MURILLO (TOLIMA)
Municipio code 29080. 12 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 1903.29999 / (1 + e^(-0.30044(t - 30.71627))) | 1903.29999 | 0.30044 | 30.71627 | 0.99738 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 710.07475 / (1 + e^(-0.26444(t - 30.87355))) | 710.07475 | 0.26444 | 30.87355 | 0.99548 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 1154.19072 / (1 + e^(-0.32987(t - 30.67917))) | 1154.19072 | 0.32987 | 30.67917 | 0.99768 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 19.00920 / (1 + e^(-0.33531(t - 28.74703))) | 19.00920 | 0.33531 | 28.74703 | 0.99917 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 17.00802 / (1 + e^(-0.42859(t - 29.64824))) | 17.00802 | 0.42859 | 29.64824 | 0.99950 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 3.00000 / (1 + e^(-9.82420(t - 31.52463))) | 3.00000 | 9.82420 | 31.52463 | 1.00000 |
| Validos | y(t) = 1883.29636 / (1 + e^(-0.29926(t - 30.72391))) | 1883.29636 | 0.29926 | 30.72391 | 0.99732 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 12.02141 / (1 + e^(-0.22784(t - 29.14998))) | 12.02141 | 0.22784 | 29.14998 | 0.99393 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 4.4% | 83 | 41 | 41 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 83 | 1 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 7.0% | 133 | 45 | 87 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 133 | 2 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 15.5% | 295 | 127 | 163 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 293 | 3 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 34.8% | 661 | 261 | 383 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 654 | 5 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 70.5% | 1,341 | 447 | 860 | 16 | 15 | 3 | 1,323 | 9 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 709 | 1,153 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1,881 | 12 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex