NARIÑO (CUNDINAMARCA)
Municipio code 15172. 9 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 1911.11316 / (1 + e^(-0.20195(t - 45.45756))) | 1911.11316 | 0.20195 | 45.45756 | 0.99816 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 895.64552 / (1 + e^(-0.19027(t - 45.13049))) | 895.64552 | 0.19027 | 45.13049 | 0.99725 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 989.37786 / (1 + e^(-0.21432(t - 45.71833))) | 989.37786 | 0.21432 | 45.71833 | 0.99877 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 17.03836 / (1 + e^(-0.18711(t - 43.87947))) | 17.03836 | 0.18711 | 43.87947 | 0.99170 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 5.00007 / (1 + e^(-0.32097(t - 48.23828))) | 5.00007 | 0.32097 | 48.23828 | 0.99878 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 4.00962 / (1 + e^(-0.18325(t - 49.69639))) | 4.00962 | 0.18325 | 49.69639 | 0.98837 |
| Validos | y(t) = 1902.10471 / (1 + e^(-0.20183(t - 45.43976))) | 1902.10471 | 0.20183 | 45.43976 | 0.99815 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 9.01850 / (1 + e^(-0.16714(t - 43.77501))) | 9.01850 | 0.16714 | 43.77501 | 0.99670 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 3.2% | 62 | 32 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 62 | 1 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 13.9% | 266 | 139 | 123 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 266 | 2 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 25.2% | 480 | 260 | 213 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 479 | 3 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 38.3% | 730 | 352 | 369 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 728 | 4 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 64.1% | 1,223 | 561 | 646 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1,218 | 6 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 88.1% | 1,681 | 796 | 862 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 1,675 | 8 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 1,908 | 894 | 988 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1,899 | 9 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex