TULUA (VALLE)
Municipio code 31106. 513 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
| Total votes | y(t) = 105912.05647 / (1 + e^(-0.15313(t - 42.13796))) | 105912.05647 | 0.15313 | 42.13796 | 0.99853 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 53748.85440 / (1 + e^(-0.15274(t - 42.11008))) | 53748.85440 | 0.15274 | 42.11008 | 0.99854 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 49142.20201 / (1 + e^(-0.15350(t - 42.15859))) | 49142.20201 | 0.15350 | 42.15859 | 0.99850 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 1743.83768 / (1 + e^(-0.15023(t - 42.39160))) | 1743.83768 | 0.15023 | 42.39160 | 0.99856 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 1171.17993 / (1 + e^(-0.16036(t - 42.10980))) | 1171.17993 | 0.16036 | 42.10980 | 0.99880 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 106.01418 / (1 + e^(-0.14637(t - 42.90199))) | 106.01418 | 0.14637 | 42.90199 | 0.99865 |
| Validos | y(t) = 104634.87446 / (1 + e^(-0.15306(t - 42.13755))) | 104634.87446 | 0.15306 | 42.13755 | 0.99853 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 512.63843 / (1 + e^(-0.14966(t - 40.91843))) | 512.63843 | 0.14966 | 40.91843 | 0.99884 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 2 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 2.0% | 2,099 | 1,185 | 863 | 30 | 21 | 0 | 2,078 | 24 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 8.1% | 8,609 | 4,518 | 3,857 | 138 | 85 | 11 | 8,513 | 62 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 22.1% | 23,403 | 11,881 | 10,853 | 395 | 250 | 24 | 23,129 | 136 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 41.7% | 44,235 | 22,416 | 20,591 | 714 | 473 | 41 | 43,721 | 235 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 60.4% | 64,052 | 32,606 | 29,646 | 1,028 | 712 | 60 | 63,280 | 329 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 72.6% | 76,905 | 39,208 | 35,506 | 1,253 | 865 | 73 | 75,967 | 386 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 82.0% | 86,940 | 43,978 | 40,484 | 1,419 | 974 | 85 | 85,881 | 430 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 90.3% | 95,730 | 48,532 | 44,467 | 1,564 | 1,071 | 96 | 94,563 | 469 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 95.9% | 101,600 | 51,508 | 47,183 | 1,675 | 1,132 | 102 | 100,366 | 494 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 98.7% | 104,578 | 53,134 | 48,457 | 1,718 | 1,164 | 105 | 103,309 | 507 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 99.8% | 105,792 | 53,675 | 49,103 | 1,739 | 1,169 | 106 | 104,517 | 512 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 99.8% | 105,792 | 53,675 | 49,103 | 1,739 | 1,169 | 106 | 104,517 | 512 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 99.8% | 105,792 | 53,675 | 49,103 | 1,739 | 1,169 | 106 | 104,517 | 512 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 105,989 | 53,789 | 49,177 | 1,745 | 1,172 | 106 | 104,711 | 513 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 105,989 | 53,789 | 49,177 | 1,745 | 1,172 | 106 | 104,711 | 513 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 105,989 | 53,789 | 49,177 | 1,745 | 1,172 | 106 | 104,711 | 513 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 105,989 | 53,789 | 49,177 | 1,745 | 1,172 | 106 | 104,711 | 513 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 105,989 | 53,789 | 49,177 | 1,745 | 1,172 | 106 | 104,711 | 513 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 105,989 | 53,789 | 49,177 | 1,745 | 1,172 | 106 | 104,711 | 513 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 105,989 | 53,789 | 49,177 | 1,745 | 1,172 | 106 | 104,711 | 513 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 105,989 | 53,789 | 49,177 | 1,745 | 1,172 | 106 | 104,711 | 513 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 105,989 | 53,789 | 49,177 | 1,745 | 1,172 | 106 | 104,711 | 513 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 105,989 | 53,789 | 49,177 | 1,745 | 1,172 | 106 | 104,711 | 513 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 105,989 | 53,789 | 49,177 | 1,745 | 1,172 | 106 | 104,711 | 513 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 105,989 | 53,789 | 49,177 | 1,745 | 1,172 | 106 | 104,711 | 513 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 105,989 | 53,789 | 49,177 | 1,745 | 1,172 | 106 | 104,711 | 513 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 105,989 | 53,789 | 49,177 | 1,745 | 1,172 | 106 | 104,711 | 513 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 105,989 | 53,789 | 49,177 | 1,745 | 1,172 | 106 | 104,711 | 513 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 105,989 | 53,789 | 49,177 | 1,745 | 1,172 | 106 | 104,711 | 513 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 105,989 | 53,789 | 49,177 | 1,745 | 1,172 | 106 | 104,711 | 513 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 105,989 | 53,789 | 49,177 | 1,745 | 1,172 | 106 | 104,711 | 513 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 105,989 | 53,789 | 49,177 | 1,745 | 1,172 | 106 | 104,711 | 513 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 105,989 | 53,789 | 49,177 | 1,745 | 1,172 | 106 | 104,711 | 513 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 105,989 | 53,789 | 49,177 | 1,745 | 1,172 | 106 | 104,711 | 513 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 105,989 | 53,789 | 49,177 | 1,745 | 1,172 | 106 | 104,711 | 513 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 105,989 | 53,789 | 49,177 | 1,745 | 1,172 | 106 | 104,711 | 513 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 105,989 | 53,789 | 49,177 | 1,745 | 1,172 | 106 | 104,711 | 513 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 105,989 | 53,789 | 49,177 | 1,745 | 1,172 | 106 | 104,711 | 513 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 105,989 | 53,789 | 49,177 | 1,745 | 1,172 | 106 | 104,711 | 513 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 105,989 | 53,789 | 49,177 | 1,745 | 1,172 | 106 | 104,711 | 513 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 105,989 | 53,789 | 49,177 | 1,745 | 1,172 | 106 | 104,711 | 513 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 105,989 | 53,789 | 49,177 | 1,745 | 1,172 | 106 | 104,711 | 513 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 105,989 | 53,789 | 49,177 | 1,745 | 1,172 | 106 | 104,711 | 513 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 105,989 | 53,789 | 49,177 | 1,745 | 1,172 | 106 | 104,711 | 513 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 105,989 | 53,789 | 49,177 | 1,745 | 1,172 | 106 | 104,711 | 513 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 105,989 | 53,789 | 49,177 | 1,745 | 1,172 | 106 | 104,711 | 513 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 105,989 | 53,789 | 49,177 | 1,745 | 1,172 | 106 | 104,711 | 513 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 105,989 | 53,789 | 49,177 | 1,745 | 1,172 | 106 | 104,711 | 513 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 105,989 | 53,789 | 49,177 | 1,745 | 1,172 | 106 | 104,711 | 513 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 105,989 | 53,789 | 49,177 | 1,745 | 1,172 | 106 | 104,711 | 513 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 105,989 | 53,789 | 49,177 | 1,745 | 1,172 | 106 | 104,711 | 513 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 105,989 | 53,789 | 49,177 | 1,745 | 1,172 | 106 | 104,711 | 513 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 105,989 | 53,789 | 49,177 | 1,745 | 1,172 | 106 | 104,711 | 513 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 105,989 | 53,789 | 49,177 | 1,745 | 1,172 | 106 | 104,711 | 513 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 105,989 | 53,789 | 49,177 | 1,745 | 1,172 | 106 | 104,711 | 513 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 105,989 | 53,789 | 49,177 | 1,745 | 1,172 | 106 | 104,711 | 513 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 105,989 | 53,789 | 49,177 | 1,745 | 1,172 | 106 | 104,711 | 513 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 105,989 | 53,789 | 49,177 | 1,745 | 1,172 | 106 | 104,711 | 513 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 105,989 | 53,789 | 49,177 | 1,745 | 1,172 | 106 | 104,711 | 513 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 105,989 | 53,789 | 49,177 | 1,745 | 1,172 | 106 | 104,711 | 513 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 105,989 | 53,789 | 49,177 | 1,745 | 1,172 | 106 | 104,711 | 513 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 105,989 | 53,789 | 49,177 | 1,745 | 1,172 | 106 | 104,711 | 513 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 105,989 | 53,789 | 49,177 | 1,745 | 1,172 | 106 | 104,711 | 513 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex