SAN CAYETANO (CUNDINAMARCA)
Municipio code 15226. 16 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 2747.08205 / (1 + e^(-0.14317(t - 42.08548))) | 2747.08205 | 0.14317 | 42.08548 | 0.99779 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 388.54415 / (1 + e^(-0.14869(t - 40.23615))) | 388.54415 | 0.14869 | 40.23615 | 0.99783 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 2313.52776 / (1 + e^(-0.14252(t - 42.42277))) | 2313.52776 | 0.14252 | 42.42277 | 0.99766 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 36.05639 / (1 + e^(-0.13446(t - 41.58304))) | 36.05639 | 0.13446 | 41.58304 | 0.99683 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 6.00132 / (1 + e^(-0.31142(t - 37.56398))) | 6.00132 | 0.31142 | 37.56398 | 0.99593 |
| No marcados | fit not available (flat series or no convergence) |
| Validos | y(t) = 2738.08985 / (1 + e^(-0.14296(t - 42.09372))) | 2738.08985 | 0.14296 | 42.09372 | 0.99777 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 16.02246 / (1 + e^(-0.14134(t - 41.65543))) | 16.02246 | 0.14134 | 41.65543 | 0.99809 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 4.1% | 112 | 24 | 87 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 112 | 1 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 18.5% | 507 | 85 | 413 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 506 | 3 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 26.1% | 717 | 120 | 585 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 716 | 4 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 40.1% | 1,099 | 165 | 915 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 1,095 | 7 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 54.0% | 1,481 | 243 | 1,212 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 1,475 | 9 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 68.2% | 1,871 | 292 | 1,545 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 1,862 | 11 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 89.1% | 2,443 | 358 | 2,046 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 2,434 | 14 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 92.5% | 2,537 | 377 | 2,117 | 34 | 6 | 3 | 2,528 | 15 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 2,743 | 388 | 2,310 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2,734 | 16 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 2,743 | 388 | 2,310 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2,734 | 16 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 2,743 | 388 | 2,310 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2,734 | 16 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 2,743 | 388 | 2,310 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2,734 | 16 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 2,743 | 388 | 2,310 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2,734 | 16 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 2,743 | 388 | 2,310 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2,734 | 16 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 2,743 | 388 | 2,310 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2,734 | 16 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 2,743 | 388 | 2,310 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2,734 | 16 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 2,743 | 388 | 2,310 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2,734 | 16 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 2,743 | 388 | 2,310 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2,734 | 16 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 2,743 | 388 | 2,310 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2,734 | 16 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 2,743 | 388 | 2,310 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2,734 | 16 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 2,743 | 388 | 2,310 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2,734 | 16 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 2,743 | 388 | 2,310 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2,734 | 16 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 2,743 | 388 | 2,310 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2,734 | 16 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 2,743 | 388 | 2,310 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2,734 | 16 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 2,743 | 388 | 2,310 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2,734 | 16 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 2,743 | 388 | 2,310 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2,734 | 16 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 2,743 | 388 | 2,310 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2,734 | 16 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 2,743 | 388 | 2,310 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2,734 | 16 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 2,743 | 388 | 2,310 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2,734 | 16 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 2,743 | 388 | 2,310 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2,734 | 16 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 2,743 | 388 | 2,310 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2,734 | 16 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 2,743 | 388 | 2,310 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2,734 | 16 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 2,743 | 388 | 2,310 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2,734 | 16 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 2,743 | 388 | 2,310 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2,734 | 16 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 2,743 | 388 | 2,310 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2,734 | 16 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 2,743 | 388 | 2,310 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2,734 | 16 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 2,743 | 388 | 2,310 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2,734 | 16 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 2,743 | 388 | 2,310 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2,734 | 16 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 2,743 | 388 | 2,310 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2,734 | 16 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 2,743 | 388 | 2,310 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2,734 | 16 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 2,743 | 388 | 2,310 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2,734 | 16 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 2,743 | 388 | 2,310 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2,734 | 16 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 2,743 | 388 | 2,310 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2,734 | 16 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 2,743 | 388 | 2,310 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2,734 | 16 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 2,743 | 388 | 2,310 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2,734 | 16 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 2,743 | 388 | 2,310 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2,734 | 16 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 2,743 | 388 | 2,310 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2,734 | 16 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 2,743 | 388 | 2,310 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2,734 | 16 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 2,743 | 388 | 2,310 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2,734 | 16 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 2,743 | 388 | 2,310 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2,734 | 16 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 2,743 | 388 | 2,310 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2,734 | 16 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 2,743 | 388 | 2,310 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2,734 | 16 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 2,743 | 388 | 2,310 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2,734 | 16 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 2,743 | 388 | 2,310 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2,734 | 16 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 2,743 | 388 | 2,310 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2,734 | 16 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 2,743 | 388 | 2,310 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2,734 | 16 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 2,743 | 388 | 2,310 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2,734 | 16 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 2,743 | 388 | 2,310 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2,734 | 16 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 2,743 | 388 | 2,310 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2,734 | 16 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 2,743 | 388 | 2,310 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2,734 | 16 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 2,743 | 388 | 2,310 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2,734 | 16 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 2,743 | 388 | 2,310 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2,734 | 16 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 2,743 | 388 | 2,310 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2,734 | 16 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex