GUACARI (VALLE)
Municipio code 31061. 92 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 20317.48424 / (1 + e^(-0.19489(t - 41.11898))) | 20317.48424 | 0.19489 | 41.11898 | 0.99948 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 14856.68279 / (1 + e^(-0.19435(t - 41.06284))) | 14856.68279 | 0.19435 | 41.06284 | 0.99948 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 5129.63556 / (1 + e^(-0.19732(t - 41.25110))) | 5129.63556 | 0.19732 | 41.25110 | 0.99950 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 162.09341 / (1 + e^(-0.17805(t - 41.20431))) | 162.09341 | 0.17805 | 41.20431 | 0.99879 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 145.10605 / (1 + e^(-0.18332(t - 42.20834))) | 145.10605 | 0.18332 | 42.20834 | 0.99831 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 23.96874 / (1 + e^(-0.25312(t - 40.49803))) | 23.96874 | 0.25312 | 40.49803 | 0.99852 |
| Validos | y(t) = 20148.41800 / (1 + e^(-0.19494(t - 41.11222))) | 20148.41800 | 0.19494 | 41.11222 | 0.99948 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 91.99759 / (1 + e^(-0.18043(t - 40.27745))) | 91.99759 | 0.18043 | 40.27745 | 0.99950 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 1.4% | 288 | 212 | 72 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 288 | 3 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 7.6% | 1,542 | 1,169 | 349 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 1,532 | 10 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 20.1% | 4,075 | 3,016 | 994 | 35 | 27 | 3 | 4,045 | 23 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 42.8% | 8,689 | 6,395 | 2,149 | 74 | 60 | 11 | 8,618 | 43 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 61.5% | 12,498 | 9,156 | 3,152 | 95 | 79 | 16 | 12,403 | 59 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 80.7% | 16,400 | 12,024 | 4,122 | 125 | 107 | 22 | 16,271 | 75 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 95.3% | 19,364 | 14,160 | 4,892 | 152 | 137 | 23 | 19,204 | 87 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 96.5% | 19,593 | 14,324 | 4,949 | 157 | 140 | 23 | 19,430 | 88 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 98.7% | 20,055 | 14,672 | 5,055 | 161 | 144 | 23 | 19,888 | 90 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 20,314 | 14,854 | 5,129 | 162 | 145 | 24 | 20,145 | 92 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 20,314 | 14,854 | 5,129 | 162 | 145 | 24 | 20,145 | 92 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 20,314 | 14,854 | 5,129 | 162 | 145 | 24 | 20,145 | 92 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 20,314 | 14,854 | 5,129 | 162 | 145 | 24 | 20,145 | 92 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 20,314 | 14,854 | 5,129 | 162 | 145 | 24 | 20,145 | 92 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 20,314 | 14,854 | 5,129 | 162 | 145 | 24 | 20,145 | 92 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 20,314 | 14,854 | 5,129 | 162 | 145 | 24 | 20,145 | 92 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 20,314 | 14,854 | 5,129 | 162 | 145 | 24 | 20,145 | 92 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 20,314 | 14,854 | 5,129 | 162 | 145 | 24 | 20,145 | 92 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 20,314 | 14,854 | 5,129 | 162 | 145 | 24 | 20,145 | 92 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 20,314 | 14,854 | 5,129 | 162 | 145 | 24 | 20,145 | 92 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 20,314 | 14,854 | 5,129 | 162 | 145 | 24 | 20,145 | 92 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 20,314 | 14,854 | 5,129 | 162 | 145 | 24 | 20,145 | 92 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 20,314 | 14,854 | 5,129 | 162 | 145 | 24 | 20,145 | 92 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 20,314 | 14,854 | 5,129 | 162 | 145 | 24 | 20,145 | 92 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 20,314 | 14,854 | 5,129 | 162 | 145 | 24 | 20,145 | 92 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 20,314 | 14,854 | 5,129 | 162 | 145 | 24 | 20,145 | 92 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 20,314 | 14,854 | 5,129 | 162 | 145 | 24 | 20,145 | 92 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 20,314 | 14,854 | 5,129 | 162 | 145 | 24 | 20,145 | 92 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 20,314 | 14,854 | 5,129 | 162 | 145 | 24 | 20,145 | 92 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 20,314 | 14,854 | 5,129 | 162 | 145 | 24 | 20,145 | 92 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 20,314 | 14,854 | 5,129 | 162 | 145 | 24 | 20,145 | 92 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 20,314 | 14,854 | 5,129 | 162 | 145 | 24 | 20,145 | 92 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 20,314 | 14,854 | 5,129 | 162 | 145 | 24 | 20,145 | 92 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 20,314 | 14,854 | 5,129 | 162 | 145 | 24 | 20,145 | 92 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 20,314 | 14,854 | 5,129 | 162 | 145 | 24 | 20,145 | 92 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 20,314 | 14,854 | 5,129 | 162 | 145 | 24 | 20,145 | 92 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 20,314 | 14,854 | 5,129 | 162 | 145 | 24 | 20,145 | 92 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 20,314 | 14,854 | 5,129 | 162 | 145 | 24 | 20,145 | 92 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 20,314 | 14,854 | 5,129 | 162 | 145 | 24 | 20,145 | 92 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 20,314 | 14,854 | 5,129 | 162 | 145 | 24 | 20,145 | 92 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 20,314 | 14,854 | 5,129 | 162 | 145 | 24 | 20,145 | 92 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 20,314 | 14,854 | 5,129 | 162 | 145 | 24 | 20,145 | 92 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 20,314 | 14,854 | 5,129 | 162 | 145 | 24 | 20,145 | 92 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 20,314 | 14,854 | 5,129 | 162 | 145 | 24 | 20,145 | 92 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 20,314 | 14,854 | 5,129 | 162 | 145 | 24 | 20,145 | 92 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 20,314 | 14,854 | 5,129 | 162 | 145 | 24 | 20,145 | 92 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 20,314 | 14,854 | 5,129 | 162 | 145 | 24 | 20,145 | 92 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 20,314 | 14,854 | 5,129 | 162 | 145 | 24 | 20,145 | 92 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 20,314 | 14,854 | 5,129 | 162 | 145 | 24 | 20,145 | 92 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 20,314 | 14,854 | 5,129 | 162 | 145 | 24 | 20,145 | 92 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 20,314 | 14,854 | 5,129 | 162 | 145 | 24 | 20,145 | 92 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 20,314 | 14,854 | 5,129 | 162 | 145 | 24 | 20,145 | 92 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 20,314 | 14,854 | 5,129 | 162 | 145 | 24 | 20,145 | 92 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 20,314 | 14,854 | 5,129 | 162 | 145 | 24 | 20,145 | 92 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 20,314 | 14,854 | 5,129 | 162 | 145 | 24 | 20,145 | 92 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 20,314 | 14,854 | 5,129 | 162 | 145 | 24 | 20,145 | 92 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 20,314 | 14,854 | 5,129 | 162 | 145 | 24 | 20,145 | 92 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 20,314 | 14,854 | 5,129 | 162 | 145 | 24 | 20,145 | 92 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 20,314 | 14,854 | 5,129 | 162 | 145 | 24 | 20,145 | 92 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 20,314 | 14,854 | 5,129 | 162 | 145 | 24 | 20,145 | 92 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 20,314 | 14,854 | 5,129 | 162 | 145 | 24 | 20,145 | 92 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 20,314 | 14,854 | 5,129 | 162 | 145 | 24 | 20,145 | 92 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 20,314 | 14,854 | 5,129 | 162 | 145 | 24 | 20,145 | 92 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex