OSPINA (NARIÑO)
Municipio code 23097. 19 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 4152.73764 / (1 + e^(-0.14921(t - 48.07110))) | 4152.73764 | 0.14921 | 48.07110 | 0.99775 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 2560.35003 / (1 + e^(-0.15095(t - 48.00170))) | 2560.35003 | 0.15095 | 48.00170 | 0.99789 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 1483.22090 / (1 + e^(-0.14813(t - 48.16092))) | 1483.22090 | 0.14813 | 48.16092 | 0.99701 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 64.10770 / (1 + e^(-0.12180(t - 47.44173))) | 64.10770 | 0.12180 | 47.44173 | 0.99430 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 36.08528 / (1 + e^(-0.14559(t - 49.15805))) | 36.08528 | 0.14559 | 49.15805 | 0.99611 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 9.03182 / (1 + e^(-0.11639(t - 55.32597))) | 9.03182 | 0.11639 | 55.32597 | 0.97464 |
| Validos | y(t) = 4107.64520 / (1 + e^(-0.14940(t - 48.04915))) | 4107.64520 | 0.14940 | 48.04915 | 0.99776 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 19.01887 / (1 + e^(-0.14726(t - 46.86511))) | 19.01887 | 0.14726 | 46.86511 | 0.99787 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 3.3% | 136 | 83 | 48 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 135 | 1 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 3.3% | 136 | 83 | 48 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 135 | 1 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 8.8% | 365 | 225 | 128 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 360 | 2 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 17.4% | 723 | 479 | 219 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 716 | 4 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 42.9% | 1,780 | 1,094 | 635 | 33 | 14 | 4 | 1,762 | 9 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 54.7% | 2,268 | 1,363 | 850 | 35 | 16 | 4 | 2,248 | 11 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 64.7% | 2,684 | 1,658 | 963 | 38 | 21 | 4 | 2,659 | 13 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 81.4% | 3,375 | 2,132 | 1,160 | 49 | 30 | 4 | 3,341 | 16 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 94.1% | 3,903 | 2,438 | 1,368 | 57 | 35 | 5 | 3,863 | 18 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 4,148 | 2,557 | 1,482 | 64 | 36 | 9 | 4,103 | 19 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 4,148 | 2,557 | 1,482 | 64 | 36 | 9 | 4,103 | 19 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 4,148 | 2,557 | 1,482 | 64 | 36 | 9 | 4,103 | 19 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 4,148 | 2,557 | 1,482 | 64 | 36 | 9 | 4,103 | 19 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 4,148 | 2,557 | 1,482 | 64 | 36 | 9 | 4,103 | 19 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 4,148 | 2,557 | 1,482 | 64 | 36 | 9 | 4,103 | 19 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 4,148 | 2,557 | 1,482 | 64 | 36 | 9 | 4,103 | 19 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 4,148 | 2,557 | 1,482 | 64 | 36 | 9 | 4,103 | 19 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 4,148 | 2,557 | 1,482 | 64 | 36 | 9 | 4,103 | 19 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 4,148 | 2,557 | 1,482 | 64 | 36 | 9 | 4,103 | 19 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 4,148 | 2,557 | 1,482 | 64 | 36 | 9 | 4,103 | 19 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 4,148 | 2,557 | 1,482 | 64 | 36 | 9 | 4,103 | 19 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 4,148 | 2,557 | 1,482 | 64 | 36 | 9 | 4,103 | 19 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 4,148 | 2,557 | 1,482 | 64 | 36 | 9 | 4,103 | 19 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 4,148 | 2,557 | 1,482 | 64 | 36 | 9 | 4,103 | 19 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 4,148 | 2,557 | 1,482 | 64 | 36 | 9 | 4,103 | 19 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 4,148 | 2,557 | 1,482 | 64 | 36 | 9 | 4,103 | 19 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 4,148 | 2,557 | 1,482 | 64 | 36 | 9 | 4,103 | 19 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 4,148 | 2,557 | 1,482 | 64 | 36 | 9 | 4,103 | 19 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 4,148 | 2,557 | 1,482 | 64 | 36 | 9 | 4,103 | 19 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 4,148 | 2,557 | 1,482 | 64 | 36 | 9 | 4,103 | 19 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 4,148 | 2,557 | 1,482 | 64 | 36 | 9 | 4,103 | 19 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 4,148 | 2,557 | 1,482 | 64 | 36 | 9 | 4,103 | 19 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 4,148 | 2,557 | 1,482 | 64 | 36 | 9 | 4,103 | 19 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 4,148 | 2,557 | 1,482 | 64 | 36 | 9 | 4,103 | 19 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 4,148 | 2,557 | 1,482 | 64 | 36 | 9 | 4,103 | 19 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 4,148 | 2,557 | 1,482 | 64 | 36 | 9 | 4,103 | 19 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 4,148 | 2,557 | 1,482 | 64 | 36 | 9 | 4,103 | 19 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 4,148 | 2,557 | 1,482 | 64 | 36 | 9 | 4,103 | 19 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 4,148 | 2,557 | 1,482 | 64 | 36 | 9 | 4,103 | 19 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 4,148 | 2,557 | 1,482 | 64 | 36 | 9 | 4,103 | 19 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 4,148 | 2,557 | 1,482 | 64 | 36 | 9 | 4,103 | 19 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 4,148 | 2,557 | 1,482 | 64 | 36 | 9 | 4,103 | 19 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 4,148 | 2,557 | 1,482 | 64 | 36 | 9 | 4,103 | 19 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 4,148 | 2,557 | 1,482 | 64 | 36 | 9 | 4,103 | 19 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 4,148 | 2,557 | 1,482 | 64 | 36 | 9 | 4,103 | 19 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 4,148 | 2,557 | 1,482 | 64 | 36 | 9 | 4,103 | 19 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 4,148 | 2,557 | 1,482 | 64 | 36 | 9 | 4,103 | 19 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 4,148 | 2,557 | 1,482 | 64 | 36 | 9 | 4,103 | 19 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 4,148 | 2,557 | 1,482 | 64 | 36 | 9 | 4,103 | 19 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 4,148 | 2,557 | 1,482 | 64 | 36 | 9 | 4,103 | 19 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 4,148 | 2,557 | 1,482 | 64 | 36 | 9 | 4,103 | 19 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 4,148 | 2,557 | 1,482 | 64 | 36 | 9 | 4,103 | 19 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 4,148 | 2,557 | 1,482 | 64 | 36 | 9 | 4,103 | 19 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 4,148 | 2,557 | 1,482 | 64 | 36 | 9 | 4,103 | 19 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 4,148 | 2,557 | 1,482 | 64 | 36 | 9 | 4,103 | 19 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 4,148 | 2,557 | 1,482 | 64 | 36 | 9 | 4,103 | 19 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 4,148 | 2,557 | 1,482 | 64 | 36 | 9 | 4,103 | 19 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 4,148 | 2,557 | 1,482 | 64 | 36 | 9 | 4,103 | 19 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 4,148 | 2,557 | 1,482 | 64 | 36 | 9 | 4,103 | 19 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 4,148 | 2,557 | 1,482 | 64 | 36 | 9 | 4,103 | 19 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 4,148 | 2,557 | 1,482 | 64 | 36 | 9 | 4,103 | 19 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 4,148 | 2,557 | 1,482 | 64 | 36 | 9 | 4,103 | 19 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 4,148 | 2,557 | 1,482 | 64 | 36 | 9 | 4,103 | 19 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex