SAN MIGUEL (SANTANDER)
Municipio code 27190. 10 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 1461.89652 / (1 + e^(-0.19431(t - 51.00804))) | 1461.89652 | 0.19431 | 51.00804 | 0.99318 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 280.16686 / (1 + e^(-0.19007(t - 50.62971))) | 280.16686 | 0.19007 | 50.62971 | 0.99254 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 1158.69879 / (1 + e^(-0.19621(t - 51.15965))) | 1158.69879 | 0.19621 | 51.15965 | 0.99319 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 15.01923 / (1 + e^(-0.14436(t - 47.12659))) | 15.01923 | 0.14436 | 47.12659 | 0.99382 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 6.00474 / (1 + e^(-0.16516(t - 45.63938))) | 6.00474 | 0.16516 | 45.63938 | 0.99512 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 2.00000 / (1 + e^(-9.96296(t - 51.52704))) | 2.00000 | 9.96296 | 51.52704 | 1.00000 |
| Validos | y(t) = 1453.89642 / (1 + e^(-0.19426(t - 51.02710))) | 1453.89642 | 0.19426 | 51.02710 | 0.99313 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 9.99681 / (1 + e^(-0.20448(t - 47.38134))) | 9.99681 | 0.20448 | 47.38134 | 0.99276 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 3.9% | 57 | 17 | 37 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 56 | 1 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 9.9% | 144 | 30 | 107 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 142 | 2 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 9.9% | 144 | 30 | 107 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 142 | 2 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 50.4% | 736 | 150 | 573 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 732 | 7 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 67.6% | 988 | 191 | 779 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 981 | 8 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 67.6% | 988 | 191 | 779 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 981 | 8 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 1,461 | 280 | 1,158 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,453 | 10 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 1,461 | 280 | 1,158 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,453 | 10 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 1,461 | 280 | 1,158 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,453 | 10 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 1,461 | 280 | 1,158 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,453 | 10 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 1,461 | 280 | 1,158 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,453 | 10 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 1,461 | 280 | 1,158 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,453 | 10 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 1,461 | 280 | 1,158 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,453 | 10 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 1,461 | 280 | 1,158 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,453 | 10 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 1,461 | 280 | 1,158 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,453 | 10 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 1,461 | 280 | 1,158 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,453 | 10 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 1,461 | 280 | 1,158 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,453 | 10 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 1,461 | 280 | 1,158 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,453 | 10 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 1,461 | 280 | 1,158 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,453 | 10 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 1,461 | 280 | 1,158 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,453 | 10 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 1,461 | 280 | 1,158 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,453 | 10 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 1,461 | 280 | 1,158 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,453 | 10 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 1,461 | 280 | 1,158 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,453 | 10 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 1,461 | 280 | 1,158 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,453 | 10 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 1,461 | 280 | 1,158 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,453 | 10 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 1,461 | 280 | 1,158 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,453 | 10 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 1,461 | 280 | 1,158 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,453 | 10 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 1,461 | 280 | 1,158 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,453 | 10 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 1,461 | 280 | 1,158 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,453 | 10 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 1,461 | 280 | 1,158 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,453 | 10 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 1,461 | 280 | 1,158 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,453 | 10 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 1,461 | 280 | 1,158 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,453 | 10 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 1,461 | 280 | 1,158 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,453 | 10 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 1,461 | 280 | 1,158 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,453 | 10 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 1,461 | 280 | 1,158 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,453 | 10 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 1,461 | 280 | 1,158 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,453 | 10 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 1,461 | 280 | 1,158 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,453 | 10 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 1,461 | 280 | 1,158 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,453 | 10 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 1,461 | 280 | 1,158 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,453 | 10 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 1,461 | 280 | 1,158 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,453 | 10 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 1,461 | 280 | 1,158 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,453 | 10 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 1,461 | 280 | 1,158 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,453 | 10 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 1,461 | 280 | 1,158 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,453 | 10 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 1,461 | 280 | 1,158 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,453 | 10 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 1,461 | 280 | 1,158 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,453 | 10 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 1,461 | 280 | 1,158 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,453 | 10 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 1,461 | 280 | 1,158 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,453 | 10 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 1,461 | 280 | 1,158 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,453 | 10 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 1,461 | 280 | 1,158 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,453 | 10 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 1,461 | 280 | 1,158 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,453 | 10 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 1,461 | 280 | 1,158 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,453 | 10 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 1,461 | 280 | 1,158 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,453 | 10 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 1,461 | 280 | 1,158 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,453 | 10 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 1,461 | 280 | 1,158 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,453 | 10 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 1,461 | 280 | 1,158 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,453 | 10 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 1,461 | 280 | 1,158 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,453 | 10 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 1,461 | 280 | 1,158 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,453 | 10 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 1,461 | 280 | 1,158 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,453 | 10 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 1,461 | 280 | 1,158 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,453 | 10 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 1,461 | 280 | 1,158 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,453 | 10 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 1,461 | 280 | 1,158 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,453 | 10 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex