GUAITARILLA (NARIÑO)
Municipio code 23055. 36 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 8020.12459 / (1 + e^(-0.19104(t - 47.77253))) | 8020.12459 | 0.19104 | 47.77253 | 0.99858 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 6435.27123 / (1 + e^(-0.19308(t - 47.94222))) | 6435.27123 | 0.19308 | 47.94222 | 0.99863 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 1464.80300 / (1 + e^(-0.17944(t - 46.96771))) | 1464.80300 | 0.17944 | 46.96771 | 0.99827 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 64.04667 / (1 + e^(-0.19102(t - 47.09273))) | 64.04667 | 0.19102 | 47.09273 | 0.99902 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 50.95889 / (1 + e^(-0.40356(t - 48.89282))) | 50.95889 | 0.40356 | 48.89282 | 0.99947 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 5.00446 / (1 + e^(-0.43244(t - 47.73613))) | 5.00446 | 0.43244 | 47.73613 | 0.99911 |
| Validos | y(t) = 7964.16491 / (1 + e^(-0.19027(t - 47.76057))) | 7964.16491 | 0.19027 | 47.76057 | 0.99858 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 36.05966 / (1 + e^(-0.16833(t - 46.52145))) | 36.05966 | 0.16833 | 46.52145 | 0.99739 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 5.9% | 476 | 355 | 116 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 476 | 4 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 11.1% | 891 | 684 | 201 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 891 | 6 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 17.6% | 1,410 | 1,105 | 293 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1,409 | 8 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 30.2% | 2,419 | 1,896 | 495 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 2,412 | 13 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 52.6% | 4,215 | 3,325 | 822 | 39 | 26 | 3 | 4,186 | 20 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 81.2% | 6,503 | 5,188 | 1,213 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 6,452 | 30 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 87.4% | 7,001 | 5,617 | 1,276 | 56 | 47 | 5 | 6,949 | 32 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 8,011 | 6,428 | 1,463 | 64 | 51 | 5 | 7,955 | 36 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 8,011 | 6,428 | 1,463 | 64 | 51 | 5 | 7,955 | 36 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 8,011 | 6,428 | 1,463 | 64 | 51 | 5 | 7,955 | 36 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 8,011 | 6,428 | 1,463 | 64 | 51 | 5 | 7,955 | 36 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 8,011 | 6,428 | 1,463 | 64 | 51 | 5 | 7,955 | 36 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 8,011 | 6,428 | 1,463 | 64 | 51 | 5 | 7,955 | 36 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 8,011 | 6,428 | 1,463 | 64 | 51 | 5 | 7,955 | 36 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 8,011 | 6,428 | 1,463 | 64 | 51 | 5 | 7,955 | 36 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 8,011 | 6,428 | 1,463 | 64 | 51 | 5 | 7,955 | 36 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 8,011 | 6,428 | 1,463 | 64 | 51 | 5 | 7,955 | 36 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 8,011 | 6,428 | 1,463 | 64 | 51 | 5 | 7,955 | 36 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 8,011 | 6,428 | 1,463 | 64 | 51 | 5 | 7,955 | 36 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 8,011 | 6,428 | 1,463 | 64 | 51 | 5 | 7,955 | 36 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 8,011 | 6,428 | 1,463 | 64 | 51 | 5 | 7,955 | 36 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 8,011 | 6,428 | 1,463 | 64 | 51 | 5 | 7,955 | 36 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 8,011 | 6,428 | 1,463 | 64 | 51 | 5 | 7,955 | 36 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 8,011 | 6,428 | 1,463 | 64 | 51 | 5 | 7,955 | 36 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 8,011 | 6,428 | 1,463 | 64 | 51 | 5 | 7,955 | 36 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 8,011 | 6,428 | 1,463 | 64 | 51 | 5 | 7,955 | 36 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 8,011 | 6,428 | 1,463 | 64 | 51 | 5 | 7,955 | 36 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 8,011 | 6,428 | 1,463 | 64 | 51 | 5 | 7,955 | 36 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 8,011 | 6,428 | 1,463 | 64 | 51 | 5 | 7,955 | 36 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 8,011 | 6,428 | 1,463 | 64 | 51 | 5 | 7,955 | 36 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 8,011 | 6,428 | 1,463 | 64 | 51 | 5 | 7,955 | 36 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 8,011 | 6,428 | 1,463 | 64 | 51 | 5 | 7,955 | 36 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 8,011 | 6,428 | 1,463 | 64 | 51 | 5 | 7,955 | 36 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 8,011 | 6,428 | 1,463 | 64 | 51 | 5 | 7,955 | 36 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 8,011 | 6,428 | 1,463 | 64 | 51 | 5 | 7,955 | 36 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 8,011 | 6,428 | 1,463 | 64 | 51 | 5 | 7,955 | 36 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 8,011 | 6,428 | 1,463 | 64 | 51 | 5 | 7,955 | 36 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 8,011 | 6,428 | 1,463 | 64 | 51 | 5 | 7,955 | 36 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 8,011 | 6,428 | 1,463 | 64 | 51 | 5 | 7,955 | 36 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 8,011 | 6,428 | 1,463 | 64 | 51 | 5 | 7,955 | 36 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 8,011 | 6,428 | 1,463 | 64 | 51 | 5 | 7,955 | 36 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 8,011 | 6,428 | 1,463 | 64 | 51 | 5 | 7,955 | 36 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 8,011 | 6,428 | 1,463 | 64 | 51 | 5 | 7,955 | 36 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 8,011 | 6,428 | 1,463 | 64 | 51 | 5 | 7,955 | 36 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 8,011 | 6,428 | 1,463 | 64 | 51 | 5 | 7,955 | 36 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 8,011 | 6,428 | 1,463 | 64 | 51 | 5 | 7,955 | 36 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 8,011 | 6,428 | 1,463 | 64 | 51 | 5 | 7,955 | 36 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 8,011 | 6,428 | 1,463 | 64 | 51 | 5 | 7,955 | 36 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 8,011 | 6,428 | 1,463 | 64 | 51 | 5 | 7,955 | 36 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 8,011 | 6,428 | 1,463 | 64 | 51 | 5 | 7,955 | 36 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 8,011 | 6,428 | 1,463 | 64 | 51 | 5 | 7,955 | 36 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 8,011 | 6,428 | 1,463 | 64 | 51 | 5 | 7,955 | 36 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 8,011 | 6,428 | 1,463 | 64 | 51 | 5 | 7,955 | 36 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 8,011 | 6,428 | 1,463 | 64 | 51 | 5 | 7,955 | 36 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 8,011 | 6,428 | 1,463 | 64 | 51 | 5 | 7,955 | 36 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 8,011 | 6,428 | 1,463 | 64 | 51 | 5 | 7,955 | 36 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 8,011 | 6,428 | 1,463 | 64 | 51 | 5 | 7,955 | 36 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 8,011 | 6,428 | 1,463 | 64 | 51 | 5 | 7,955 | 36 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 8,011 | 6,428 | 1,463 | 64 | 51 | 5 | 7,955 | 36 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 8,011 | 6,428 | 1,463 | 64 | 51 | 5 | 7,955 | 36 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 8,011 | 6,428 | 1,463 | 64 | 51 | 5 | 7,955 | 36 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 8,011 | 6,428 | 1,463 | 64 | 51 | 5 | 7,955 | 36 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex