GUATICA (RISARALDA)
Municipio code 24029. 32 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 6780.67733 / (1 + e^(-0.25342(t - 32.51500))) | 6780.67733 | 0.25342 | 32.51500 | 0.99670 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 2071.45757 / (1 + e^(-0.24808(t - 31.89878))) | 2071.45757 | 0.24808 | 31.89878 | 0.99634 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 4442.95960 / (1 + e^(-0.25744(t - 32.82755))) | 4442.95960 | 0.25744 | 32.82755 | 0.99689 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 149.04523 / (1 + e^(-0.25928(t - 30.96114))) | 149.04523 | 0.25928 | 30.96114 | 0.99537 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 104.10853 / (1 + e^(-0.24896(t - 33.38940))) | 104.10853 | 0.24896 | 33.38940 | 0.99642 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 13.00218 / (1 + e^(-0.27426(t - 32.72168))) | 13.00218 | 0.27426 | 32.72168 | 0.99636 |
| Validos | y(t) = 6663.56624 / (1 + e^(-0.25350(t - 32.50100))) | 6663.56624 | 0.25350 | 32.50100 | 0.99670 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 32.02625 / (1 + e^(-0.24382(t - 31.95804))) | 32.02625 | 0.24382 | 31.95804 | 0.99681 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 5.4% | 368 | 153 | 200 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 364 | 3 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 37.4% | 2,536 | 861 | 1,565 | 71 | 35 | 4 | 2,497 | 13 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 53.8% | 3,648 | 1,180 | 2,316 | 93 | 51 | 8 | 3,589 | 18 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 83.2% | 5,635 | 1,748 | 3,665 | 131 | 81 | 10 | 5,544 | 27 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 6,775 | 2,070 | 4,439 | 149 | 104 | 13 | 6,658 | 32 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex