EL DONCELLO (CAQUETA)
Municipio code 44005. 49 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 10368.99714 / (1 + e^(-0.34133(t - 32.08027))) | 10368.99714 | 0.34133 | 32.08027 | 0.99979 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 4227.56728 / (1 + e^(-0.34554(t - 32.03013))) | 4227.56728 | 0.34554 | 32.03013 | 0.99957 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 5688.16761 / (1 + e^(-0.34105(t - 32.18261))) | 5688.16761 | 0.34105 | 32.18261 | 0.99988 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 272.19158 / (1 + e^(-0.30466(t - 31.05013))) | 272.19158 | 0.30466 | 31.05013 | 0.99922 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 152.05763 / (1 + e^(-0.33282(t - 31.40462))) | 152.05763 | 0.33282 | 31.40462 | 0.99968 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 29.02074 / (1 + e^(-0.26640(t - 31.97646))) | 29.02074 | 0.26640 | 31.97646 | 0.99923 |
| Validos | y(t) = 10187.91414 / (1 + e^(-0.34181(t - 32.09049))) | 10187.91414 | 0.34181 | 32.09049 | 0.99979 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 49.03082 / (1 + e^(-0.32427(t - 31.80950))) | 49.03082 | 0.32427 | 31.80950 | 0.99950 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 7.2% | 750 | 333 | 368 | 35 | 10 | 4 | 736 | 5 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 26.4% | 2,731 | 1,119 | 1,457 | 96 | 50 | 9 | 2,672 | 14 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 64.5% | 6,686 | 2,722 | 3,656 | 186 | 104 | 18 | 6,564 | 32 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 93.1% | 9,648 | 4,007 | 5,213 | 260 | 143 | 25 | 9,480 | 46 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 10,364 | 4,225 | 5,686 | 272 | 152 | 29 | 10,183 | 49 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex