BELEN (NARIÑO)
Municipio code 23017. 16 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 3715.22117 / (1 + e^(-0.18990(t - 44.56322))) | 3715.22117 | 0.18990 | 44.56322 | 0.99708 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 2402.91858 / (1 + e^(-0.18815(t - 44.50717))) | 2402.91858 | 0.18815 | 44.50717 | 0.99728 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 1170.18250 / (1 + e^(-0.18869(t - 44.59638))) | 1170.18250 | 0.18869 | 44.59638 | 0.99613 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 79.07319 / (1 + e^(-0.22149(t - 45.63568))) | 79.07319 | 0.22149 | 45.63568 | 0.99905 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 57.01116 / (1 + e^(-0.28843(t - 44.59544))) | 57.01116 | 0.28843 | 44.59544 | 0.99655 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 6.00620 / (1 + e^(-0.29347(t - 43.77369))) | 6.00620 | 0.29347 | 43.77369 | 0.99750 |
| Validos | y(t) = 3652.18159 / (1 + e^(-0.18897(t - 44.56366))) | 3652.18159 | 0.18897 | 44.56366 | 0.99706 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 16.03050 / (1 + e^(-0.17026(t - 43.36810))) | 16.03050 | 0.17026 | 43.36810 | 0.99606 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 8.7% | 321 | 224 | 88 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 315 | 2 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 19.6% | 726 | 461 | 248 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 718 | 4 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 26.0% | 963 | 622 | 318 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 954 | 5 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 39.6% | 1,468 | 971 | 439 | 31 | 24 | 3 | 1,441 | 7 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 72.4% | 2,684 | 1,743 | 833 | 55 | 48 | 5 | 2,631 | 12 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 86.7% | 3,216 | 2,058 | 1,035 | 66 | 51 | 6 | 3,159 | 14 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 3,709 | 2,399 | 1,168 | 79 | 57 | 6 | 3,646 | 16 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex