POLICARPA (NARIÑO)
Municipio code 23098. 42 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
| Total votes | y(t) = 9742.02039 / (1 + e^(-0.15123(t - 40.23203))) | 9742.02039 | 0.15123 | 40.23203 | 0.99775 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 9017.66787 / (1 + e^(-0.14914(t - 40.44117))) | 9017.66787 | 0.14914 | 40.44117 | 0.99788 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 469.43833 / (1 + e^(-0.20881(t - 37.10917))) | 469.43833 | 0.20881 | 37.10917 | 0.99448 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 102.09562 / (1 + e^(-0.15931(t - 41.34241))) | 102.09562 | 0.15931 | 41.34241 | 0.99588 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 146.88791 / (1 + e^(-0.20213(t - 37.91304))) | 146.88791 | 0.20213 | 37.91304 | 0.99797 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 6.00611 / (1 + e^(-0.46229(t - 28.61862))) | 6.00611 | 0.46229 | 28.61862 | 0.99742 |
| Validos | y(t) = 9589.18106 / (1 + e^(-0.15079(t - 40.27988))) | 9589.18106 | 0.15079 | 40.27988 | 0.99774 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 42.03792 / (1 + e^(-0.13654(t - 38.12909))) | 42.03792 | 0.13654 | 38.12909 | 0.99842 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.8% | 78 | 73 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 77 | 1 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 2.1% | 205 | 195 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 201 | 4 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 4.7% | 454 | 442 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 448 | 5 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 10.7% | 1,038 | 977 | 36 | 6 | 16 | 3 | 1,019 | 8 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 31.6% | 3,078 | 2,822 | 181 | 25 | 44 | 6 | 3,028 | 16 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 51.1% | 4,974 | 4,507 | 320 | 51 | 90 | 6 | 4,878 | 24 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 62.1% | 6,045 | 5,515 | 350 | 60 | 114 | 6 | 5,925 | 28 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 74.9% | 7,296 | 6,708 | 390 | 70 | 122 | 6 | 7,168 | 33 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 86.1% | 8,381 | 7,688 | 458 | 91 | 138 | 6 | 8,237 | 37 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 97.0% | 9,445 | 8,721 | 470 | 101 | 147 | 6 | 9,292 | 41 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 9,737 | 9,012 | 470 | 102 | 147 | 6 | 9,584 | 42 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 9,737 | 9,012 | 470 | 102 | 147 | 6 | 9,584 | 42 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 9,737 | 9,012 | 470 | 102 | 147 | 6 | 9,584 | 42 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 9,737 | 9,012 | 470 | 102 | 147 | 6 | 9,584 | 42 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 9,737 | 9,012 | 470 | 102 | 147 | 6 | 9,584 | 42 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 9,737 | 9,012 | 470 | 102 | 147 | 6 | 9,584 | 42 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 9,737 | 9,012 | 470 | 102 | 147 | 6 | 9,584 | 42 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 9,737 | 9,012 | 470 | 102 | 147 | 6 | 9,584 | 42 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 9,737 | 9,012 | 470 | 102 | 147 | 6 | 9,584 | 42 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 9,737 | 9,012 | 470 | 102 | 147 | 6 | 9,584 | 42 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 9,737 | 9,012 | 470 | 102 | 147 | 6 | 9,584 | 42 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 9,737 | 9,012 | 470 | 102 | 147 | 6 | 9,584 | 42 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 9,737 | 9,012 | 470 | 102 | 147 | 6 | 9,584 | 42 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 9,737 | 9,012 | 470 | 102 | 147 | 6 | 9,584 | 42 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 9,737 | 9,012 | 470 | 102 | 147 | 6 | 9,584 | 42 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 9,737 | 9,012 | 470 | 102 | 147 | 6 | 9,584 | 42 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 9,737 | 9,012 | 470 | 102 | 147 | 6 | 9,584 | 42 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 9,737 | 9,012 | 470 | 102 | 147 | 6 | 9,584 | 42 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 9,737 | 9,012 | 470 | 102 | 147 | 6 | 9,584 | 42 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 9,737 | 9,012 | 470 | 102 | 147 | 6 | 9,584 | 42 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 9,737 | 9,012 | 470 | 102 | 147 | 6 | 9,584 | 42 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 9,737 | 9,012 | 470 | 102 | 147 | 6 | 9,584 | 42 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 9,737 | 9,012 | 470 | 102 | 147 | 6 | 9,584 | 42 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 9,737 | 9,012 | 470 | 102 | 147 | 6 | 9,584 | 42 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 9,737 | 9,012 | 470 | 102 | 147 | 6 | 9,584 | 42 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 9,737 | 9,012 | 470 | 102 | 147 | 6 | 9,584 | 42 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 9,737 | 9,012 | 470 | 102 | 147 | 6 | 9,584 | 42 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 9,737 | 9,012 | 470 | 102 | 147 | 6 | 9,584 | 42 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 9,737 | 9,012 | 470 | 102 | 147 | 6 | 9,584 | 42 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 9,737 | 9,012 | 470 | 102 | 147 | 6 | 9,584 | 42 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 9,737 | 9,012 | 470 | 102 | 147 | 6 | 9,584 | 42 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 9,737 | 9,012 | 470 | 102 | 147 | 6 | 9,584 | 42 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 9,737 | 9,012 | 470 | 102 | 147 | 6 | 9,584 | 42 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 9,737 | 9,012 | 470 | 102 | 147 | 6 | 9,584 | 42 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 9,737 | 9,012 | 470 | 102 | 147 | 6 | 9,584 | 42 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 9,737 | 9,012 | 470 | 102 | 147 | 6 | 9,584 | 42 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 9,737 | 9,012 | 470 | 102 | 147 | 6 | 9,584 | 42 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 9,737 | 9,012 | 470 | 102 | 147 | 6 | 9,584 | 42 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 9,737 | 9,012 | 470 | 102 | 147 | 6 | 9,584 | 42 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 9,737 | 9,012 | 470 | 102 | 147 | 6 | 9,584 | 42 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 9,737 | 9,012 | 470 | 102 | 147 | 6 | 9,584 | 42 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 9,737 | 9,012 | 470 | 102 | 147 | 6 | 9,584 | 42 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 9,737 | 9,012 | 470 | 102 | 147 | 6 | 9,584 | 42 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 9,737 | 9,012 | 470 | 102 | 147 | 6 | 9,584 | 42 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 9,737 | 9,012 | 470 | 102 | 147 | 6 | 9,584 | 42 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 9,737 | 9,012 | 470 | 102 | 147 | 6 | 9,584 | 42 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 9,737 | 9,012 | 470 | 102 | 147 | 6 | 9,584 | 42 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 9,737 | 9,012 | 470 | 102 | 147 | 6 | 9,584 | 42 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 9,737 | 9,012 | 470 | 102 | 147 | 6 | 9,584 | 42 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 9,737 | 9,012 | 470 | 102 | 147 | 6 | 9,584 | 42 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 9,737 | 9,012 | 470 | 102 | 147 | 6 | 9,584 | 42 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 9,737 | 9,012 | 470 | 102 | 147 | 6 | 9,584 | 42 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 9,737 | 9,012 | 470 | 102 | 147 | 6 | 9,584 | 42 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 9,737 | 9,012 | 470 | 102 | 147 | 6 | 9,584 | 42 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 9,737 | 9,012 | 470 | 102 | 147 | 6 | 9,584 | 42 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex