ARMERO (GUAYABAL) (TOLIMA)
Municipio code 29016. 33 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 6373.51874 / (1 + e^(-0.22463(t - 41.18470))) | 6373.51874 | 0.22463 | 41.18470 | 0.99892 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 3487.31547 / (1 + e^(-0.22206(t - 40.92957))) | 3487.31547 | 0.22206 | 40.92957 | 0.99906 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 2748.08478 / (1 + e^(-0.23076(t - 41.53419))) | 2748.08478 | 0.23076 | 41.53419 | 0.99861 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 53.06544 / (1 + e^(-0.18763(t - 39.87386))) | 53.06544 | 0.18763 | 39.87386 | 0.99824 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 75.99601 / (1 + e^(-0.19473(t - 41.04535))) | 75.99601 | 0.19473 | 41.04535 | 0.99953 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 9.01865 / (1 + e^(-0.25371(t - 42.31025))) | 9.01865 | 0.25371 | 42.31025 | 0.98946 |
| Validos | y(t) = 6288.51508 / (1 + e^(-0.22503(t - 41.18589))) | 6288.51508 | 0.22503 | 41.18589 | 0.99890 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 33.02511 / (1 + e^(-0.18625(t - 40.15428))) | 33.02511 | 0.18625 | 40.15428 | 0.99859 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 3.3% | 213 | 119 | 86 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 210 | 3 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 6.2% | 393 | 228 | 155 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 389 | 4 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 21.8% | 1,387 | 781 | 573 | 15 | 16 | 2 | 1,369 | 9 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 34.1% | 2,173 | 1,233 | 882 | 23 | 32 | 3 | 2,138 | 13 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 63.7% | 4,056 | 2,292 | 1,678 | 34 | 48 | 4 | 4,004 | 22 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 89.2% | 5,681 | 3,099 | 2,464 | 47 | 62 | 9 | 5,610 | 29 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 96.3% | 6,133 | 3,355 | 2,646 | 52 | 71 | 9 | 6,053 | 31 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 97.3% | 6,199 | 3,368 | 2,698 | 52 | 72 | 9 | 6,118 | 32 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 6,370 | 3,486 | 2,746 | 53 | 76 | 9 | 6,285 | 33 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 6,370 | 3,486 | 2,746 | 53 | 76 | 9 | 6,285 | 33 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 6,370 | 3,486 | 2,746 | 53 | 76 | 9 | 6,285 | 33 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 6,370 | 3,486 | 2,746 | 53 | 76 | 9 | 6,285 | 33 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 6,370 | 3,486 | 2,746 | 53 | 76 | 9 | 6,285 | 33 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 6,370 | 3,486 | 2,746 | 53 | 76 | 9 | 6,285 | 33 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 6,370 | 3,486 | 2,746 | 53 | 76 | 9 | 6,285 | 33 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 6,370 | 3,486 | 2,746 | 53 | 76 | 9 | 6,285 | 33 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 6,370 | 3,486 | 2,746 | 53 | 76 | 9 | 6,285 | 33 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 6,370 | 3,486 | 2,746 | 53 | 76 | 9 | 6,285 | 33 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 6,370 | 3,486 | 2,746 | 53 | 76 | 9 | 6,285 | 33 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 6,370 | 3,486 | 2,746 | 53 | 76 | 9 | 6,285 | 33 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 6,370 | 3,486 | 2,746 | 53 | 76 | 9 | 6,285 | 33 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 6,370 | 3,486 | 2,746 | 53 | 76 | 9 | 6,285 | 33 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 6,370 | 3,486 | 2,746 | 53 | 76 | 9 | 6,285 | 33 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 6,370 | 3,486 | 2,746 | 53 | 76 | 9 | 6,285 | 33 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 6,370 | 3,486 | 2,746 | 53 | 76 | 9 | 6,285 | 33 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 6,370 | 3,486 | 2,746 | 53 | 76 | 9 | 6,285 | 33 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 6,370 | 3,486 | 2,746 | 53 | 76 | 9 | 6,285 | 33 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 6,370 | 3,486 | 2,746 | 53 | 76 | 9 | 6,285 | 33 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 6,370 | 3,486 | 2,746 | 53 | 76 | 9 | 6,285 | 33 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 6,370 | 3,486 | 2,746 | 53 | 76 | 9 | 6,285 | 33 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 6,370 | 3,486 | 2,746 | 53 | 76 | 9 | 6,285 | 33 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 6,370 | 3,486 | 2,746 | 53 | 76 | 9 | 6,285 | 33 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 6,370 | 3,486 | 2,746 | 53 | 76 | 9 | 6,285 | 33 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 6,370 | 3,486 | 2,746 | 53 | 76 | 9 | 6,285 | 33 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 6,370 | 3,486 | 2,746 | 53 | 76 | 9 | 6,285 | 33 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 6,370 | 3,486 | 2,746 | 53 | 76 | 9 | 6,285 | 33 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 6,370 | 3,486 | 2,746 | 53 | 76 | 9 | 6,285 | 33 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 6,370 | 3,486 | 2,746 | 53 | 76 | 9 | 6,285 | 33 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 6,370 | 3,486 | 2,746 | 53 | 76 | 9 | 6,285 | 33 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 6,370 | 3,486 | 2,746 | 53 | 76 | 9 | 6,285 | 33 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 6,370 | 3,486 | 2,746 | 53 | 76 | 9 | 6,285 | 33 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 6,370 | 3,486 | 2,746 | 53 | 76 | 9 | 6,285 | 33 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 6,370 | 3,486 | 2,746 | 53 | 76 | 9 | 6,285 | 33 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 6,370 | 3,486 | 2,746 | 53 | 76 | 9 | 6,285 | 33 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 6,370 | 3,486 | 2,746 | 53 | 76 | 9 | 6,285 | 33 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 6,370 | 3,486 | 2,746 | 53 | 76 | 9 | 6,285 | 33 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 6,370 | 3,486 | 2,746 | 53 | 76 | 9 | 6,285 | 33 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 6,370 | 3,486 | 2,746 | 53 | 76 | 9 | 6,285 | 33 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 6,370 | 3,486 | 2,746 | 53 | 76 | 9 | 6,285 | 33 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 6,370 | 3,486 | 2,746 | 53 | 76 | 9 | 6,285 | 33 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 6,370 | 3,486 | 2,746 | 53 | 76 | 9 | 6,285 | 33 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 6,370 | 3,486 | 2,746 | 53 | 76 | 9 | 6,285 | 33 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 6,370 | 3,486 | 2,746 | 53 | 76 | 9 | 6,285 | 33 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 6,370 | 3,486 | 2,746 | 53 | 76 | 9 | 6,285 | 33 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 6,370 | 3,486 | 2,746 | 53 | 76 | 9 | 6,285 | 33 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 6,370 | 3,486 | 2,746 | 53 | 76 | 9 | 6,285 | 33 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 6,370 | 3,486 | 2,746 | 53 | 76 | 9 | 6,285 | 33 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 6,370 | 3,486 | 2,746 | 53 | 76 | 9 | 6,285 | 33 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 6,370 | 3,486 | 2,746 | 53 | 76 | 9 | 6,285 | 33 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 6,370 | 3,486 | 2,746 | 53 | 76 | 9 | 6,285 | 33 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 6,370 | 3,486 | 2,746 | 53 | 76 | 9 | 6,285 | 33 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 6,370 | 3,486 | 2,746 | 53 | 76 | 9 | 6,285 | 33 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 6,370 | 3,486 | 2,746 | 53 | 76 | 9 | 6,285 | 33 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex