SAN ANDRES (SANTANDER)
Municipio code 27175. 26 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 4272.56388 / (1 + e^(-0.17396(t - 35.45162))) | 4272.56388 | 0.17396 | 35.45162 | 0.99703 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 889.52739 / (1 + e^(-0.16475(t - 37.22704))) | 889.52739 | 0.16475 | 37.22704 | 0.99673 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 3281.24457 / (1 + e^(-0.17662(t - 35.02909))) | 3281.24457 | 0.17662 | 35.02909 | 0.99694 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 49.94897 / (1 + e^(-0.19329(t - 35.26365))) | 49.94897 | 0.19329 | 35.26365 | 0.99825 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 39.96354 / (1 + e^(-0.21930(t - 32.98055))) | 39.96354 | 0.21930 | 32.98055 | 0.99794 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 11.97170 / (1 + e^(-0.28502(t - 32.02822))) | 11.97170 | 0.28502 | 32.02822 | 0.99571 |
| Validos | y(t) = 4220.67905 / (1 + e^(-0.17346(t - 35.48896))) | 4220.67905 | 0.17346 | 35.48896 | 0.99702 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 25.97364 / (1 + e^(-0.17724(t - 32.82603))) | 25.97364 | 0.17724 | 32.82603 | 0.99817 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.9% | 38 | 5 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 1 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.9% | 38 | 5 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 8.0% | 341 | 45 | 288 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 338 | 4 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 23.3% | 996 | 175 | 792 | 11 | 14 | 4 | 978 | 9 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 48.8% | 2,085 | 350 | 1,683 | 22 | 22 | 8 | 2,055 | 15 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 68.1% | 2,912 | 559 | 2,276 | 36 | 31 | 10 | 2,871 | 20 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 78.7% | 3,366 | 667 | 2,610 | 41 | 37 | 11 | 3,318 | 22 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 83.4% | 3,566 | 704 | 2,770 | 44 | 37 | 11 | 3,518 | 23 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 95.0% | 4,063 | 805 | 3,160 | 47 | 39 | 12 | 4,012 | 25 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 4,276 | 890 | 3,284 | 50 | 40 | 12 | 4,224 | 26 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex