VALPARAISO (CAQUETA)
Municipio code 44040. 18 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 2976.46675 / (1 + e^(-0.29690(t - 35.86267))) | 2976.46675 | 0.29690 | 35.86267 | 0.99911 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 874.68271 / (1 + e^(-0.30320(t - 35.62703))) | 874.68271 | 0.30320 | 35.62703 | 0.99885 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 1972.80009 / (1 + e^(-0.29492(t - 35.99776))) | 1972.80009 | 0.29492 | 35.99776 | 0.99920 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 62.99419 / (1 + e^(-0.31595(t - 35.17486))) | 62.99419 | 0.31595 | 35.17486 | 0.99956 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 59.98792 / (1 + e^(-0.27567(t - 35.62945))) | 59.98792 | 0.27567 | 35.62945 | 0.99833 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 5.99715 / (1 + e^(-0.27598(t - 35.85710))) | 5.99715 | 0.27598 | 35.85710 | 0.99267 |
| Validos | y(t) = 2910.47865 / (1 + e^(-0.29749(t - 35.86751))) | 2910.47865 | 0.29749 | 35.86751 | 0.99912 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 18.00815 / (1 + e^(-0.25269(t - 34.66697))) | 18.00815 | 0.25269 | 34.66697 | 0.99869 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.4% | 12 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 2.6% | 78 | 23 | 53 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 78 | 2 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 8.3% | 246 | 72 | 160 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 240 | 3 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 38.1% | 1,135 | 347 | 734 | 25 | 26 | 3 | 1,106 | 8 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 73.4% | 2,184 | 660 | 1,427 | 50 | 43 | 4 | 2,137 | 14 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 86.4% | 2,572 | 755 | 1,704 | 57 | 51 | 5 | 2,516 | 16 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 2,977 | 875 | 1,973 | 63 | 60 | 6 | 2,911 | 18 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex