ARBOLEDA (BERRUECOS) (NARIÑO)
Municipio code 23013. 19 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 4024.89733 / (1 + e^(-0.23312(t - 49.97620))) | 4024.89733 | 0.23312 | 49.97620 | 0.99742 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 2366.25193 / (1 + e^(-0.21055(t - 49.80881))) | 2366.25193 | 0.21055 | 49.80881 | 0.99737 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 1537.59941 / (1 + e^(-0.28062(t - 50.19743))) | 1537.59941 | 0.28062 | 50.19743 | 0.99763 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 68.99816 / (1 + e^(-0.22781(t - 49.09318))) | 68.99816 | 0.22781 | 49.09318 | 0.99595 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 47.02589 / (1 + e^(-0.21608(t - 50.11378))) | 47.02589 | 0.21608 | 50.11378 | 0.99676 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 5.00207 / (1 + e^(-0.19568(t - 56.93220))) | 5.00207 | 0.19568 | 56.93220 | 0.98339 |
| Validos | y(t) = 3972.89016 / (1 + e^(-0.23340(t - 49.96667))) | 3972.89016 | 0.23340 | 49.96667 | 0.99743 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 19.01434 / (1 + e^(-0.18251(t - 48.96446))) | 19.01434 | 0.18251 | 48.96446 | 0.99611 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 1.2% | 47 | 31 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 47 | 1 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 9.4% | 380 | 263 | 101 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 374 | 3 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 9.4% | 380 | 263 | 101 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 374 | 3 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 20.5% | 824 | 540 | 261 | 13 | 10 | 0 | 814 | 5 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 37.7% | 1,518 | 920 | 550 | 31 | 17 | 0 | 1,501 | 8 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 78.6% | 3,164 | 1,822 | 1,247 | 57 | 35 | 3 | 3,126 | 15 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 89.9% | 3,618 | 2,115 | 1,394 | 63 | 43 | 3 | 3,572 | 17 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 89.9% | 3,618 | 2,115 | 1,394 | 63 | 43 | 3 | 3,572 | 17 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 4,026 | 2,366 | 1,539 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 3,974 | 19 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 4,026 | 2,366 | 1,539 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 3,974 | 19 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 4,026 | 2,366 | 1,539 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 3,974 | 19 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 4,026 | 2,366 | 1,539 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 3,974 | 19 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 4,026 | 2,366 | 1,539 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 3,974 | 19 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 4,026 | 2,366 | 1,539 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 3,974 | 19 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 4,026 | 2,366 | 1,539 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 3,974 | 19 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 4,026 | 2,366 | 1,539 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 3,974 | 19 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 4,026 | 2,366 | 1,539 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 3,974 | 19 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 4,026 | 2,366 | 1,539 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 3,974 | 19 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 4,026 | 2,366 | 1,539 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 3,974 | 19 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 4,026 | 2,366 | 1,539 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 3,974 | 19 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 4,026 | 2,366 | 1,539 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 3,974 | 19 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 4,026 | 2,366 | 1,539 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 3,974 | 19 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 4,026 | 2,366 | 1,539 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 3,974 | 19 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 4,026 | 2,366 | 1,539 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 3,974 | 19 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 4,026 | 2,366 | 1,539 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 3,974 | 19 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 4,026 | 2,366 | 1,539 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 3,974 | 19 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 4,026 | 2,366 | 1,539 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 3,974 | 19 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 4,026 | 2,366 | 1,539 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 3,974 | 19 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 4,026 | 2,366 | 1,539 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 3,974 | 19 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 4,026 | 2,366 | 1,539 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 3,974 | 19 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 4,026 | 2,366 | 1,539 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 3,974 | 19 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 4,026 | 2,366 | 1,539 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 3,974 | 19 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 4,026 | 2,366 | 1,539 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 3,974 | 19 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 4,026 | 2,366 | 1,539 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 3,974 | 19 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 4,026 | 2,366 | 1,539 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 3,974 | 19 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 4,026 | 2,366 | 1,539 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 3,974 | 19 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 4,026 | 2,366 | 1,539 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 3,974 | 19 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 4,026 | 2,366 | 1,539 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 3,974 | 19 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 4,026 | 2,366 | 1,539 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 3,974 | 19 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 4,026 | 2,366 | 1,539 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 3,974 | 19 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 4,026 | 2,366 | 1,539 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 3,974 | 19 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 4,026 | 2,366 | 1,539 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 3,974 | 19 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 4,026 | 2,366 | 1,539 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 3,974 | 19 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 4,026 | 2,366 | 1,539 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 3,974 | 19 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 4,026 | 2,366 | 1,539 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 3,974 | 19 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 4,026 | 2,366 | 1,539 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 3,974 | 19 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 4,026 | 2,366 | 1,539 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 3,974 | 19 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 4,026 | 2,366 | 1,539 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 3,974 | 19 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 4,026 | 2,366 | 1,539 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 3,974 | 19 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 4,026 | 2,366 | 1,539 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 3,974 | 19 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 4,026 | 2,366 | 1,539 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 3,974 | 19 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 4,026 | 2,366 | 1,539 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 3,974 | 19 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 4,026 | 2,366 | 1,539 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 3,974 | 19 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 4,026 | 2,366 | 1,539 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 3,974 | 19 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 4,026 | 2,366 | 1,539 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 3,974 | 19 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 4,026 | 2,366 | 1,539 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 3,974 | 19 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 4,026 | 2,366 | 1,539 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 3,974 | 19 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 4,026 | 2,366 | 1,539 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 3,974 | 19 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 4,026 | 2,366 | 1,539 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 3,974 | 19 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 4,026 | 2,366 | 1,539 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 3,974 | 19 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 4,026 | 2,366 | 1,539 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 3,974 | 19 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 4,026 | 2,366 | 1,539 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 3,974 | 19 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex