SAN PABLO (NARIÑO)
Municipio code 23124. 40 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 8875.16375 / (1 + e^(-0.14539(t - 50.08851))) | 8875.16375 | 0.14539 | 50.08851 | 0.99858 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 7425.90983 / (1 + e^(-0.14028(t - 50.46053))) | 7425.90983 | 0.14028 | 50.46053 | 0.99832 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 1106.99754 / (1 + e^(-0.18594(t - 47.61396))) | 1106.99754 | 0.18594 | 47.61396 | 0.99919 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 156.63466 / (1 + e^(-0.12801(t - 51.22829))) | 156.63466 | 0.12801 | 51.22829 | 0.99673 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 168.75527 / (1 + e^(-0.16498(t - 52.00216))) | 168.75527 | 0.16498 | 52.00216 | 0.99788 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 19.02832 / (1 + e^(-0.15548(t - 56.70701))) | 19.02832 | 0.15548 | 56.70701 | 0.99544 |
| Validos | y(t) = 8687.33922 / (1 + e^(-0.14516(t - 50.03530))) | 8687.33922 | 0.14516 | 50.03530 | 0.99854 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 39.93854 / (1 + e^(-0.12150(t - 48.71780))) | 39.93854 | 0.12150 | 48.71780 | 0.99865 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 2.7% | 244 | 217 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 244 | 2 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 2.9% | 260 | 225 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 259 | 3 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 7.8% | 696 | 556 | 120 | 12 | 8 | 0 | 688 | 6 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 13.3% | 1,179 | 936 | 207 | 20 | 16 | 0 | 1,163 | 8 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 27.1% | 2,407 | 2,019 | 319 | 38 | 30 | 1 | 2,376 | 14 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 50.4% | 4,485 | 3,672 | 654 | 77 | 76 | 6 | 4,403 | 22 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 66.3% | 5,895 | 4,855 | 836 | 103 | 92 | 9 | 5,794 | 27 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 78.0% | 6,934 | 5,683 | 1,008 | 110 | 123 | 10 | 6,801 | 31 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 86.0% | 7,649 | 6,288 | 1,060 | 130 | 158 | 13 | 7,478 | 34 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 88.5% | 7,867 | 6,489 | 1,072 | 131 | 158 | 17 | 7,692 | 35 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 95.9% | 8,528 | 7,099 | 1,102 | 147 | 161 | 19 | 8,348 | 38 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 95.9% | 8,528 | 7,099 | 1,102 | 147 | 161 | 19 | 8,348 | 38 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 95.9% | 8,528 | 7,099 | 1,102 | 147 | 161 | 19 | 8,348 | 38 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 8,894 | 7,442 | 1,107 | 157 | 169 | 19 | 8,706 | 40 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 8,894 | 7,442 | 1,107 | 157 | 169 | 19 | 8,706 | 40 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 8,894 | 7,442 | 1,107 | 157 | 169 | 19 | 8,706 | 40 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 8,894 | 7,442 | 1,107 | 157 | 169 | 19 | 8,706 | 40 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 8,894 | 7,442 | 1,107 | 157 | 169 | 19 | 8,706 | 40 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 8,894 | 7,442 | 1,107 | 157 | 169 | 19 | 8,706 | 40 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 8,894 | 7,442 | 1,107 | 157 | 169 | 19 | 8,706 | 40 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 8,894 | 7,442 | 1,107 | 157 | 169 | 19 | 8,706 | 40 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 8,894 | 7,442 | 1,107 | 157 | 169 | 19 | 8,706 | 40 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 8,894 | 7,442 | 1,107 | 157 | 169 | 19 | 8,706 | 40 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 8,894 | 7,442 | 1,107 | 157 | 169 | 19 | 8,706 | 40 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 8,894 | 7,442 | 1,107 | 157 | 169 | 19 | 8,706 | 40 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 8,894 | 7,442 | 1,107 | 157 | 169 | 19 | 8,706 | 40 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 8,894 | 7,442 | 1,107 | 157 | 169 | 19 | 8,706 | 40 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 8,894 | 7,442 | 1,107 | 157 | 169 | 19 | 8,706 | 40 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 8,894 | 7,442 | 1,107 | 157 | 169 | 19 | 8,706 | 40 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 8,894 | 7,442 | 1,107 | 157 | 169 | 19 | 8,706 | 40 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 8,894 | 7,442 | 1,107 | 157 | 169 | 19 | 8,706 | 40 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 8,894 | 7,442 | 1,107 | 157 | 169 | 19 | 8,706 | 40 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 8,894 | 7,442 | 1,107 | 157 | 169 | 19 | 8,706 | 40 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 8,894 | 7,442 | 1,107 | 157 | 169 | 19 | 8,706 | 40 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 8,894 | 7,442 | 1,107 | 157 | 169 | 19 | 8,706 | 40 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 8,894 | 7,442 | 1,107 | 157 | 169 | 19 | 8,706 | 40 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 8,894 | 7,442 | 1,107 | 157 | 169 | 19 | 8,706 | 40 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 8,894 | 7,442 | 1,107 | 157 | 169 | 19 | 8,706 | 40 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 8,894 | 7,442 | 1,107 | 157 | 169 | 19 | 8,706 | 40 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 8,894 | 7,442 | 1,107 | 157 | 169 | 19 | 8,706 | 40 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 8,894 | 7,442 | 1,107 | 157 | 169 | 19 | 8,706 | 40 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 8,894 | 7,442 | 1,107 | 157 | 169 | 19 | 8,706 | 40 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 8,894 | 7,442 | 1,107 | 157 | 169 | 19 | 8,706 | 40 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 8,894 | 7,442 | 1,107 | 157 | 169 | 19 | 8,706 | 40 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 8,894 | 7,442 | 1,107 | 157 | 169 | 19 | 8,706 | 40 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 8,894 | 7,442 | 1,107 | 157 | 169 | 19 | 8,706 | 40 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 8,894 | 7,442 | 1,107 | 157 | 169 | 19 | 8,706 | 40 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 8,894 | 7,442 | 1,107 | 157 | 169 | 19 | 8,706 | 40 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 8,894 | 7,442 | 1,107 | 157 | 169 | 19 | 8,706 | 40 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 8,894 | 7,442 | 1,107 | 157 | 169 | 19 | 8,706 | 40 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 8,894 | 7,442 | 1,107 | 157 | 169 | 19 | 8,706 | 40 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 8,894 | 7,442 | 1,107 | 157 | 169 | 19 | 8,706 | 40 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 8,894 | 7,442 | 1,107 | 157 | 169 | 19 | 8,706 | 40 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 8,894 | 7,442 | 1,107 | 157 | 169 | 19 | 8,706 | 40 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 8,894 | 7,442 | 1,107 | 157 | 169 | 19 | 8,706 | 40 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 8,894 | 7,442 | 1,107 | 157 | 169 | 19 | 8,706 | 40 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 8,894 | 7,442 | 1,107 | 157 | 169 | 19 | 8,706 | 40 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 8,894 | 7,442 | 1,107 | 157 | 169 | 19 | 8,706 | 40 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 8,894 | 7,442 | 1,107 | 157 | 169 | 19 | 8,706 | 40 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 8,894 | 7,442 | 1,107 | 157 | 169 | 19 | 8,706 | 40 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 8,894 | 7,442 | 1,107 | 157 | 169 | 19 | 8,706 | 40 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 8,894 | 7,442 | 1,107 | 157 | 169 | 19 | 8,706 | 40 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 8,894 | 7,442 | 1,107 | 157 | 169 | 19 | 8,706 | 40 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex