PROVIDENCIA (NARIÑO)
Municipio code 23101. 15 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 3930.10797 / (1 + e^(-0.10681(t - 54.82940))) | 3930.10797 | 0.10681 | 54.82940 | 0.99552 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 3518.49380 / (1 + e^(-0.10598(t - 54.88527))) | 3518.49380 | 0.10598 | 54.88527 | 0.99528 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 357.06129 / (1 + e^(-0.11648(t - 54.30921))) | 357.06129 | 0.11648 | 54.30921 | 0.99732 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 27.89361 / (1 + e^(-0.09703(t - 56.80605))) | 27.89361 | 0.09703 | 56.80605 | 0.99283 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 21.87618 / (1 + e^(-0.08091(t - 54.49760))) | 21.87618 | 0.08091 | 54.49760 | 0.98386 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 5.00378 / (1 + e^(-0.24564(t - 54.31887))) | 5.00378 | 0.24564 | 54.31887 | 0.99350 |
| Validos | y(t) = 3903.28437 / (1 + e^(-0.10690(t - 54.83501))) | 3903.28437 | 0.10690 | 54.83501 | 0.99554 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 14.93168 / (1 + e^(-0.10606(t - 53.94982))) | 14.93168 | 0.10606 | 53.94982 | 0.99496 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 17.2% | 680 | 599 | 72 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 674 | 3 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 23.4% | 923 | 829 | 82 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 916 | 4 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 37.7% | 1,490 | 1,339 | 128 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 1,478 | 6 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 50.9% | 2,010 | 1,797 | 183 | 14 | 13 | 3 | 1,994 | 8 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 64.9% | 2,564 | 2,299 | 231 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 2,547 | 10 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 72.1% | 2,847 | 2,545 | 264 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 2,828 | 11 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 79.3% | 3,130 | 2,788 | 300 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 3,109 | 12 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 86.3% | 3,409 | 3,040 | 324 | 22 | 18 | 5 | 3,386 | 13 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 86.3% | 3,409 | 3,040 | 324 | 22 | 18 | 5 | 3,386 | 13 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 92.9% | 3,669 | 3,276 | 343 | 26 | 19 | 5 | 3,645 | 14 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 92.9% | 3,669 | 3,276 | 343 | 26 | 19 | 5 | 3,645 | 14 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 92.9% | 3,669 | 3,276 | 343 | 26 | 19 | 5 | 3,645 | 14 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 92.9% | 3,669 | 3,276 | 343 | 26 | 19 | 5 | 3,645 | 14 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 3,948 | 3,535 | 358 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 3,921 | 15 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 3,948 | 3,535 | 358 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 3,921 | 15 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 3,948 | 3,535 | 358 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 3,921 | 15 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 3,948 | 3,535 | 358 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 3,921 | 15 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 3,948 | 3,535 | 358 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 3,921 | 15 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 3,948 | 3,535 | 358 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 3,921 | 15 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 3,948 | 3,535 | 358 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 3,921 | 15 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 3,948 | 3,535 | 358 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 3,921 | 15 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 3,948 | 3,535 | 358 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 3,921 | 15 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 3,948 | 3,535 | 358 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 3,921 | 15 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 3,948 | 3,535 | 358 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 3,921 | 15 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 3,948 | 3,535 | 358 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 3,921 | 15 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 3,948 | 3,535 | 358 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 3,921 | 15 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 3,948 | 3,535 | 358 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 3,921 | 15 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 3,948 | 3,535 | 358 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 3,921 | 15 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 3,948 | 3,535 | 358 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 3,921 | 15 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 3,948 | 3,535 | 358 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 3,921 | 15 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 3,948 | 3,535 | 358 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 3,921 | 15 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 3,948 | 3,535 | 358 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 3,921 | 15 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 3,948 | 3,535 | 358 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 3,921 | 15 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 3,948 | 3,535 | 358 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 3,921 | 15 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 3,948 | 3,535 | 358 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 3,921 | 15 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 3,948 | 3,535 | 358 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 3,921 | 15 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 3,948 | 3,535 | 358 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 3,921 | 15 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 3,948 | 3,535 | 358 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 3,921 | 15 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 3,948 | 3,535 | 358 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 3,921 | 15 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 3,948 | 3,535 | 358 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 3,921 | 15 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 3,948 | 3,535 | 358 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 3,921 | 15 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 3,948 | 3,535 | 358 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 3,921 | 15 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 3,948 | 3,535 | 358 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 3,921 | 15 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 3,948 | 3,535 | 358 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 3,921 | 15 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 3,948 | 3,535 | 358 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 3,921 | 15 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 3,948 | 3,535 | 358 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 3,921 | 15 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 3,948 | 3,535 | 358 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 3,921 | 15 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 3,948 | 3,535 | 358 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 3,921 | 15 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 3,948 | 3,535 | 358 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 3,921 | 15 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 3,948 | 3,535 | 358 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 3,921 | 15 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 3,948 | 3,535 | 358 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 3,921 | 15 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 3,948 | 3,535 | 358 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 3,921 | 15 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 3,948 | 3,535 | 358 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 3,921 | 15 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 3,948 | 3,535 | 358 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 3,921 | 15 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 3,948 | 3,535 | 358 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 3,921 | 15 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 3,948 | 3,535 | 358 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 3,921 | 15 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 3,948 | 3,535 | 358 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 3,921 | 15 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 3,948 | 3,535 | 358 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 3,921 | 15 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 3,948 | 3,535 | 358 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 3,921 | 15 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 3,948 | 3,535 | 358 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 3,921 | 15 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex