4,487 | 683 | 3,717 | 55 | 27 | 5 | 4,455 | 23 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 94.4% | 4,487 | 683 | 3,717 | 55 | 27 | 5 | 4,455 | 23 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 4,753 | 709 | 3,951 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 4,719 | 24 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 4,753 | 709 | 3,951 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 4,719 | 24 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 4,753 | 709 | 3,951 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 4,719 | 24 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 4,753 | 709 | 3,951 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 4,719 | 24 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 4,753 | 709 | 3,951 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 4,719 | 24 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 4,753 | 709 | 3,951 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 4,719 | 24 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 4,753 | 709 | 3,951 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 4,719 | 24 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 4,753 | 709 | 3,951 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 4,719 | 24 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 4,753 | 709 | 3,951 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 4,719 | 24 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 4,753 | 709 | 3,951 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 4,719 | 24 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 4,753 | 709 | 3,951 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 4,719 | 24 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 4,753 | 709 | 3,951 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 4,719 | 24 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 4,753 | 709 | 3,951 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 4,719 | 24 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 4,753 | 709 | 3,951 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 4,719 | 24 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 4,753 | 709 | 3,951 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 4,719 | 24 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 4,753 | 709 | 3,951 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 4,719 | 24 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 4,753 | 709 | 3,951 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 4,719 | 24 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 4,753 | 709 | 3,951 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 4,719 | 24 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 4,753 | 709 | 3,951 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 4,719 | 24 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 4,753 | 709 | 3,951 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 4,719 | 24 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 4,753 | 709 | 3,951 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 4,719 | 24 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 4,753 | 709 | 3,951 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 4,719 | 24 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 4,753 | 709 | 3,951 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 4,719 | 24 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 4,753 | 709 | 3,951 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 4,719 | 24 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 4,753 | 709 | 3,951 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 4,719 | 24 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 4,753 | 709 | 3,951 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 4,719 | 24 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 4,753 | 709 | 3,951 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 4,719 | 24 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 4,753 | 709 | 3,951 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 4,719 | 24 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 4,753 | 709 | 3,951 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 4,719 | 24 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 4,753 | 709 | 3,951 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 4,719 | 24 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 4,753 | 709 | 3,951 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 4,719 | 24 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 4,753 | 709 | 3,951 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 4,719 | 24 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 4,753 | 709 | 3,951 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 4,719 | 24 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 4,753 | 709 | 3,951 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 4,719 | 24 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 4,753 | 709 | 3,951 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 4,719 | 24 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 4,753 | 709 | 3,951 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 4,719 | 24 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 4,753 | 709 | 3,951 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 4,719 | 24 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 4,753 | 709 | 3,951 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 4,719 | 24 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 4,753 | 709 | 3,951 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 4,719 | 24 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 4,753 | 709 | 3,951 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 4,719 | 24 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 4,753 | 709 | 3,951 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 4,719 | 24 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 4,753 | 709 | 3,951 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 4,719 | 24 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 4,753 | 709 | 3,951 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 4,719 | 24 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 4,753 | 709 | 3,951 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 4,719 | 24 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 4,753 | 709 | 3,951 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 4,719 | 24 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 4,753 | 709 | 3,951 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 4,719 | 24 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 4,753 | 709 | 3,951 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 4,719 | 24 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 4,753 | 709 | 3,951 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 4,719 | 24 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 4,753 | 709 | 3,951 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 4,719 | 24 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 4,753 | 709 | 3,951 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 4,719 | 24 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 4,753 | 709 | 3,951 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 4,719 | 24 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 4,753 | 709 | 3,951 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 4,719 | 24 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 4,753 | 709 | 3,951 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 4,719 | 24 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 4,753 | 709 | 3,951 | 59 | 29 | 5 | 4,719 | 24 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex