IBAGUE (TOLIMA)
Municipio code 29001. 1366 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 325449.47245 / (1 + e^(-0.17951(t - 41.60228))) | 325449.47245 | 0.17951 | 41.60228 | 0.99959 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 139882.56103 / (1 + e^(-0.17696(t - 41.37679))) | 139882.56103 | 0.17696 | 41.37679 | 0.99959 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 176380.27608 / (1 + e^(-0.18176(t - 41.78420))) | 176380.27608 | 0.18176 | 41.78420 | 0.99958 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 5423.63091 / (1 + e^(-0.17635(t - 41.45669))) | 5423.63091 | 0.17635 | 41.45669 | 0.99959 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 3526.44954 / (1 + e^(-0.17793(t - 41.57869))) | 3526.44954 | 0.17793 | 41.57869 | 0.99960 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 235.67445 / (1 + e^(-0.19454(t - 40.33666))) | 235.67445 | 0.19454 | 40.33666 | 0.99889 |
| Validos | y(t) = 321687.32926 / (1 + e^(-0.17952(t - 41.60348))) | 321687.32926 | 0.17952 | 41.60348 | 0.99959 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 1365.63635 / (1 + e^(-0.17314(t - 40.71513))) | 1365.63635 | 0.17314 | 40.71513 | 0.99974 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.1% | 188 | 108 | 72 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 184 | 2 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.3% | 820 | 469 | 317 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 809 | 16 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 1.9% | 6,067 | 2,964 | 2,920 | 104 | 76 | 3 | 5,988 | 49 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 6.8% | 22,106 | 10,593 | 10,835 | 418 | 244 | 16 | 21,846 | 134 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 20.6% | 67,148 | 30,628 | 34,557 | 1,174 | 739 | 50 | 66,359 | 334 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 40.8% | 132,939 | 58,794 | 70,326 | 2,264 | 1,444 | 111 | 131,384 | 607 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 61.2% | 199,202 | 86,307 | 107,247 | 3,329 | 2,156 | 163 | 196,883 | 876 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 77.2% | 251,512 | 108,488 | 135,903 | 4,188 | 2,742 | 191 | 248,579 | 1,080 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 89.2% | 290,322 | 125,217 | 156,935 | 4,835 | 3,122 | 213 | 286,987 | 1,230 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 95.6% | 311,228 | 133,867 | 168,578 | 5,196 | 3,361 | 226 | 307,641 | 1,312 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 97.8% | 318,399 | 136,868 | 172,542 | 5,315 | 3,445 | 229 | 314,725 | 1,340 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 99.0% | 322,204 | 138,580 | 174,510 | 5,381 | 3,498 | 235 | 318,471 | 1,354 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 99.6% | 324,447 | 139,511 | 175,771 | 5,412 | 3,518 | 235 | 320,694 | 1,362 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 99.7% | 324,761 | 139,636 | 175,951 | 5,418 | 3,521 | 235 | 321,005 | 1,363 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 325,591 | 139,933 | 176,469 | 5,425 | 3,528 | 236 | 321,827 | 1,366 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 325,591 | 139,933 | 176,469 | 5,425 | 3,528 | 236 | 321,827 | 1,366 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 325,591 | 139,933 | 176,469 | 5,425 | 3,528 | 236 | 321,827 | 1,366 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 325,591 | 139,933 | 176,469 | 5,425 | 3,528 | 236 | 321,827 | 1,366 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 325,591 | 139,933 | 176,469 | 5,425 | 3,528 | 236 | 321,827 | 1,366 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 325,591 | 139,933 | 176,469 | 5,425 | 3,528 | 236 | 321,827 | 1,366 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 325,591 | 139,933 | 176,469 | 5,425 | 3,528 | 236 | 321,827 | 1,366 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 325,591 | 139,933 | 176,469 | 5,425 | 3,528 | 236 | 321,827 | 1,366 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 325,591 | 139,933 | 176,469 | 5,425 | 3,528 | 236 | 321,827 | 1,366 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 325,591 | 139,933 | 176,469 | 5,425 | 3,528 | 236 | 321,827 | 1,366 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 325,591 | 139,933 | 176,469 | 5,425 | 3,528 | 236 | 321,827 | 1,366 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 325,591 | 139,933 | 176,469 | 5,425 | 3,528 | 236 | 321,827 | 1,366 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 325,591 | 139,933 | 176,469 | 5,425 | 3,528 | 236 | 321,827 | 1,366 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 325,591 | 139,933 | 176,469 | 5,425 | 3,528 | 236 | 321,827 | 1,366 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 325,591 | 139,933 | 176,469 | 5,425 | 3,528 | 236 | 321,827 | 1,366 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 325,591 | 139,933 | 176,469 | 5,425 | 3,528 | 236 | 321,827 | 1,366 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 325,591 | 139,933 | 176,469 | 5,425 | 3,528 | 236 | 321,827 | 1,366 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 325,591 | 139,933 | 176,469 | 5,425 | 3,528 | 236 | 321,827 | 1,366 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 325,591 | 139,933 | 176,469 | 5,425 | 3,528 | 236 | 321,827 | 1,366 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 325,591 | 139,933 | 176,469 | 5,425 | 3,528 | 236 | 321,827 | 1,366 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 325,591 | 139,933 | 176,469 | 5,425 | 3,528 | 236 | 321,827 | 1,366 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 325,591 | 139,933 | 176,469 | 5,425 | 3,528 | 236 | 321,827 | 1,366 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 325,591 | 139,933 | 176,469 | 5,425 | 3,528 | 236 | 321,827 | 1,366 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 325,591 | 139,933 | 176,469 | 5,425 | 3,528 | 236 | 321,827 | 1,366 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 325,591 | 139,933 | 176,469 | 5,425 | 3,528 | 236 | 321,827 | 1,366 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 325,591 | 139,933 | 176,469 | 5,425 | 3,528 | 236 | 321,827 | 1,366 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 325,591 | 139,933 | 176,469 | 5,425 | 3,528 | 236 | 321,827 | 1,366 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 325,591 | 139,933 | 176,469 | 5,425 | 3,528 | 236 | 321,827 | 1,366 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 325,591 | 139,933 | 176,469 | 5,425 | 3,528 | 236 | 321,827 | 1,366 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 325,591 | 139,933 | 176,469 | 5,425 | 3,528 | 236 | 321,827 | 1,366 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 325,591 | 139,933 | 176,469 | 5,425 | 3,528 | 236 | 321,827 | 1,366 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 325,591 | 139,933 | 176,469 | 5,425 | 3,528 | 236 | 321,827 | 1,366 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 325,591 | 139,933 | 176,469 | 5,425 | 3,528 | 236 | 321,827 | 1,366 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 325,591 | 139,933 | 176,469 | 5,425 | 3,528 | 236 | 321,827 | 1,366 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 325,591 | 139,933 | 176,469 | 5,425 | 3,528 | 236 | 321,827 | 1,366 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 325,591 | 139,933 | 176,469 | 5,425 | 3,528 | 236 | 321,827 | 1,366 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 325,591 | 139,933 | 176,469 | 5,425 | 3,528 | 236 | 321,827 | 1,366 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 325,591 | 139,933 | 176,469 | 5,425 | 3,528 | 236 | 321,827 | 1,366 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 325,591 | 139,933 | 176,469 | 5,425 | 3,528 | 236 | 321,827 | 1,366 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 325,591 | 139,933 | 176,469 | 5,425 | 3,528 | 236 | 321,827 | 1,366 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 325,591 | 139,933 | 176,469 | 5,425 | 3,528 | 236 | 321,827 | 1,366 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 325,591 | 139,933 | 176,469 | 5,425 | 3,528 | 236 | 321,827 | 1,366 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 325,591 | 139,933 | 176,469 | 5,425 | 3,528 | 236 | 321,827 | 1,366 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 325,591 | 139,933 | 176,469 | 5,425 | 3,528 | 236 | 321,827 | 1,366 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 325,591 | 139,933 | 176,469 | 5,425 | 3,528 | 236 | 321,827 | 1,366 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 325,591 | 139,933 | 176,469 | 5,425 | 3,528 | 236 | 321,827 | 1,366 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 325,591 | 139,933 | 176,469 | 5,425 | 3,528 | 236 | 321,827 | 1,366 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 325,591 | 139,933 | 176,469 | 5,425 | 3,528 | 236 | 321,827 | 1,366 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 325,591 | 139,933 | 176,469 | 5,425 | 3,528 | 236 | 321,827 | 1,366 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 325,591 | 139,933 | 176,469 | 5,425 | 3,528 | 236 | 321,827 | 1,366 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 325,591 | 139,933 | 176,469 | 5,425 | 3,528 | 236 | 321,827 | 1,366 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex