FLORIAN (SANTANDER)
Municipio code 27080. 21 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 3662.73041 / (1 + e^(-0.20294(t - 38.57613))) | 3662.73041 | 0.20294 | 38.57613 | 0.99851 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 1058.73832 / (1 + e^(-0.20715(t - 37.95817))) | 1058.73832 | 0.20715 | 37.95817 | 0.99840 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 2548.17428 / (1 + e^(-0.20311(t - 38.76776))) | 2548.17428 | 0.20311 | 38.76776 | 0.99860 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 37.96488 / (1 + e^(-0.13183(t - 41.63656))) | 37.96488 | 0.13183 | 41.63656 | 0.98653 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 12.00263 / (1 + e^(-0.17286(t - 45.70424))) | 12.00263 | 0.17286 | 45.70424 | 0.99680 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 6.00720 / (1 + e^(-0.27803(t - 41.51365))) | 6.00720 | 0.27803 | 41.51365 | 0.98745 |
| Validos | y(t) = 3644.73836 / (1 + e^(-0.20315(t - 38.54926))) | 3644.73836 | 0.20315 | 38.54926 | 0.99851 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 20.98875 / (1 + e^(-0.19513(t - 38.10058))) | 20.98875 | 0.19513 | 38.10058 | 0.99845 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 11.2% | 409 | 135 | 271 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 409 | 3 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 28.3% | 1,039 | 321 | 708 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1,038 | 7 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 57.1% | 2,095 | 640 | 1,427 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 2,089 | 12 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 71.2% | 2,612 | 789 | 1,790 | 24 | 6 | 3 | 2,603 | 15 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 88.6% | 3,247 | 943 | 2,265 | 26 | 7 | 6 | 3,234 | 19 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 94.7% | 3,470 | 1,004 | 2,421 | 29 | 10 | 6 | 3,454 | 20 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 94.7% | 3,470 | 1,004 | 2,421 | 29 | 10 | 6 | 3,454 | 20 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 3,666 | 1,060 | 2,550 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3,648 | 21 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 3,666 | 1,060 | 2,550 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3,648 | 21 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 3,666 | 1,060 | 2,550 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3,648 | 21 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 3,666 | 1,060 | 2,550 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3,648 | 21 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 3,666 | 1,060 | 2,550 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3,648 | 21 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 3,666 | 1,060 | 2,550 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3,648 | 21 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 3,666 | 1,060 | 2,550 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3,648 | 21 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 3,666 | 1,060 | 2,550 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3,648 | 21 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 3,666 | 1,060 | 2,550 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3,648 | 21 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 3,666 | 1,060 | 2,550 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3,648 | 21 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 3,666 | 1,060 | 2,550 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3,648 | 21 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 3,666 | 1,060 | 2,550 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3,648 | 21 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 3,666 | 1,060 | 2,550 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3,648 | 21 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 3,666 | 1,060 | 2,550 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3,648 | 21 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 3,666 | 1,060 | 2,550 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3,648 | 21 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 3,666 | 1,060 | 2,550 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3,648 | 21 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 3,666 | 1,060 | 2,550 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3,648 | 21 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 3,666 | 1,060 | 2,550 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3,648 | 21 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 3,666 | 1,060 | 2,550 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3,648 | 21 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 3,666 | 1,060 | 2,550 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3,648 | 21 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 3,666 | 1,060 | 2,550 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3,648 | 21 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 3,666 | 1,060 | 2,550 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3,648 | 21 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 3,666 | 1,060 | 2,550 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3,648 | 21 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 3,666 | 1,060 | 2,550 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3,648 | 21 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 3,666 | 1,060 | 2,550 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3,648 | 21 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 3,666 | 1,060 | 2,550 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3,648 | 21 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 3,666 | 1,060 | 2,550 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3,648 | 21 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 3,666 | 1,060 | 2,550 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3,648 | 21 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 3,666 | 1,060 | 2,550 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3,648 | 21 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 3,666 | 1,060 | 2,550 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3,648 | 21 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 3,666 | 1,060 | 2,550 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3,648 | 21 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 3,666 | 1,060 | 2,550 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3,648 | 21 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 3,666 | 1,060 | 2,550 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3,648 | 21 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 3,666 | 1,060 | 2,550 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3,648 | 21 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 3,666 | 1,060 | 2,550 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3,648 | 21 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 3,666 | 1,060 | 2,550 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3,648 | 21 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 3,666 | 1,060 | 2,550 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3,648 | 21 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 3,666 | 1,060 | 2,550 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3,648 | 21 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 3,666 | 1,060 | 2,550 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3,648 | 21 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 3,666 | 1,060 | 2,550 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3,648 | 21 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 3,666 | 1,060 | 2,550 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3,648 | 21 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 3,666 | 1,060 | 2,550 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3,648 | 21 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 3,666 | 1,060 | 2,550 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3,648 | 21 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 3,666 | 1,060 | 2,550 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3,648 | 21 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 3,666 | 1,060 | 2,550 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3,648 | 21 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 3,666 | 1,060 | 2,550 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3,648 | 21 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 3,666 | 1,060 | 2,550 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3,648 | 21 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 3,666 | 1,060 | 2,550 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3,648 | 21 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 3,666 | 1,060 | 2,550 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3,648 | 21 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 3,666 | 1,060 | 2,550 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3,648 | 21 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 3,666 | 1,060 | 2,550 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3,648 | 21 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 3,666 | 1,060 | 2,550 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3,648 | 21 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 3,666 | 1,060 | 2,550 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3,648 | 21 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 3,666 | 1,060 | 2,550 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3,648 | 21 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 3,666 | 1,060 | 2,550 | 38 | 12 | 6 | 3,648 | 21 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex