QUIPILE (CUNDINAMARCA)
Municipio code 15214. 20 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 4077.70381 / (1 + e^(-0.28202(t - 42.26083))) | 4077.70381 | 0.28202 | 42.26083 | 0.99867 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 770.33728 / (1 + e^(-0.24528(t - 42.14564))) | 770.33728 | 0.24528 | 42.14564 | 0.99791 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 3230.37280 / (1 + e^(-0.29329(t - 42.30756))) | 3230.37280 | 0.29329 | 42.30756 | 0.99880 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 38.99006 / (1 + e^(-0.29615(t - 40.54183))) | 38.99006 | 0.29615 | 40.54183 | 0.99916 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 21.00953 / (1 + e^(-0.21169(t - 42.05990))) | 21.00953 | 0.21169 | 42.05990 | 0.99054 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 17.00590 / (1 + e^(-0.26389(t - 42.08209))) | 17.00590 | 0.26389 | 42.08209 | 0.99577 |
| Validos | y(t) = 4039.68735 / (1 + e^(-0.28267(t - 42.26289))) | 4039.68735 | 0.28267 | 42.26289 | 0.99869 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 20.00516 / (1 + e^(-0.26134(t - 40.91992))) | 20.00516 | 0.26134 | 40.91992 | 0.99892 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.6% | 24 | 8 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 1 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 0.6% | 24 | 8 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 1 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 3.6% | 145 | 57 | 83 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 144 | 2 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 31.5% | 1,283 | 274 | 976 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 1,266 | 8 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 63.6% | 2,594 | 486 | 2,056 | 29 | 13 | 10 | 2,571 | 14 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 81.4% | 3,318 | 591 | 2,665 | 34 | 14 | 14 | 3,290 | 17 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 4,077 | 770 | 3,230 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 4,039 | 20 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex