ARAUCA (ARAUCA)
Municipio code 40001. 242 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 38568.87179 / (1 + e^(-0.22008(t - 38.81642))) | 38568.87179 | 0.22008 | 38.81642 | 0.99946 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 9524.26010 / (1 + e^(-0.22291(t - 38.53905))) | 9524.26010 | 0.22291 | 38.53905 | 0.99961 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 27901.84152 / (1 + e^(-0.21889(t - 38.90477))) | 27901.84152 | 0.21889 | 38.90477 | 0.99939 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 681.43277 / (1 + e^(-0.23229(t - 38.65555))) | 681.43277 | 0.23229 | 38.65555 | 0.99942 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 386.33128 / (1 + e^(-0.23049(t - 39.38936))) | 386.33128 | 0.23049 | 39.38936 | 0.99940 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 75.12853 / (1 + e^(-0.18854(t - 40.48172))) | 75.12853 | 0.18854 | 40.48172 | 0.99442 |
| Validos | y(t) = 38107.38866 / (1 + e^(-0.22010(t - 38.80751))) | 38107.38866 | 0.22010 | 38.80751 | 0.99946 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 242.13241 / (1 + e^(-0.20466(t - 36.78991))) | 242.13241 | 0.20466 | 36.78991 | 0.99954 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.1% | 24 | 8 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 1 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.2% | 65 | 19 | 45 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 64 | 2 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 1.2% | 457 | 135 | 304 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 445 | 12 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 9.1% | 3,503 | 1,011 | 2,388 | 65 | 32 | 7 | 3,464 | 42 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 29.0% | 11,165 | 2,783 | 8,067 | 193 | 98 | 24 | 11,043 | 93 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 50.3% | 19,406 | 4,880 | 13,976 | 342 | 177 | 31 | 19,198 | 145 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 73.6% | 28,356 | 7,219 | 20,300 | 517 | 279 | 41 | 28,036 | 192 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 92.0% | 35,453 | 8,826 | 25,550 | 646 | 362 | 69 | 35,022 | 228 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 98.1% | 37,806 | 9,363 | 27,319 | 670 | 381 | 73 | 37,352 | 239 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 38,548 | 9,519 | 27,887 | 681 | 386 | 75 | 38,087 | 242 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex