QUIBDO (CHOCO)
Municipio code 17001. 271 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 49697.35041 / (1 + e^(-0.20216(t - 42.51578))) | 49697.35041 | 0.20216 | 42.51578 | 0.99918 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 39824.22938 / (1 + e^(-0.20225(t - 42.29948))) | 39824.22938 | 0.20225 | 42.29948 | 0.99919 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 8407.34311 / (1 + e^(-0.21397(t - 43.06329))) | 8407.34311 | 0.21397 | 43.06329 | 0.99956 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 541.01837 / (1 + e^(-0.19333(t - 43.08246))) | 541.01837 | 0.19333 | 43.08246 | 0.99892 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 662.59197 / (1 + e^(-0.22415(t - 43.49615))) | 662.59197 | 0.22415 | 43.49615 | 0.99915 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 270.22116 / (1 + e^(-0.14984(t - 66.80068))) | 270.22116 | 0.14984 | 66.80068 | 0.97348 |
| Validos | y(t) = 48772.66018 / (1 + e^(-0.20398(t - 42.44209))) | 48772.66018 | 0.20398 | 42.44209 | 0.99927 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 270.31112 / (1 + e^(-0.18313(t - 41.67411))) | 270.31112 | 0.18313 | 41.67411 | 0.99913 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.2% | 107 | 107 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 107 | 1 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.6% | 307 | 298 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 307 | 4 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.9% | 470 | 457 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 469 | 6 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 2.4% | 1,207 | 1,092 | 99 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 1,198 | 14 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 5.4% | 2,666 | 2,308 | 314 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 2,644 | 24 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 13.5% | 6,722 | 5,613 | 963 | 67 | 67 | 12 | 6,643 | 49 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 31.7% | 15,809 | 13,011 | 2,438 | 167 | 168 | 25 | 15,616 | 98 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 60.5% | 30,144 | 24,649 | 4,782 | 317 | 356 | 40 | 29,748 | 172 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 78.4% | 39,049 | 31,482 | 6,573 | 407 | 530 | 57 | 38,462 | 215 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 89.8% | 44,716 | 36,003 | 7,578 | 472 | 593 | 70 | 44,053 | 244 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 93.3% | 46,486 | 37,335 | 7,963 | 503 | 611 | 74 | 45,801 | 253 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 94.3% | 46,962 | 37,722 | 8,029 | 505 | 631 | 75 | 46,256 | 255 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 97.7% | 48,674 | 39,132 | 8,279 | 532 | 652 | 79 | 47,943 | 264 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 98.1% | 48,865 | 39,132 | 8,279 | 536 | 655 | 263 | 47,947 | 265 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 99.1% | 49,381 | 39,534 | 8,376 | 542 | 661 | 268 | 48,452 | 267 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 99.5% | 49,566 | 39,699 | 8,394 | 542 | 663 | 268 | 48,635 | 268 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 99.5% | 49,566 | 39,699 | 8,394 | 542 | 663 | 268 | 48,635 | 268 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 99.7% | 49,689 | 39,814 | 8,400 | 542 | 664 | 269 | 48,756 | 269 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 99.8% | 49,736 | 39,848 | 8,413 | 542 | 664 | 269 | 48,803 | 270 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 49,815 | 39,917 | 8,423 | 542 | 664 | 269 | 48,882 | 271 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 49,815 | 39,917 | 8,423 | 542 | 664 | 269 | 48,882 | 271 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 49,815 | 39,917 | 8,423 | 542 | 664 | 269 | 48,882 | 271 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 49,815 | 39,917 | 8,423 | 542 | 664 | 269 | 48,882 | 271 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 49,815 | 39,917 | 8,423 | 542 | 664 | 269 | 48,882 | 271 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 49,815 | 39,917 | 8,423 | 542 | 664 | 269 | 48,882 | 271 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 49,815 | 39,917 | 8,423 | 542 | 664 | 269 | 48,882 | 271 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 49,815 | 39,917 | 8,423 | 542 | 664 | 269 | 48,882 | 271 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 49,815 | 39,917 | 8,423 | 542 | 664 | 269 | 48,882 | 271 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 49,815 | 39,917 | 8,423 | 542 | 664 | 269 | 48,882 | 271 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 49,815 | 39,917 | 8,423 | 542 | 664 | 269 | 48,882 | 271 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 49,815 | 39,917 | 8,423 | 542 | 664 | 269 | 48,882 | 271 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 49,815 | 39,917 | 8,423 | 542 | 664 | 269 | 48,882 | 271 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 49,815 | 39,917 | 8,423 | 542 | 664 | 269 | 48,882 | 271 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 49,815 | 39,917 | 8,423 | 542 | 664 | 269 | 48,882 | 271 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 49,815 | 39,917 | 8,423 | 542 | 664 | 269 | 48,882 | 271 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 49,815 | 39,917 | 8,423 | 542 | 664 | 269 | 48,882 | 271 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 49,815 | 39,917 | 8,423 | 542 | 664 | 269 | 48,882 | 271 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 49,815 | 39,917 | 8,423 | 542 | 664 | 269 | 48,882 | 271 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 49,815 | 39,917 | 8,423 | 542 | 664 | 269 | 48,882 | 271 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 49,815 | 39,917 | 8,423 | 542 | 664 | 269 | 48,882 | 271 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 49,815 | 39,917 | 8,423 | 542 | 664 | 269 | 48,882 | 271 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 49,815 | 39,917 | 8,423 | 542 | 664 | 269 | 48,882 | 271 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 49,815 | 39,917 | 8,423 | 542 | 664 | 269 | 48,882 | 271 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 49,815 | 39,917 | 8,423 | 542 | 664 | 269 | 48,882 | 271 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 49,815 | 39,917 | 8,423 | 542 | 664 | 269 | 48,882 | 271 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 49,815 | 39,917 | 8,423 | 542 | 664 | 269 | 48,882 | 271 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 49,815 | 39,917 | 8,423 | 542 | 664 | 269 | 48,882 | 271 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 49,815 | 39,917 | 8,423 | 542 | 664 | 269 | 48,882 | 271 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 49,815 | 39,917 | 8,423 | 542 | 664 | 269 | 48,882 | 271 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 49,815 | 39,917 | 8,423 | 542 | 664 | 269 | 48,882 | 271 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 49,815 | 39,917 | 8,423 | 542 | 664 | 269 | 48,882 | 271 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 49,815 | 39,917 | 8,423 | 542 | 664 | 269 | 48,882 | 271 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 49,815 | 39,917 | 8,423 | 542 | 664 | 269 | 48,882 | 271 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 49,815 | 39,917 | 8,423 | 542 | 664 | 269 | 48,882 | 271 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 49,815 | 39,917 | 8,423 | 542 | 664 | 269 | 48,882 | 271 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 49,815 | 39,917 | 8,423 | 542 | 664 | 269 | 48,882 | 271 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 49,815 | 39,917 | 8,423 | 542 | 664 | 269 | 48,882 | 271 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 49,815 | 39,917 | 8,423 | 542 | 664 | 269 | 48,882 | 271 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 49,815 | 39,917 | 8,423 | 542 | 664 | 269 | 48,882 | 271 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 49,815 | 39,917 | 8,423 | 542 | 664 | 269 | 48,882 | 271 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 49,815 | 39,917 | 8,423 | 542 | 664 | 269 | 48,882 | 271 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 49,815 | 39,917 | 8,423 | 542 | 664 | 269 | 48,882 | 271 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 49,815 | 39,917 | 8,423 | 542 | 664 | 269 | 48,882 | 271 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 49,815 | 39,917 | 8,423 | 542 | 664 | 269 | 48,882 | 271 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 49,815 | 39,917 | 8,423 | 542 | 664 | 269 | 48,882 | 271 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 49,815 | 39,917 | 8,423 | 542 | 664 | 269 | 48,882 | 271 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex