SANTACRUZ (GUACHAVES) (NARIÑO)
Municipio code 23127. 29 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 5740.13641 / (1 + e^(-0.10183(t - 51.92801))) | 5740.13641 | 0.10183 | 51.92801 | 0.99423 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 5008.33700 / (1 + e^(-0.10027(t - 52.46135))) | 5008.33700 | 0.10027 | 52.46135 | 0.99378 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 618.77745 / (1 + e^(-0.11815(t - 47.96171))) | 618.77745 | 0.11815 | 47.96171 | 0.99599 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 68.89686 / (1 + e^(-0.10756(t - 52.77952))) | 68.89686 | 0.10756 | 52.77952 | 0.99284 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 28.57797 / (1 + e^(-0.11073(t - 48.54844))) | 28.57797 | 0.11073 | 48.54844 | 0.99003 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 16.03621 / (1 + e^(-0.09314(t - 51.04538))) | 16.03621 | 0.09314 | 51.04538 | 0.98845 |
| Validos | y(t) = 5695.50593 / (1 + e^(-0.10184(t - 51.94714))) | 5695.50593 | 0.10184 | 51.94714 | 0.99422 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 28.66348 / (1 + e^(-0.09053(t - 50.06459))) | 28.66348 | 0.09053 | 50.06459 | 0.99318 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 1.2% | 70 | 62 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 68 | 2 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 12.8% | 741 | 622 | 105 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 733 | 6 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 19.4% | 1,126 | 943 | 162 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 1,113 | 8 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 34.1% | 1,979 | 1,668 | 273 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 1,963 | 12 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 46.5% | 2,701 | 2,298 | 349 | 31 | 15 | 8 | 2,678 | 15 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 59.9% | 3,481 | 2,991 | 419 | 40 | 21 | 10 | 3,450 | 18 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 67.7% | 3,933 | 3,373 | 478 | 49 | 23 | 10 | 3,900 | 20 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 67.7% | 3,933 | 3,373 | 478 | 49 | 23 | 10 | 3,900 | 20 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 80.1% | 4,654 | 3,990 | 574 | 55 | 23 | 12 | 4,619 | 23 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 91.1% | 5,294 | 4,596 | 594 | 62 | 26 | 16 | 5,252 | 26 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 91.1% | 5,294 | 4,596 | 594 | 62 | 26 | 16 | 5,252 | 26 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 95.9% | 5,569 | 4,847 | 615 | 64 | 27 | 16 | 5,526 | 27 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 96.4% | 5,602 | 4,873 | 618 | 67 | 28 | 16 | 5,558 | 28 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 96.4% | 5,602 | 4,873 | 618 | 67 | 28 | 16 | 5,558 | 28 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 96.4% | 5,602 | 4,873 | 618 | 67 | 28 | 16 | 5,558 | 28 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 96.4% | 5,602 | 4,873 | 618 | 67 | 28 | 16 | 5,558 | 28 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 96.4% | 5,602 | 4,873 | 618 | 67 | 28 | 16 | 5,558 | 28 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 96.4% | 5,602 | 4,873 | 618 | 67 | 28 | 16 | 5,558 | 28 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 96.4% | 5,602 | 4,873 | 618 | 67 | 28 | 16 | 5,558 | 28 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 96.4% | 5,602 | 4,873 | 618 | 67 | 28 | 16 | 5,558 | 28 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 96.4% | 5,602 | 4,873 | 618 | 67 | 28 | 16 | 5,558 | 28 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 96.4% | 5,602 | 4,873 | 618 | 67 | 28 | 16 | 5,558 | 28 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 96.4% | 5,602 | 4,873 | 618 | 67 | 28 | 16 | 5,558 | 28 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 96.4% | 5,602 | 4,873 | 618 | 67 | 28 | 16 | 5,558 | 28 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 96.4% | 5,602 | 4,873 | 618 | 67 | 28 | 16 | 5,558 | 28 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 96.4% | 5,602 | 4,873 | 618 | 67 | 28 | 16 | 5,558 | 28 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 96.4% | 5,602 | 4,873 | 618 | 67 | 28 | 16 | 5,558 | 28 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 96.4% | 5,602 | 4,873 | 618 | 67 | 28 | 16 | 5,558 | 28 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 96.4% | 5,602 | 4,873 | 618 | 67 | 28 | 16 | 5,558 | 28 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 5,809 | 5,074 | 620 | 70 | 29 | 16 | 5,764 | 29 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 5,809 | 5,074 | 620 | 70 | 29 | 16 | 5,764 | 29 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 5,809 | 5,074 | 620 | 70 | 29 | 16 | 5,764 | 29 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 5,809 | 5,074 | 620 | 70 | 29 | 16 | 5,764 | 29 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 5,809 | 5,074 | 620 | 70 | 29 | 16 | 5,764 | 29 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 5,809 | 5,074 | 620 | 70 | 29 | 16 | 5,764 | 29 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 5,809 | 5,074 | 620 | 70 | 29 | 16 | 5,764 | 29 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 5,809 | 5,074 | 620 | 70 | 29 | 16 | 5,764 | 29 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 5,809 | 5,074 | 620 | 70 | 29 | 16 | 5,764 | 29 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 5,809 | 5,074 | 620 | 70 | 29 | 16 | 5,764 | 29 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 5,809 | 5,074 | 620 | 70 | 29 | 16 | 5,764 | 29 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 5,809 | 5,074 | 620 | 70 | 29 | 16 | 5,764 | 29 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 5,809 | 5,074 | 620 | 70 | 29 | 16 | 5,764 | 29 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 5,809 | 5,074 | 620 | 70 | 29 | 16 | 5,764 | 29 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 5,809 | 5,074 | 620 | 70 | 29 | 16 | 5,764 | 29 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 5,809 | 5,074 | 620 | 70 | 29 | 16 | 5,764 | 29 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 5,809 | 5,074 | 620 | 70 | 29 | 16 | 5,764 | 29 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 5,809 | 5,074 | 620 | 70 | 29 | 16 | 5,764 | 29 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 5,809 | 5,074 | 620 | 70 | 29 | 16 | 5,764 | 29 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 5,809 | 5,074 | 620 | 70 | 29 | 16 | 5,764 | 29 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 5,809 | 5,074 | 620 | 70 | 29 | 16 | 5,764 | 29 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 5,809 | 5,074 | 620 | 70 | 29 | 16 | 5,764 | 29 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 5,809 | 5,074 | 620 | 70 | 29 | 16 | 5,764 | 29 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 5,809 | 5,074 | 620 | 70 | 29 | 16 | 5,764 | 29 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 5,809 | 5,074 | 620 | 70 | 29 | 16 | 5,764 | 29 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 5,809 | 5,074 | 620 | 70 | 29 | 16 | 5,764 | 29 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 5,809 | 5,074 | 620 | 70 | 29 | 16 | 5,764 | 29 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 5,809 | 5,074 | 620 | 70 | 29 | 16 | 5,764 | 29 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 5,809 | 5,074 | 620 | 70 | 29 | 16 | 5,764 | 29 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 5,809 | 5,074 | 620 | 70 | 29 | 16 | 5,764 | 29 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 5,809 | 5,074 | 620 | 70 | 29 | 16 | 5,764 | 29 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 5,809 | 5,074 | 620 | 70 | 29 | 16 | 5,764 | 29 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 5,809 | 5,074 | 620 | 70 | 29 | 16 | 5,764 | 29 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex