MAGUI (PAYAN) (NARIÑO)
Municipio code 23088. 31 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 4861.16820 / (1 + e^(-0.10606(t - 49.24768))) | 4861.16820 | 0.10606 | 49.24768 | 0.99778 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 4717.88637 / (1 + e^(-0.10649(t - 49.36499))) | 4717.88637 | 0.10649 | 49.36499 | 0.99784 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 98.01388 / (1 + e^(-0.09922(t - 42.17897))) | 98.01388 | 0.09922 | 42.17897 | 0.98609 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 18.06850 / (1 + e^(-0.11843(t - 47.95015))) | 18.06850 | 0.11843 | 47.95015 | 0.98761 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 24.04417 / (1 + e^(-0.10694(t - 54.83608))) | 24.04417 | 0.10694 | 54.83608 | 0.99422 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 2.99438 / (1 + e^(-0.10921(t - 39.52052))) | 2.99438 | 0.10921 | 39.52052 | 0.94431 |
| Validos | y(t) = 4834.10578 / (1 + e^(-0.10612(t - 49.22515))) | 4834.10578 | 0.10612 | 49.22515 | 0.99779 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 31.07122 / (1 + e^(-0.09833(t - 52.30751))) | 31.07122 | 0.09833 | 52.30751 | 0.99700 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 3.2% | 154 | 154 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 1 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 7.8% | 378 | 350 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 376 | 2 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 17.1% | 829 | 775 | 44 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 824 | 4 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 29.7% | 1,441 | 1,379 | 49 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1,434 | 8 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 40.2% | 1,953 | 1,884 | 55 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1,945 | 11 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 51.1% | 2,479 | 2,399 | 62 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 2,469 | 14 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 57.9% | 2,812 | 2,724 | 67 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 2,801 | 16 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 69.3% | 3,363 | 3,256 | 74 | 15 | 16 | 2 | 3,345 | 19 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 83.9% | 4,074 | 3,942 | 92 | 18 | 19 | 3 | 4,052 | 23 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 89.3% | 4,334 | 4,201 | 93 | 18 | 19 | 3 | 4,312 | 25 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 93.8% | 4,551 | 4,418 | 93 | 18 | 19 | 3 | 4,529 | 28 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 4,854 | 4,711 | 98 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 4,827 | 31 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 4,854 | 4,711 | 98 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 4,827 | 31 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 4,854 | 4,711 | 98 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 4,827 | 31 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 4,854 | 4,711 | 98 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 4,827 | 31 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 4,854 | 4,711 | 98 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 4,827 | 31 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 4,854 | 4,711 | 98 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 4,827 | 31 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 4,854 | 4,711 | 98 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 4,827 | 31 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 4,854 | 4,711 | 98 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 4,827 | 31 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 4,854 | 4,711 | 98 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 4,827 | 31 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 4,854 | 4,711 | 98 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 4,827 | 31 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 4,854 | 4,711 | 98 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 4,827 | 31 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 4,854 | 4,711 | 98 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 4,827 | 31 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 4,854 | 4,711 | 98 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 4,827 | 31 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 4,854 | 4,711 | 98 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 4,827 | 31 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 4,854 | 4,711 | 98 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 4,827 | 31 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 4,854 | 4,711 | 98 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 4,827 | 31 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 4,854 | 4,711 | 98 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 4,827 | 31 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 4,854 | 4,711 | 98 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 4,827 | 31 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 4,854 | 4,711 | 98 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 4,827 | 31 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 4,854 | 4,711 | 98 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 4,827 | 31 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 4,854 | 4,711 | 98 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 4,827 | 31 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 4,854 | 4,711 | 98 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 4,827 | 31 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 4,854 | 4,711 | 98 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 4,827 | 31 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 4,854 | 4,711 | 98 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 4,827 | 31 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 4,854 | 4,711 | 98 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 4,827 | 31 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 4,854 | 4,711 | 98 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 4,827 | 31 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 4,854 | 4,711 | 98 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 4,827 | 31 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 4,854 | 4,711 | 98 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 4,827 | 31 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 4,854 | 4,711 | 98 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 4,827 | 31 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 4,854 | 4,711 | 98 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 4,827 | 31 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 4,854 | 4,711 | 98 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 4,827 | 31 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 4,854 | 4,711 | 98 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 4,827 | 31 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 4,854 | 4,711 | 98 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 4,827 | 31 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 4,854 | 4,711 | 98 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 4,827 | 31 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 4,854 | 4,711 | 98 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 4,827 | 31 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 4,854 | 4,711 | 98 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 4,827 | 31 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 4,854 | 4,711 | 98 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 4,827 | 31 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 4,854 | 4,711 | 98 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 4,827 | 31 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 4,854 | 4,711 | 98 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 4,827 | 31 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 4,854 | 4,711 | 98 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 4,827 | 31 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 4,854 | 4,711 | 98 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 4,827 | 31 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 4,854 | 4,711 | 98 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 4,827 | 31 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 4,854 | 4,711 | 98 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 4,827 | 31 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 4,854 | 4,711 | 98 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 4,827 | 31 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 4,854 | 4,711 | 98 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 4,827 | 31 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 4,854 | 4,711 | 98 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 4,827 | 31 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 4,854 | 4,711 | 98 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 4,827 | 31 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 4,854 | 4,711 | 98 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 4,827 | 31 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 4,854 | 4,711 | 98 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 4,827 | 31 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 4,854 | 4,711 | 98 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 4,827 | 31 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 4,854 | 4,711 | 98 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 4,827 | 31 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 4,854 | 4,711 | 98 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 4,827 | 31 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex