MORELIA (CAQUETA)
Municipio code 44017. 14 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 2278.15519 / (1 + e^(-0.31876(t - 26.32250))) | 2278.15519 | 0.31876 | 26.32250 | 0.99807 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 629.56925 / (1 + e^(-0.31064(t - 25.82848))) | 629.56925 | 0.31064 | 25.82848 | 0.99817 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 1588.52557 / (1 + e^(-0.32170(t - 26.51700))) | 1588.52557 | 0.32170 | 26.51700 | 0.99801 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 32.02954 / (1 + e^(-0.37610(t - 26.93799))) | 32.02954 | 0.37610 | 26.93799 | 0.99823 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 24.01541 / (1 + e^(-0.36469(t - 25.25397))) | 24.01541 | 0.36469 | 25.25397 | 0.99920 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 4.00496 / (1 + e^(-0.37805(t - 28.16638))) | 4.00496 | 0.37805 | 28.16638 | 0.99472 |
| Validos | y(t) = 2250.13627 / (1 + e^(-0.31841(t - 26.33145))) | 2250.13627 | 0.31841 | 26.33145 | 0.99805 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 14.00826 / (1 + e^(-0.26109(t - 25.05494))) | 14.00826 | 0.26109 | 25.05494 | 0.99827 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 13.0% | 297 | 92 | 199 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 294 | 3 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 32.1% | 731 | 225 | 488 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 721 | 6 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 66.7% | 1,517 | 438 | 1,037 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 1,496 | 10 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 98.4% | 2,239 | 621 | 1,558 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,211 | 13 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 2,276 | 629 | 1,587 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 2,248 | 14 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex