LEIVA (NARIÑO)
Municipio code 23080. 30 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 6652.30164 / (1 + e^(-0.13856(t - 46.89123))) | 6652.30164 | 0.13856 | 46.89123 | 0.99766 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 6083.30977 / (1 + e^(-0.13743(t - 46.98152))) | 6083.30977 | 0.13743 | 46.98152 | 0.99777 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 336.93598 / (1 + e^(-0.14628(t - 45.15096))) | 336.93598 | 0.14628 | 45.15096 | 0.99214 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 41.00264 / (1 + e^(-0.17678(t - 45.84214))) | 41.00264 | 0.17678 | 45.84214 | 0.99574 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 185.11446 / (1 + e^(-0.16186(t - 47.53575))) | 185.11446 | 0.16186 | 47.53575 | 0.99721 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 5.98482 / (1 + e^(-0.14511(t - 41.62425))) | 5.98482 | 0.14511 | 41.62425 | 0.98621 |
| Validos | y(t) = 6461.23482 / (1 + e^(-0.13798(t - 46.87792))) | 6461.23482 | 0.13798 | 46.87792 | 0.99764 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 29.99345 / (1 + e^(-0.13032(t - 46.18531))) | 29.99345 | 0.13032 | 46.18531 | 0.99744 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 1.1% | 72 | 66 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 72 | 1 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 10.7% | 713 | 691 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 706 | 5 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 33.0% | 2,193 | 1,977 | 145 | 14 | 54 | 3 | 2,136 | 11 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 41.1% | 2,737 | 2,481 | 167 | 17 | 69 | 3 | 2,665 | 13 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 56.8% | 3,777 | 3,432 | 215 | 24 | 101 | 5 | 3,671 | 17 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 72.7% | 4,835 | 4,418 | 247 | 35 | 130 | 5 | 4,700 | 22 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 82.3% | 5,478 | 5,000 | 276 | 36 | 161 | 5 | 5,312 | 25 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 89.8% | 5,975 | 5,435 | 318 | 39 | 178 | 5 | 5,792 | 27 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 93.5% | 6,222 | 5,658 | 336 | 41 | 181 | 6 | 6,035 | 28 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 97.5% | 6,490 | 5,922 | 337 | 41 | 184 | 6 | 6,300 | 29 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 6,655 | 6,086 | 337 | 41 | 185 | 6 | 6,464 | 30 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 6,655 | 6,086 | 337 | 41 | 185 | 6 | 6,464 | 30 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 6,655 | 6,086 | 337 | 41 | 185 | 6 | 6,464 | 30 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 6,655 | 6,086 | 337 | 41 | 185 | 6 | 6,464 | 30 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 6,655 | 6,086 | 337 | 41 | 185 | 6 | 6,464 | 30 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 6,655 | 6,086 | 337 | 41 | 185 | 6 | 6,464 | 30 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 6,655 | 6,086 | 337 | 41 | 185 | 6 | 6,464 | 30 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 6,655 | 6,086 | 337 | 41 | 185 | 6 | 6,464 | 30 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 6,655 | 6,086 | 337 | 41 | 185 | 6 | 6,464 | 30 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 6,655 | 6,086 | 337 | 41 | 185 | 6 | 6,464 | 30 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 6,655 | 6,086 | 337 | 41 | 185 | 6 | 6,464 | 30 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 6,655 | 6,086 | 337 | 41 | 185 | 6 | 6,464 | 30 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 6,655 | 6,086 | 337 | 41 | 185 | 6 | 6,464 | 30 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 6,655 | 6,086 | 337 | 41 | 185 | 6 | 6,464 | 30 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 6,655 | 6,086 | 337 | 41 | 185 | 6 | 6,464 | 30 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 6,655 | 6,086 | 337 | 41 | 185 | 6 | 6,464 | 30 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 6,655 | 6,086 | 337 | 41 | 185 | 6 | 6,464 | 30 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 6,655 | 6,086 | 337 | 41 | 185 | 6 | 6,464 | 30 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 6,655 | 6,086 | 337 | 41 | 185 | 6 | 6,464 | 30 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 6,655 | 6,086 | 337 | 41 | 185 | 6 | 6,464 | 30 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 6,655 | 6,086 | 337 | 41 | 185 | 6 | 6,464 | 30 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 6,655 | 6,086 | 337 | 41 | 185 | 6 | 6,464 | 30 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 6,655 | 6,086 | 337 | 41 | 185 | 6 | 6,464 | 30 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 6,655 | 6,086 | 337 | 41 | 185 | 6 | 6,464 | 30 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 6,655 | 6,086 | 337 | 41 | 185 | 6 | 6,464 | 30 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 6,655 | 6,086 | 337 | 41 | 185 | 6 | 6,464 | 30 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 6,655 | 6,086 | 337 | 41 | 185 | 6 | 6,464 | 30 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 6,655 | 6,086 | 337 | 41 | 185 | 6 | 6,464 | 30 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 6,655 | 6,086 | 337 | 41 | 185 | 6 | 6,464 | 30 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 6,655 | 6,086 | 337 | 41 | 185 | 6 | 6,464 | 30 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 6,655 | 6,086 | 337 | 41 | 185 | 6 | 6,464 | 30 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 6,655 | 6,086 | 337 | 41 | 185 | 6 | 6,464 | 30 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 6,655 | 6,086 | 337 | 41 | 185 | 6 | 6,464 | 30 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 6,655 | 6,086 | 337 | 41 | 185 | 6 | 6,464 | 30 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 6,655 | 6,086 | 337 | 41 | 185 | 6 | 6,464 | 30 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 6,655 | 6,086 | 337 | 41 | 185 | 6 | 6,464 | 30 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 6,655 | 6,086 | 337 | 41 | 185 | 6 | 6,464 | 30 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 6,655 | 6,086 | 337 | 41 | 185 | 6 | 6,464 | 30 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 6,655 | 6,086 | 337 | 41 | 185 | 6 | 6,464 | 30 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 6,655 | 6,086 | 337 | 41 | 185 | 6 | 6,464 | 30 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 6,655 | 6,086 | 337 | 41 | 185 | 6 | 6,464 | 30 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 6,655 | 6,086 | 337 | 41 | 185 | 6 | 6,464 | 30 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 6,655 | 6,086 | 337 | 41 | 185 | 6 | 6,464 | 30 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 6,655 | 6,086 | 337 | 41 | 185 | 6 | 6,464 | 30 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 6,655 | 6,086 | 337 | 41 | 185 | 6 | 6,464 | 30 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 6,655 | 6,086 | 337 | 41 | 185 | 6 | 6,464 | 30 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 6,655 | 6,086 | 337 | 41 | 185 | 6 | 6,464 | 30 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 6,655 | 6,086 | 337 | 41 | 185 | 6 | 6,464 | 30 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 6,655 | 6,086 | 337 | 41 | 185 | 6 | 6,464 | 30 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 6,655 | 6,086 | 337 | 41 | 185 | 6 | 6,464 | 30 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 6,655 | 6,086 | 337 | 41 | 185 | 6 | 6,464 | 30 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 6,655 | 6,086 | 337 | 41 | 185 | 6 | 6,464 | 30 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex