PRADERA (VALLE)
Municipio code 31082. 132 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 26137.94451 / (1 + e^(-0.17624(t - 36.82035))) | 26137.94451 | 0.17624 | 36.82035 | 0.99892 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 19461.97393 / (1 + e^(-0.17560(t - 36.82837))) | 19461.97393 | 0.17560 | 36.82837 | 0.99890 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 6124.69745 / (1 + e^(-0.17746(t - 36.80803))) | 6124.69745 | 0.17746 | 36.80803 | 0.99897 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 269.51039 / (1 + e^(-0.16968(t - 37.27531))) | 269.51039 | 0.16968 | 37.27531 | 0.99680 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 242.85116 / (1 + e^(-0.19935(t - 35.96155))) | 242.85116 | 0.19935 | 35.96155 | 0.99891 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 39.00486 / (1 + e^(-0.22717(t - 37.63238))) | 39.00486 | 0.22717 | 37.63238 | 0.99939 |
| Validos | y(t) = 25856.14360 / (1 + e^(-0.17599(t - 36.82788))) | 25856.14360 | 0.17599 | 36.82788 | 0.99892 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 131.92000 / (1 + e^(-0.16103(t - 34.87549))) | 131.92000 | 0.16103 | 34.87549 | 0.99917 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.2% | 40 | 36 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 39 | 1 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.2% | 48 | 43 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 47 | 2 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 1.0% | 249 | 187 | 59 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 246 | 6 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 5.1% | 1,333 | 1,008 | 303 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 1,322 | 16 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 21.9% | 5,717 | 4,289 | 1,316 | 50 | 56 | 6 | 5,655 | 41 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 38.9% | 10,166 | 7,529 | 2,427 | 104 | 94 | 12 | 10,060 | 62 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 61.4% | 16,049 | 11,991 | 3,705 | 167 | 164 | 22 | 15,863 | 88 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 77.6% | 20,287 | 15,057 | 4,791 | 207 | 200 | 32 | 20,055 | 107 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 86.1% | 22,535 | 16,733 | 5,327 | 222 | 217 | 36 | 22,282 | 116 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 94.2% | 24,647 | 18,379 | 5,751 | 242 | 237 | 38 | 24,372 | 125 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 95.8% | 25,067 | 18,686 | 5,858 | 247 | 237 | 39 | 24,791 | 127 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 99.2% | 25,959 | 19,323 | 6,084 | 270 | 243 | 39 | 25,677 | 131 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 26,159 | 19,477 | 6,130 | 270 | 243 | 39 | 25,877 | 132 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 26,159 | 19,477 | 6,130 | 270 | 243 | 39 | 25,877 | 132 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 26,159 | 19,477 | 6,130 | 270 | 243 | 39 | 25,877 | 132 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 26,159 | 19,477 | 6,130 | 270 | 243 | 39 | 25,877 | 132 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 26,159 | 19,477 | 6,130 | 270 | 243 | 39 | 25,877 | 132 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 26,159 | 19,477 | 6,130 | 270 | 243 | 39 | 25,877 | 132 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 26,159 | 19,477 | 6,130 | 270 | 243 | 39 | 25,877 | 132 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 26,159 | 19,477 | 6,130 | 270 | 243 | 39 | 25,877 | 132 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 26,159 | 19,477 | 6,130 | 270 | 243 | 39 | 25,877 | 132 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 26,159 | 19,477 | 6,130 | 270 | 243 | 39 | 25,877 | 132 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 26,159 | 19,477 | 6,130 | 270 | 243 | 39 | 25,877 | 132 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 26,159 | 19,477 | 6,130 | 270 | 243 | 39 | 25,877 | 132 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 26,159 | 19,477 | 6,130 | 270 | 243 | 39 | 25,877 | 132 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 26,159 | 19,477 | 6,130 | 270 | 243 | 39 | 25,877 | 132 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 26,159 | 19,477 | 6,130 | 270 | 243 | 39 | 25,877 | 132 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 26,159 | 19,477 | 6,130 | 270 | 243 | 39 | 25,877 | 132 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 26,159 | 19,477 | 6,130 | 270 | 243 | 39 | 25,877 | 132 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 26,159 | 19,477 | 6,130 | 270 | 243 | 39 | 25,877 | 132 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 26,159 | 19,477 | 6,130 | 270 | 243 | 39 | 25,877 | 132 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 26,159 | 19,477 | 6,130 | 270 | 243 | 39 | 25,877 | 132 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 26,159 | 19,477 | 6,130 | 270 | 243 | 39 | 25,877 | 132 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 26,159 | 19,477 | 6,130 | 270 | 243 | 39 | 25,877 | 132 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 26,159 | 19,477 | 6,130 | 270 | 243 | 39 | 25,877 | 132 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 26,159 | 19,477 | 6,130 | 270 | 243 | 39 | 25,877 | 132 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 26,159 | 19,477 | 6,130 | 270 | 243 | 39 | 25,877 | 132 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 26,159 | 19,477 | 6,130 | 270 | 243 | 39 | 25,877 | 132 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 26,159 | 19,477 | 6,130 | 270 | 243 | 39 | 25,877 | 132 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 26,159 | 19,477 | 6,130 | 270 | 243 | 39 | 25,877 | 132 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 26,159 | 19,477 | 6,130 | 270 | 243 | 39 | 25,877 | 132 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 26,159 | 19,477 | 6,130 | 270 | 243 | 39 | 25,877 | 132 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 26,159 | 19,477 | 6,130 | 270 | 243 | 39 | 25,877 | 132 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 26,159 | 19,477 | 6,130 | 270 | 243 | 39 | 25,877 | 132 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 26,159 | 19,477 | 6,130 | 270 | 243 | 39 | 25,877 | 132 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 26,159 | 19,477 | 6,130 | 270 | 243 | 39 | 25,877 | 132 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 26,159 | 19,477 | 6,130 | 270 | 243 | 39 | 25,877 | 132 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 26,159 | 19,477 | 6,130 | 270 | 243 | 39 | 25,877 | 132 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 26,159 | 19,477 | 6,130 | 270 | 243 | 39 | 25,877 | 132 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 26,159 | 19,477 | 6,130 | 270 | 243 | 39 | 25,877 | 132 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 26,159 | 19,477 | 6,130 | 270 | 243 | 39 | 25,877 | 132 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 26,159 | 19,477 | 6,130 | 270 | 243 | 39 | 25,877 | 132 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 26,159 | 19,477 | 6,130 | 270 | 243 | 39 | 25,877 | 132 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 26,159 | 19,477 | 6,130 | 270 | 243 | 39 | 25,877 | 132 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 26,159 | 19,477 | 6,130 | 270 | 243 | 39 | 25,877 | 132 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 26,159 | 19,477 | 6,130 | 270 | 243 | 39 | 25,877 | 132 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 26,159 | 19,477 | 6,130 | 270 | 243 | 39 | 25,877 | 132 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 26,159 | 19,477 | 6,130 | 270 | 243 | 39 | 25,877 | 132 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 26,159 | 19,477 | 6,130 | 270 | 243 | 39 | 25,877 | 132 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 26,159 | 19,477 | 6,130 | 270 | 243 | 39 | 25,877 | 132 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 26,159 | 19,477 | 6,130 | 270 | 243 | 39 | 25,877 | 132 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 26,159 | 19,477 | 6,130 | 270 | 243 | 39 | 25,877 | 132 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 26,159 | 19,477 | 6,130 | 270 | 243 | 39 | 25,877 | 132 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 26,159 | 19,477 | 6,130 | 270 | 243 | 39 | 25,877 | 132 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 26,159 | 19,477 | 6,130 | 270 | 243 | 39 | 25,877 | 132 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 26,159 | 19,477 | 6,130 | 270 | 243 | 39 | 25,877 | 132 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex