ROBERTO PAYAN (SAN JOSE) (NARIÑO)
Municipio code 23112. 38 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 6617.77808 / (1 + e^(-0.09090(t - 53.07346))) | 6617.77808 | 0.09090 | 53.07346 | 0.99614 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 6455.44585 / (1 + e^(-0.09048(t - 53.24419))) | 6455.44585 | 0.09048 | 53.24419 | 0.99616 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 119.67944 / (1 + e^(-0.12156(t - 47.77590))) | 119.67944 | 0.12156 | 47.77590 | 0.99074 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 25.86617 / (1 + e^(-0.13670(t - 44.84171))) | 25.86617 | 0.13670 | 44.84171 | 0.99144 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 15.92068 / (1 + e^(-0.15884(t - 44.17521))) | 15.92068 | 0.15884 | 44.17521 | 0.99316 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 1.00000 / (1 + e^(-9.96296(t - 51.49881))) | 1.00000 | 9.96296 | 51.49881 | 1.00000 |
| Validos | y(t) = 6600.87320 / (1 + e^(-0.09085(t - 53.09784))) | 6600.87320 | 0.09085 | 53.09784 | 0.99615 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 37.96647 / (1 + e^(-0.07909(t - 55.39952))) | 37.96647 | 0.07909 | 55.39952 | 0.99550 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 3.9% | 261 | 258 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 261 | 2 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 13.3% | 882 | 850 | 24 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 879 | 5 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 24.2% | 1,604 | 1,551 | 38 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 1,599 | 9 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 32.8% | 2,174 | 2,109 | 45 | 12 | 8 | 0 | 2,166 | 12 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 44.3% | 2,935 | 2,857 | 51 | 16 | 11 | 0 | 2,924 | 16 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 59.2% | 3,924 | 3,790 | 97 | 22 | 14 | 1 | 3,909 | 21 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 62.4% | 4,136 | 4,002 | 97 | 22 | 14 | 1 | 4,121 | 22 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 68.0% | 4,506 | 4,363 | 105 | 23 | 14 | 1 | 4,491 | 24 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 75.6% | 5,007 | 4,864 | 105 | 23 | 14 | 1 | 4,992 | 27 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 84.4% | 5,596 | 5,453 | 105 | 23 | 14 | 1 | 5,581 | 29 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 92.6% | 6,134 | 5,987 | 107 | 23 | 16 | 1 | 6,117 | 33 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 95.8% | 6,347 | 6,184 | 120 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 6,330 | 34 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 96.1% | 6,371 | 6,208 | 120 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 6,354 | 35 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 96.1% | 6,371 | 6,208 | 120 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 6,354 | 35 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 96.7% | 6,407 | 6,244 | 120 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 6,390 | 37 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 96.7% | 6,407 | 6,244 | 120 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 6,390 | 37 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 6,627 | 6,464 | 120 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 6,610 | 38 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 6,627 | 6,464 | 120 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 6,610 | 38 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 6,627 | 6,464 | 120 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 6,610 | 38 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 6,627 | 6,464 | 120 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 6,610 | 38 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 6,627 | 6,464 | 120 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 6,610 | 38 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 6,627 | 6,464 | 120 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 6,610 | 38 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 6,627 | 6,464 | 120 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 6,610 | 38 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 6,627 | 6,464 | 120 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 6,610 | 38 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 6,627 | 6,464 | 120 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 6,610 | 38 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 6,627 | 6,464 | 120 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 6,610 | 38 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 6,627 | 6,464 | 120 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 6,610 | 38 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 6,627 | 6,464 | 120 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 6,610 | 38 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 6,627 | 6,464 | 120 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 6,610 | 38 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 6,627 | 6,464 | 120 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 6,610 | 38 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 6,627 | 6,464 | 120 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 6,610 | 38 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 6,627 | 6,464 | 120 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 6,610 | 38 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 6,627 | 6,464 | 120 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 6,610 | 38 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 6,627 | 6,464 | 120 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 6,610 | 38 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 6,627 | 6,464 | 120 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 6,610 | 38 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 6,627 | 6,464 | 120 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 6,610 | 38 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 6,627 | 6,464 | 120 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 6,610 | 38 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 6,627 | 6,464 | 120 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 6,610 | 38 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 6,627 | 6,464 | 120 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 6,610 | 38 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 6,627 | 6,464 | 120 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 6,610 | 38 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 6,627 | 6,464 | 120 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 6,610 | 38 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 6,627 | 6,464 | 120 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 6,610 | 38 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 6,627 | 6,464 | 120 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 6,610 | 38 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 6,627 | 6,464 | 120 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 6,610 | 38 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 6,627 | 6,464 | 120 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 6,610 | 38 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 6,627 | 6,464 | 120 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 6,610 | 38 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 6,627 | 6,464 | 120 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 6,610 | 38 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 6,627 | 6,464 | 120 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 6,610 | 38 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 6,627 | 6,464 | 120 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 6,610 | 38 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 6,627 | 6,464 | 120 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 6,610 | 38 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 6,627 | 6,464 | 120 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 6,610 | 38 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 6,627 | 6,464 | 120 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 6,610 | 38 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 6,627 | 6,464 | 120 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 6,610 | 38 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 6,627 | 6,464 | 120 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 6,610 | 38 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 6,627 | 6,464 | 120 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 6,610 | 38 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 6,627 | 6,464 | 120 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 6,610 | 38 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 6,627 | 6,464 | 120 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 6,610 | 38 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 6,627 | 6,464 | 120 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 6,610 | 38 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 6,627 | 6,464 | 120 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 6,610 | 38 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 6,627 | 6,464 | 120 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 6,610 | 38 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 6,627 | 6,464 | 120 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 6,610 | 38 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 6,627 | 6,464 | 120 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 6,610 | 38 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex