SAN JOAQUIN (SANTANDER)
Municipio code 27184. 7 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 1407.31033 / (1 + e^(-0.15619(t - 36.12299))) | 1407.31033 | 0.15619 | 36.12299 | 0.99074 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 227.04902 / (1 + e^(-0.15569(t - 34.11749))) | 227.04902 | 0.15569 | 34.11749 | 0.98732 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 1157.14694 / (1 + e^(-0.15768(t - 36.48702))) | 1157.14694 | 0.15768 | 36.48702 | 0.99117 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 15.03155 / (1 + e^(-0.15306(t - 34.71201))) | 15.03155 | 0.15306 | 34.71201 | 0.98463 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 8.02489 / (1 + e^(-0.14596(t - 41.89551))) | 8.02489 | 0.14596 | 41.89551 | 0.98380 |
| No marcados | fit not available (flat series or no convergence) |
| Validos | y(t) = 1399.27790 / (1 + e^(-0.15650(t - 36.09178))) | 1399.27790 | 0.15650 | 36.09178 | 0.99073 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 7.00634 / (1 + e^(-0.14229(t - 33.46917))) | 7.00634 | 0.14229 | 33.46917 | 0.99144 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 3.8% | 54 | 11 | 40 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 53 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 3.8% | 54 | 11 | 40 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 53 | 1 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 33.6% | 472 | 101 | 363 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 470 | 3 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 49.6% | 697 | 129 | 559 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 695 | 4 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 49.6% | 697 | 129 | 559 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 695 | 4 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 82.0% | 1,153 | 192 | 942 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1,148 | 6 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 82.0% | 1,153 | 192 | 942 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1,148 | 6 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 1,406 | 227 | 1,156 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1,398 | 7 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex