UBAQUE (CUNDINAMARCA)
Municipio code 15301. 19 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 4719.23367 / (1 + e^(-0.27234(t - 50.83364))) | 4719.23367 | 0.27234 | 50.83364 | 0.99924 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 1243.19702 / (1 + e^(-0.30417(t - 51.66244))) | 1243.19702 | 0.30417 | 51.66244 | 0.99926 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 3359.78174 / (1 + e^(-0.26472(t - 50.50699))) | 3359.78174 | 0.26472 | 50.50699 | 0.99917 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 58.04693 / (1 + e^(-0.30035(t - 51.82027))) | 58.04693 | 0.30035 | 51.82027 | 0.99901 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 52.03544 / (1 + e^(-0.25894(t - 50.98056))) | 52.03544 | 0.25894 | 50.98056 | 0.99891 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 6.00073 / (1 + e^(-0.49458(t - 45.53057))) | 6.00073 | 0.49458 | 45.53057 | 0.99971 |
| Validos | y(t) = 4661.20305 / (1 + e^(-0.27255(t - 50.84012))) | 4661.20305 | 0.27255 | 50.84012 | 0.99924 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 19.02323 / (1 + e^(-0.24190(t - 50.12400))) | 19.02323 | 0.24190 | 50.12400 | 0.99839 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.6% | 30 | 11 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 1 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 0.6% | 30 | 11 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 1 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 0.6% | 30 | 11 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 1 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 0.6% | 30 | 11 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 1 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 16.5% | 777 | 160 | 604 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 768 | 4 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 38.5% | 1,814 | 379 | 1,389 | 19 | 22 | 5 | 1,787 | 8 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 66.5% | 3,136 | 794 | 2,267 | 36 | 33 | 6 | 3,097 | 13 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 94.3% | 4,444 | 1,182 | 3,155 | 54 | 47 | 6 | 4,391 | 18 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 4,715 | 1,242 | 3,357 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 4,657 | 19 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 4,715 | 1,242 | 3,357 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 4,657 | 19 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 4,715 | 1,242 | 3,357 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 4,657 | 19 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 4,715 | 1,242 | 3,357 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 4,657 | 19 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 4,715 | 1,242 | 3,357 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 4,657 | 19 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 4,715 | 1,242 | 3,357 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 4,657 | 19 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 4,715 | 1,242 | 3,357 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 4,657 | 19 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 4,715 | 1,242 | 3,357 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 4,657 | 19 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 4,715 | 1,242 | 3,357 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 4,657 | 19 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 4,715 | 1,242 | 3,357 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 4,657 | 19 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 4,715 | 1,242 | 3,357 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 4,657 | 19 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 4,715 | 1,242 | 3,357 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 4,657 | 19 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 4,715 | 1,242 | 3,357 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 4,657 | 19 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 4,715 | 1,242 | 3,357 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 4,657 | 19 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 4,715 | 1,242 | 3,357 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 4,657 | 19 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 4,715 | 1,242 | 3,357 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 4,657 | 19 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 4,715 | 1,242 | 3,357 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 4,657 | 19 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 4,715 | 1,242 | 3,357 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 4,657 | 19 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 4,715 | 1,242 | 3,357 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 4,657 | 19 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 4,715 | 1,242 | 3,357 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 4,657 | 19 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 4,715 | 1,242 | 3,357 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 4,657 | 19 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 4,715 | 1,242 | 3,357 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 4,657 | 19 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 4,715 | 1,242 | 3,357 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 4,657 | 19 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 4,715 | 1,242 | 3,357 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 4,657 | 19 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 4,715 | 1,242 | 3,357 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 4,657 | 19 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 4,715 | 1,242 | 3,357 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 4,657 | 19 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 4,715 | 1,242 | 3,357 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 4,657 | 19 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 4,715 | 1,242 | 3,357 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 4,657 | 19 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 4,715 | 1,242 | 3,357 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 4,657 | 19 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 4,715 | 1,242 | 3,357 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 4,657 | 19 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 4,715 | 1,242 | 3,357 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 4,657 | 19 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 4,715 | 1,242 | 3,357 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 4,657 | 19 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 4,715 | 1,242 | 3,357 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 4,657 | 19 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 4,715 | 1,242 | 3,357 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 4,657 | 19 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 4,715 | 1,242 | 3,357 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 4,657 | 19 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 4,715 | 1,242 | 3,357 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 4,657 | 19 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 4,715 | 1,242 | 3,357 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 4,657 | 19 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 4,715 | 1,242 | 3,357 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 4,657 | 19 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 4,715 | 1,242 | 3,357 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 4,657 | 19 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 4,715 | 1,242 | 3,357 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 4,657 | 19 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 4,715 | 1,242 | 3,357 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 4,657 | 19 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 4,715 | 1,242 | 3,357 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 4,657 | 19 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 4,715 | 1,242 | 3,357 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 4,657 | 19 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 4,715 | 1,242 | 3,357 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 4,657 | 19 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 4,715 | 1,242 | 3,357 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 4,657 | 19 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 4,715 | 1,242 | 3,357 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 4,657 | 19 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 4,715 | 1,242 | 3,357 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 4,657 | 19 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 4,715 | 1,242 | 3,357 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 4,657 | 19 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 4,715 | 1,242 | 3,357 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 4,657 | 19 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 4,715 | 1,242 | 3,357 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 4,657 | 19 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 4,715 | 1,242 | 3,357 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 4,657 | 19 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 4,715 | 1,242 | 3,357 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 4,657 | 19 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 4,715 | 1,242 | 3,357 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 4,657 | 19 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 4,715 | 1,242 | 3,357 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 4,657 | 19 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 4,715 | 1,242 | 3,357 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 4,657 | 19 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex