VERGARA (CUNDINAMARCA)
Municipio code 15319. 23 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 4662.87512 / (1 + e^(-0.19852(t - 37.99962))) | 4662.87512 | 0.19852 | 37.99962 | 0.99877 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 896.66039 / (1 + e^(-0.20324(t - 37.75068))) | 896.66039 | 0.20324 | 37.75068 | 0.99927 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 3674.19916 / (1 + e^(-0.19652(t - 38.05598))) | 3674.19916 | 0.19652 | 38.05598 | 0.99854 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 56.99917 / (1 + e^(-0.25811(t - 37.40630))) | 56.99917 | 0.25811 | 37.40630 | 0.99957 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 29.01695 / (1 + e^(-0.24841(t - 40.54014))) | 29.01695 | 0.24841 | 40.54014 | 0.99861 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 6.00822 / (1 + e^(-0.23952(t - 34.53043))) | 6.00822 | 0.23952 | 34.53043 | 0.99456 |
| Validos | y(t) = 4627.84671 / (1 + e^(-0.19828(t - 37.98666))) | 4627.84671 | 0.19828 | 37.98666 | 0.99876 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 23.02321 / (1 + e^(-0.18442(t - 37.25317))) | 23.02321 | 0.18442 | 37.25317 | 0.99873 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 3.6% | 169 | 37 | 131 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 168 | 2 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 12.9% | 602 | 126 | 468 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 601 | 4 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 36.0% | 1,678 | 317 | 1,337 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 1,670 | 9 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 53.7% | 2,503 | 488 | 1,963 | 35 | 13 | 4 | 2,486 | 13 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 73.3% | 3,415 | 687 | 2,655 | 48 | 19 | 6 | 3,390 | 17 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 90.7% | 4,228 | 814 | 3,329 | 53 | 26 | 6 | 4,196 | 21 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 4,659 | 896 | 3,671 | 57 | 29 | 6 | 4,624 | 23 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex