MANI (CASANARE)
Municipio code 46520. 40 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 8172.94381 / (1 + e^(-0.23519(t - 39.19594))) | 8172.94381 | 0.23519 | 39.19594 | 0.99826 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 2291.95573 / (1 + e^(-0.23398(t - 39.50822))) | 2291.95573 | 0.23398 | 39.50822 | 0.99857 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 5677.96344 / (1 + e^(-0.23610(t - 39.08816))) | 5677.96344 | 0.23610 | 39.08816 | 0.99814 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 115.94584 / (1 + e^(-0.24551(t - 38.49412))) | 115.94584 | 0.24551 | 38.49412 | 0.99559 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 76.08783 / (1 + e^(-0.20340(t - 39.76612))) | 76.08783 | 0.20340 | 39.76612 | 0.99761 |
| No marcados | fit not available (flat series or no convergence) |
| Validos | y(t) = 8085.88677 / (1 + e^(-0.23545(t - 39.19883))) | 8085.88677 | 0.23545 | 39.19883 | 0.99826 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 40.00893 / (1 + e^(-0.22452(t - 37.65771))) | 40.00893 | 0.22452 | 37.65771 | 0.99870 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 2.6% | 211 | 47 | 161 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 208 | 2 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 4.3% | 348 | 78 | 262 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 341 | 4 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 21.8% | 1,782 | 494 | 1,238 | 28 | 18 | 4 | 1,760 | 12 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 55.0% | 4,492 | 1,195 | 3,174 | 73 | 39 | 11 | 4,442 | 25 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 69.5% | 5,675 | 1,581 | 3,954 | 82 | 47 | 11 | 5,617 | 30 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 91.0% | 7,435 | 2,055 | 5,197 | 104 | 68 | 11 | 7,356 | 37 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 8,170 | 2,291 | 5,676 | 116 | 76 | 11 | 8,083 | 40 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex