LA TOLA (NARIÑO)
Municipio code 23078. 19 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 3045.59635 / (1 + e^(-0.13136(t - 40.17202))) | 3045.59635 | 0.13136 | 40.17202 | 0.99582 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 2803.16914 / (1 + e^(-0.13078(t - 40.13910))) | 2803.16914 | 0.13078 | 40.13910 | 0.99574 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 201.33778 / (1 + e^(-0.13918(t - 40.58924))) | 201.33778 | 0.13918 | 40.58924 | 0.99598 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 27.04888 / (1 + e^(-0.13790(t - 40.22319))) | 27.04888 | 0.13790 | 40.22319 | 0.99546 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 8.01652 / (1 + e^(-0.13421(t - 39.99879))) | 8.01652 | 0.13421 | 39.99879 | 0.99468 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 6.02138 / (1 + e^(-0.12846(t - 40.96996))) | 6.02138 | 0.12846 | 40.96996 | 0.98265 |
| Validos | y(t) = 3031.55726 / (1 + e^(-0.13137(t - 40.17088))) | 3031.55726 | 0.13137 | 40.17088 | 0.99582 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 19.02926 / (1 + e^(-0.12865(t - 38.28953))) | 19.02926 | 0.12865 | 38.28953 | 0.99530 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 11.5% | 350 | 329 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 348 | 3 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 20.2% | 615 | 576 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 611 | 5 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 35.7% | 1,085 | 996 | 74 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1,080 | 8 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 48.5% | 1,475 | 1,366 | 93 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1,470 | 10 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 58.8% | 1,786 | 1,646 | 115 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 1,778 | 12 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 68.7% | 2,089 | 1,918 | 142 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 2,079 | 14 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 86.3% | 2,623 | 2,411 | 175 | 24 | 7 | 6 | 2,610 | 17 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 2,798 | 201 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3,026 | 19 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex