VALLE DE SAN JUAN (TOLIMA)
Municipio code 29118. 17 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 3186.53188 / (1 + e^(-0.19023(t - 35.81447))) | 3186.53188 | 0.19023 | 35.81447 | 0.99737 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 568.80613 / (1 + e^(-0.21045(t - 35.80825))) | 568.80613 | 0.21045 | 35.80825 | 0.99808 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 2576.71484 / (1 + e^(-0.18685(t - 35.81661))) | 2576.71484 | 0.18685 | 35.81661 | 0.99715 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 24.01402 / (1 + e^(-0.19316(t - 36.27687))) | 24.01402 | 0.19316 | 36.27687 | 0.99767 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 14.01749 / (1 + e^(-0.12008(t - 34.04992))) | 14.01749 | 0.12008 | 34.04992 | 0.98757 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 2.99874 / (1 + e^(-0.17982(t - 38.96109))) | 2.99874 | 0.17982 | 38.96109 | 0.98337 |
| Validos | y(t) = 3169.52937 / (1 + e^(-0.19064(t - 35.81742))) | 3169.52937 | 0.19064 | 35.81742 | 0.99738 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 17.01031 / (1 + e^(-0.15290(t - 32.36367))) | 17.01031 | 0.15290 | 32.36367 | 0.99833 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 1.0% | 33 | 8 | 23 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 31 | 1 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 1.8% | 58 | 8 | 47 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 56 | 2 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 6.1% | 195 | 32 | 157 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 192 | 4 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 19.6% | 625 | 93 | 524 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 621 | 6 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 47.2% | 1,505 | 257 | 1,229 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1,496 | 10 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 62.4% | 1,989 | 367 | 1,596 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 1,977 | 12 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 84.5% | 2,692 | 494 | 2,165 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 2,680 | 15 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 84.5% | 2,692 | 494 | 2,165 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 2,680 | 15 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 3,187 | 569 | 2,577 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 3,170 | 17 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex